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 [ 20 posts ] 

Please vote responsibly...
DEAL 1 5%  5%  [ 4 ]
NO DEAL 1 19%  19%  [ 14 ]
<do not vote> 2%  2%  [ 2 ]
DEAL 2 15%  15%  [ 11 ]
NO DEAL 2 8%  8%  [ 6 ]
<do not vote> 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
DEAL 3 8%  8%  [ 6 ]
NO DEAL 3 15%  15%  [ 11 ]
<do not vote> 2%  2%  [ 2 ]
DEAL 4 5%  5%  [ 4 ]
NO DEAL 4 15%  15%  [ 11 ]
Total votes : 72
Author Message

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 5:59 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Time to use the "multi-vote" option, by doing a few of these.

<--->

1p and £75,000

And you have £18,500 from the last round where you also had £15,000 and £1,000. Would you DEAL (select DEAL 1) or NO DEAL (select NO DEAL 1) the Banker's Gamble?

<--->

£35,000 and £250,000

You accepted £103,000 as an above mean offer with all the power 5 at 5-box. Would you DEAL (select DEAL 2) or NO DEAL (select NO DEAL 2) the Banker's Gamble

<--->

£20,000 and £35,000

Having dealt £28,000 in the previous round with £100,000 there too. Would you DEAL (select DEAL 3) or NO DEAL (select NO DEAL 3) the Banker's Gamble?

<--->

And since we haven't seen a situation as such...

10p
£250
£1,000
£10,000
£250,000

You accepted £19,000 as an offer with three more blues on the board. Would you DEAL (select DEAL 4) or NO DEAL (select NO DEAL 4) the Banker's Gamble?

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KP

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 6:03 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations
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Last one wouldn't happen - it'd have been a four-figure eight-box offer, and if it was £19k at eight-box it'd have been £40k at five!

Banker's Gambles are just undoing the prior Deal and then offering the same amount again so I'd treat them as ordinary offers: £18,500 on 1p/£75k is a Deal, £103k (LOL at how you got to it) on £35k/£250k is a very, very reluctant Deal, and every AMO is a Deal. So I wouldn't take any of those gambles.

That said, knock off just 10% off all of those offers, and I'm gambling. Certainly on the last two, and maybe on the first (10% off £18,500 is £16,650, and that's marginal on 1p/£75k).

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daniel4389

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 6:08 pm    Author: daniel4389    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm
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No Deal them all (assuming No Deal means keeping the money and not taking the gamble) except possibly 2.

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Lewis246

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 6:11 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Mon Feb 05, 2007 4:52 pm
Location: Devon
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Possibly deal the first two, definite no deal on the other two.


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h2005

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 6:21 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations
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No Deal them all (i.e. keeping the money).

Why have you got "do not vote" options in the poll? People have voted for them already, so I see... :eyes:

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daniel4389

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 6:23 pm    Author: daniel4389    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm
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Aaron Brock wrote:
You accepted £19,000 as an offer with three more blues on the board. Would you DEAL (select DEAL 4) or NO DEAL (select NO DEAL 4) the Banker's Gamble?


I was about to ask why on earth he'd offer the gamble straight after an all-blue round before realising he did just that in Ann's game. :?

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 6:29 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

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h2005 wrote:
Why have you got "do not vote" options in the poll? People have voted for them already, so I see... :eyes:


I know, I just wanted some sort of divider to make them clearer. This obviously isn't the answer :blueponder

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h2005

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 6:42 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations
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Yes... might have been better to do it without the "dividers".

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Craig

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 8:39 pm    Author: Craig    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Wed Sep 19, 2007 9:33 pm
Location: Aberdeen
Warnings: 0
I put

No Deal

Deal

Deal

No Deal


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matthew17

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 9:38 pm    Author: matthew17    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations
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Craig wrote:
I put

No Deal

Deal

Deal

No Deal


LMFAO Same here!! :shock: :shock: :D

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Michael DeVere

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 11:15 pm    Author: Michael DeVere    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2006 6:46 pm
Warnings: 0
1. No Deal
2. Deal
3. No Deal
4. No Deal


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Craig

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 11:36 pm    Author: Craig    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Wed Sep 19, 2007 9:33 pm
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Im actually quite surprised people would not accept the bankers gamble when the two amounts left are £20,000 and £35,000, i thought that would be the one people would "Deal" on!


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KP

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 11:39 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations
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Craig... one reason. People here can add up!

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Craig

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 11:41 pm    Author: Craig    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Wed Sep 19, 2007 9:33 pm
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KP wrote:
Craig... one reason. People here can add up!


ok ok, i was just thinking it would be worth at least going for it with the back-up of the £20k. Dont have to get all simple on me i was just wondering!


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h2005

PostPosted: Wed Jul 16, 2008 11:48 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations
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KP wrote:
Craig... one reason. People here can add up!


I think your average Joe Bloggs would probably accept the gamble on option 3, as they would have Craig's thinking that £20k is a good backup. Having said that, I can see why the people who focus on the stats side would be aghast at anyone dealing the gamble there. I'd no deal it myself because it's an AMO, but can understand why people might accept it.

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greeny

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:09 am    Author: greeny    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Sun Jan 15, 2006 11:14 pm
Location: Wirral
Warnings: 0
1. ND
2. Deal
3. Deal - I don't care it's an AMO, a guaranteed 20k would make me take the gamble
4. ND


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James1978

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:29 am    Author: James1978    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
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It still confuses me a bit as to what "deal" and "no deal" actually means in those scenarios.

I would keep the money in all of them except number 2. The last one seems really far-fetched but there's still a huge chance of it going pear-shaped after a good round. I can't see it ever being offered not at 2-box anyway, as you could undeal once then deal again at 2-box. :)

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rico7

PostPosted: Thu Jul 17, 2008 4:15 pm    Author: rico7    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations
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no deal the banker's gamble on 1p and £75,000

Deal the banker's gamble with £35K and 250K as 35K is a great backup and 103K is well less than the mean.

No deal the 3rd one as 28K is AMO

No deal the last one.


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alexandercbrown

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 12:03 am    Author: alexandercbrown    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2007 8:30 pm
Location: edinburgh
Warnings: 0
1. undecided/marginal

2. deal

3. probably deal

4. deal I think.


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alexandercbrown

PostPosted: Fri Jul 18, 2008 12:05 am    Author: alexandercbrown    Post subject: Re: A few Banker's Gamble situations

Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2007 8:30 pm
Location: edinburgh
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daniel4389 wrote:
Aaron Brock wrote:
You accepted £19,000 as an offer with three more blues on the board. Would you DEAL (select DEAL 4) or NO DEAL (select NO DEAL 4) the Banker's Gamble?


I was about to ask why on earth he'd offer the gamble straight after an all-blue round before realising he did just that in Ann's game. :?


I thought that was strange as well surely 50/75K would have replaced one of the blues.


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