Thanks to Davao's departure, it has been while a while since a proper discussion thread was started in this section, so I thought I'd start one now.
It's fairly obvious at this point that Melissa's game and her subsequent reaction to winning a blue was the main reason why nearly everyone who played this month has played it safe. After seeing her taking winning a blue so badly after a marginal 8 box No Deal, they thought that they'd hate so to be in her shoes and they'd much rather miss out on big money than win a blue.
There are several other famous examples of low wins encouraging entire wing runs of cautain:
10p Laura (October 2013) - After reluctantly declining a fairly generous £16,500 at the 2nd offer, the Banker did the unthinkable and stuck after a great 3rd round.
Despite still being tempted by the offer, Laura decided to go on and subsequently had 2 ridiculously against the ods rounds that knocked out all the big money. She was basically forced by the Banker to go to the end from there (i.e. he only offered her £5,000 on a 4 blues/£1k/£15k/£20k/£250k eight box
), and she took it very badly. Over the next few weeks, the Banker used £16,500 as his new governor, and many people (i.e. £16.5k Dawood, £9k Luke, £2.5k Adam [HDC member], £6k Paula, £3k Zoe [HDC member], £10k Ian, £7k Georgie, £5k Colin [lowest selller of the £250k and HDC member] and £14k Grant) dealt early and often at less generous offers than their earlier ones primarily because they had Laura's game well in their minds. In fact, the aftermath of her game was so bad that it led to 2 forum members being banned as a result.
coughme and Archiecough£1,000 Lynn (May 2007) - After a run of aggressive play leading to mixed results while she was on the wings (i.e. the tail end of Wakey Winter
), she made a fairly risky No Deal of £15,000 on a 5 blues/£5k/£50k/£250k board. She then took out the Top 2 amounts in the next round and took the situation really badly, causing her to quickly Deal the (very respectable) £1,000 offer the Banker made next, and here's what she said thereafter according to the commentary:
jmas07 (a.k.a. wakey1512 and nowadays thundercat) wrote:
She tries to persuade every player to deal more often by saying "Never do what I did..."
That definitely worked, as after her game hardly any big risks were taken until £85k Rodney's game some 20 odd shows later. In fact, the Banker quickly noticed this run, and after a successful trial run in £7,500 Sarah's game, he abruptly stopped making the ultra-generous offers that he regularly made since £250k Laura's game.
Can anyone else think of another blue (or low winner in Lynn's case
) win that lead to an entire wing run of caution?