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Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?
1 ) Undeal £6,500 select 1 egg if good win £100,000 17%  17%  [ 12 ]
2 ) Undeal £10,000 select 2 eggs if 1 good win £15,000 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
3 ) Undeal £5,000 select 1 egg if good win £20,000 5%  5%  [ 4 ]
4 ) Undeal £15,000 select 2 eggs if 1 good win £35,000 8%  8%  [ 6 ]
5 ) Undeal £2,000 select 1 egg if good win £5,000 5%  5%  [ 4 ]
6 ) Undeal £20,000 select 2 eggs if 1 good win £50,000 12%  12%  [ 9 ]
7 ) Undeal £7,000 select 1 egg if good win £20,000 4%  4%  [ 3 ]
8 ) Undeal £5,000 select 2 eggs if 1 good win £10,000 10%  10%  [ 7 ]
9 ) Undeal £25,000 select 1 egg if good win £250,000 12%  12%  [ 9 ]
10 ) Undeal £50,000 select 2 eggs if 1 good win £250,000 21%  21%  [ 15 ]
Total votes : 70
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rico7

PostPosted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 6:46 pm    Author: rico7    Post subject: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?
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In today's game (Easter Sunday) if Rachael had left the £100,000 in play at 2 box after having dealt, I wondered if the banker
could have provided a final twist at the end.

Consequently I've created some hypothetical Banker's Easter Egg Gambles.

In each of these, you have already dealt and opened your box and found a red amount which is higher than your deal.

In taking the banker's gamble you put your deal on the line by having to find the good egg to win your box amount.
You either get one or two eggs to find the good egg (there are 2 bad eggs and one good egg)
If you don't find it you lose everything.

Have a look at them, and vote for the banker's easter egg gambles you would deal.


Last edited by rico7 on Sun Apr 12, 2009 6:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 6:47 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?
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Any penalties with these, Rico?

EDIT: Ah I've just read...

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alexandercbrown

PostPosted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 6:51 pm    Author: alexandercbrown    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?

Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2007 8:30 pm
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1,3,4,6,8,9,10 I think.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 7:32 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?
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1. 1/3 chance at £100,000, expected value £33,333. I'm taking this one on in an instant.
2. 2/3 chance at £15,000, expected value £10,000. I'm rejecting this one in an instant.
3. 1/3 chance at £20,000, expected value £6,667. I'm not taking that one on.
4. 2/3 chance at £35,000, expected value £23,333. I'd give this some consideration, but no.
5. 1/3 chance at £5,000, expected value £1,667. AMO alert! Hell no.
6. 2/3 chance at £50,000, expected value £33,333. I'd be very tempted... but no.
7. 1/3 chance at £20,000, expected value £6,667. See also 5.
8. It's the Daimon gamble, and I said at the time, I'd undeal four grand there but not five.
9. 1/3 chance at £250,000, expected value £83,333. Is £250,000 three times as good as £25,000? No idea, and this one probably comes down to what experiences I've had on the wings before my game.
10. 2/3 chance at £250,000, expected value £166,667. Ditto, but I'm probably taking this one on.

So 1 for sure, probably 10, conceivably 6, 9 and quite possibly 4.

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James1978

PostPosted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 7:42 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?

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The only one I'd definitely take is the first one! :)

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 8:11 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?

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I went for 4, 6, 9 and 10. Forgot to tick 1, however.

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Lewis246

PostPosted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 8:19 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?

Joined: Mon Feb 05, 2007 4:52 pm
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Definitely 1, possibly 4, 6 and 9. I would probably no deal 10 but take £10k off the deal and I'd probably go for it.


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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 8:32 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?
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I forgot how 1 would have fared...in that case I reckon I would indeed say Deal to it...but I've forgotten to tick it

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CrazyChair

PostPosted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 11:39 pm    Author: CrazyChair    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?

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I'd probably undeal anything under £10,000. However, if something like Daimon's game was on my mind, I'd be reluctant to take any sort of gamble. I know previous events shouldn't influence a decision, but I think they would.


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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Sun Apr 12, 2009 11:59 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?
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CrazyChair wrote:
I'd probably undeal anything under £10,000. However, if something like Daimon's game was on my mind, I'd be reluctant to take any sort of gamble. I know previous events shouldn't influence a decision, but I think they would.


Same here

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Kanga

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 3:07 pm    Author: Kanga    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?
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9 and 10 for the big money. Having read the comments afterwards perhaps I should have ticked 1 as well.

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rico7

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 6:22 pm    Author: rico7    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?
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1, 6, 8, and 10 for me, although I'd be very tempted by 9 as well! :D


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cool-luke-18

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 7:22 pm    Author: cool-luke-18    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?

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I would definitely gamble on numbers 1, 3, 4, 6, 9, 10. I would consider the rest so I don't really know what I would do on them.


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killersbee

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 7:30 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?
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1,9 and 10

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cfd

PostPosted: Tue Apr 14, 2009 2:49 am    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: Banker's Easter Egg Gambles What would YOU do?

Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:02 pm
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1,9,10.

No detailed reasons needed. KP has already listed the EV of each gamble - and the question then simply becomes is the EV a big enough advance on the stake? For me this is only the case on the 3 above.


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