Below are some potential DoND situations which are quite challenging and would make for a very good game.

What would you do if...

1.
1p
10p
£75,000
£100,000
£250,000

Banker offers: £46,000


2.
In round one, you take out the lowest 5 (1p, 10p, 50p, £1, £5)
Banker offers: £20,000 [yes i do think thats what it would be, remember bushy's £15,000?]

3.
1p
£250,000
Banker offers: £58,000

4.
£20,000
£250,000

Banker offers: £120,000

1. I'd deal. £46,000 is still a huge amount of money, and not worth the risk of ending up with a 4p offer.

2. Ooooooooooh. I'd be really, really tempted - £20,000 would be my "exit fee", and after such a great start it would be very easy for the banker to keep dropping the offers and trap me to the end. On the other hand, I'd want to have an entertaining show and would feel that dealing at the first offer would be a bit of a let-down. I think I'd probably go on, but be a bit nervous about it.

3. Deal, for the same reasons as 1. We'll probably get this soon enough, as the banker's offers with £250,000 and something rubbish in the last two are getting smaller and smaller.

4. Ooooh. I think I'd probably deal...but I'd be very tempted to go on, knowing the worst case scenario was £20,000. I'd probably reluctantly deal.

1. Deal.
2. No Deal.
3. Deal.
4. Deal.

1. That's a really interesting one. 30% chance of keeping two big ones - that's guaranteed to bump the offer up. 20% chance of leaving a blue and the quarter-million - and, well, that leads into 3, really. Only a 10% chance of a disaster, but what a disaster it would be. I'd probably go on.

2. I'd deal that. The big numbers are more powerfully good than the low numbers are powerfully bad. I admit there'd be a very good chance of getting something better eventually, but one big hit in the second round and I'd instantly be chasing losses and it could go horribly wrong.

3. Ouch. I'd deal it, unless I really was crazy enough to go for the money and/or the infamy.

4. Absolute cast-iron Deal. I'd be telling Noel to ask me the question the moment he finished giving the offer.

And here's some more I've come up with:

5.
£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£250,000
Offer: £33,000

6.
10p
50p
£1
£5
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
Offer: £15,000

7.
£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£15,000
£20,000
£35,000
£250,000
Offer: £25,000

1. Deal - lose the £250k and one of the other big amounts and you're certain to see a drop in the offer. And that's a 50% chance. The 10% ultimate disaster scenario swings it I think.

2. No Deal - £20k is nice, but just think of the potential of that game! Banker would punish a bad Round 2 (losing a single red probably!) but there's loads more play left in it.

3 and 4. Deal - That's life-changing money for almost everyone, would need at least £50k with £250k at the end to gamble.

5. Probably Deal - reluctantly, with a 60% chance of winning £10k or less then £33k would be very tempting.

6. No Deal - £20k+ would make it tough, but I would certainly risk £15k with those big four left.

7. No Deal - if those low-mid reds were blues then would be a certain deal, but with that safety net there's play left in that board.

5. The fact that the "disaster" scenario would still leave me with a couple of thousand as a consolation prize would tempt me to go on, but I think I'd deal.

6. No deal. Worst case scenario would be £35,000 and four blues, and it seems that everyone gets out of that situation without touching the £35,000! (Lynn, Oke, Steve, and Fadil all did it!)

7. Deal.

NO DEAL!

1. depends how i felt at that moment
2. No deal
3 deal
4 deal
5 no deal
6 no deal
7 no deal

how about:

8:
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£250,000 offer: £86,000

8. I'd no deal that - it would take over £100,000 to get me to deal, when the "disaster" is winning £35,000!

DEAL

No deal, since the chances of having one of the top three in my box are higher than that of having one of the lowest two. Also, having any two of the top three as the final two would produce a higher offer, as would having the quarter of a million as one of the last two.



Definitely no deal, since there's five sums higher than that and one equal to it.



That seems about the right offer for that board. What I would do would depend on what I felt at the time. In Germaine's game, where he was left with £1 and £250,000, I knew I would gamble. However, sometimes in this situation, I feel I would deal.



Definitely no deal, as I'd be delighted with £20,000. I'd view it as a gain of £20,000, rather than having a negative outlook and see it as £100,000 lost.

What would you do if...

1p
10p
£75,000
£100,000
£250,000

Banker offers: £46,000

I'd chance it... and no deal.

2.
In round one, you take out the lowest 5 (1p, 10p, 50p, £1, £5)
Banker offers: £20,000 [yes i do think thats what it would be, remember bushy's £15,000?]

DEAL! The offer would certainly go down next round.

3.
1p
£250,000
Banker offers: £58,000

Deal.

4.
£20,000
£250,000

Banker offers: £120,000

Deal

5.
£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£250,000
Offer: £33,000

DEAL

6.
10p
50p
£1
£5
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
Offer: £15,000

NO DEAL

7.
£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£15,000
£20,000
£35,000
£250,000
Offer: £25,000

DEAL[/b]

Incredibly, when playing the online game, I was left at the final five with:



Very similar to one of the scenarios mentioned here. I was offered £18,000. (I went on and won 1p )

No Deal that has to be worth the gamble with only a 10% chance of total disaster, but it's easy to say that sitting here now, so who knows?!


No deal, I would want £30,000 in Round 1 to walk. Even with a great start though, as we have seen before it can all unravel!
Deal, it would be terrible to go into the 1p club knowing you had chucked away £57,999.99 !! The show needs a £250,000 winner so no deal, but if someone had already won the 250K, I would probably deal.

Strange, that Morris had this situation a while back, and was offered £101,000 (i think)

yeah he did get offered 101 grand

Okay, I'll have a go...


I would no deal, because the offer undervalues the 250k considerably. With an average of 85k, a median of 75k, and only a 10% chance of losing it all in the next round, I would only take an offer of at least £60,000, and not less.

Using the variable dond strategy, and assuming the banker will offer at least 54% of the average each time as he does here, you can win more than £46,000 70% of the time, with a 30% risk of losing it all.


It's a tempting offer, and I would attempt to resist any influence by the rest of the studio in my decision. Even so, with a stable board like this, I would no deal, because I have a good chance of receiving a higher offer later on.


This one is interesting, I wouldn't definitely no deal here, for £58,000 is a lot of money to risk. But, I wouldn't deal here either, for I would forfeit an average of £67,000 for no good reason.

Instead, I would flip a coin. My reasoning is, if you flip, you don't put yourself at a 50% risk of losing it all, and you still give yourself a chance of winning the 250k.

The average you can win changes to £91,500, which is something I would be much happier to have, even when I have only one go playing.


I would deal here. To keep £100,000, a life changing sum of money, I would have to forfeit on average £15,000, or 13% of the difference, but I would value the offer more than I would value winning the 250k, which isn't as life changing.

Another possibility (9?):

£1
£5
£10
£50
£1,000
£5,000
£10,000
£50,000

Offer: £4,400

No deal. The chance of £50k is worth the risk of losing £4.4k, I think, as the latter wouldn't be life-changing whereas the former would.