Deal or No Deal Fansite and Forum: Welcome to DOND, the home of Deal or No Deal fans.
Deal Or No Deal
It is currently Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:43 am Last visit was: Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:43 am


Deal or No Deal is currently on a break.

Deal or No Deal forum index » UK DoND Forums » Deal or No Deal General DiscussionAll times are UTC [ DST ]



 Page 1 of 1
  [ 6 posts ] 
  Previous topic | Next topic 
Author Message

crazyeddie
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 6:32 pm    Author: crazyeddie    Post subject: 5-box scenario: What would you do? (3/3)
International Forums Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 7:44 pm
Location: Cornwall
Warnings: 0
Part 1
Part 2

Here we go, last part, slightly later than expected due to manflu. Again, would really appreciate it posting before reading comments. After this, there will be a concluding post as to what your answers to this question reveals.

Here's part 3, in spoiler tags:

You're playing the game for real, with the pilgrims watching, Noel, and the players on the wings. It's very exciting, with a lot of gasps, talking and cheering, and everyone is marvelling at the board in front of you:

£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£250,000

The banker calls, and offers you £98,000. He calls back, and asks to talk to you. He sounds nervous, and is somewhat incomprehensible.

He does say, though, that if you no deal, you will receive an offer after each box. He doesn't know if you want it, but is insistant that is what will happen.
What would you do in this situation? :ponder:

When you're ready, click the reply button above this post. Thanks to all who have posted their comments so far. :)

(even more padding follows...)

























(padding ends)
Top
 Profile  

Simon F
PostPosted: Sun Dec 12, 2010 6:38 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 5-box scenario: What would you do? (3/3)
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 21, 2006 11:12 pm
Location: Leeds
Warnings: 0
I'd take advantage of the banker's confusion and ask to be guaranteed that each offer would be close to the mean (knowing that I'd probably no-deal anyone with 1 to open). I wouldn't be no-dealing with the mindset of going to 2-box but to assess each offer on its merits.

_________________
Number of visits to see DOND: 20
Number of shows seen: 88

Top
 Profile  

mr_northern_guy
PostPosted: Mon Dec 13, 2010 8:51 pm    Author: mr_northern_guy    Post subject: Re: 5-box scenario: What would you do? (3/3)

Joined: Thu Nov 19, 2009 9:26 pm
Warnings: 0
Still No-Deal I think. As I said on one of the other topic's, what exactly have I got to lose? With the mean being guaranteed at 2-box, and now an offer after every box, then it's not much.
Top
 Profile  

James1978
PostPosted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 1:13 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject: Re: 5-box scenario: What would you do? (3/3)

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
Warnings: 0
I'd go on, even if you hit the £250k next box, the worst possible 4-box offer is about £60k. I would only be disappointed I think if I dropped below £50k.

_________________
Image

"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"

Top
 Profile  

KP
PostPosted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:46 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 5-box scenario: What would you do? (3/3)
International Forums Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
I might turn this down to try and go one more box to get a £100k+ Deal and be on the UKGS All-Time Winners' List actually! But I'd probably end up deciding what the point of that was. :D

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

Top
 Profile  

StatsMan
PostPosted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:42 pm    Author: StatsMan    Post subject: Re: 5-box scenario: What would you do? (3/3)

Joined: Wed Jul 04, 2007 11:55 pm
Warnings: 0
Just out of interest, and not really answering your question, but I put this into my calculator thingy and it said £87k, 86% of the mean - but what it doesn't take into account admittedly is minimum win and most player's utility curve indicating they would be perfectly happy with £35k, and to some extent willing to take an out of character gamble in pursuit of the top prize.

Having said that, I'd probably end up going down KP's line of reasoning...

_________________
Image

Biggest Pilgrim Game Wins:

Marlene - 21 July 2013: £118,000
Gill - 23 March 2014: £75,000
Tony - 24 April 2012: £72,000
Lee - 4 April 2013: £48,000
Tommy & Jen - 26 & 27 Mar 2013 :O - £45,000! :O :O

Top
 Profile  
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
 Page 1 of 1
  [ 6 posts ] 
Deal or No Deal forum index » UK DoND Forums » Deal or No Deal General DiscussionAll times are UTC [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bo, Se and 1 guest

You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Jump to:  

Deal Or No Deal

[ View who is online ]

Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group
Copyright ©2023 dond.co.uk All rights reserved

www.dond.co.uk is not responsible for the content posted by private individuals on this website. The views expressed herein are solely the opinions of the individuals that produced them and not necessarily the views of the owner, or of the admins, or of the moderators of this website.

Admin Zone Directory