What would you do? 2.

OK, you are in this position at eight box...

1p
10p
50p
£1
£5
£10
£50
------
£250,000

And the offer is £30,000.

DEAl OR NO DEAL?

Ex-DoND contestant (show #992, 23 March 2009)

Definite deal. That's a very generous offer for a very unstable board!

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

DEAL, d'uh... :lol:

**Posted:** Sat Jun 14, 2008 12:40 pm **Author:** matthew17 **Post subject:**

DEAL!

That offer is ridiculously high for a board like that, so obviously you should deal.

If you lowered that offer to about £5k or something, I'd have to think more...

Ex-DoND contestant (show #992, 23 March 2009)

I think anything above £15k on this board would be a concrete deal. I'd be very tempted by anything above £10k actually. Below £10k and I'm probably going on. Have we ever seen an 8-box board similar to this one? The only one I can think of is Crap Deal Michael's but he had £100k instead of £250k, and was offered £1,000 which he dealt!!

96% of the mean on a board with that volatility of course I'd deal! - a decent banker doesn't offer more than 20K on 4 blues vs 250K anyway!

9/10K would be more interesting.

**Posted:** Sat Jun 14, 2008 12:56 pm **Author:** matthew17 **Post subject:**

Hmmmm... I wonder who picked 'No deal'... :lol:

**Joined:** Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm **Warnings:** 0

I think even basicasic might take that...

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

basic would probably take that. Oh, but SrWilson has thousands of piles for himself, so he'll go all the way for the £250,000 while it's there. :roll:

**Posted:** Sat Jun 14, 2008 1:20 pm **Author:** Craig **Post subject:**

For me, if box 7 was still in play (if it was my game it would be) then i would No Deal. I would actually try for an all-blue round and see how much that offer would be then!

**Posted:** Sat Jun 14, 2008 1:22 pm **Author:** matthew17 **Post subject:**

Aaron Brock wrote:

basic would probably take that. Oh, but SrWilson has thousands of piles for himself, so he'll go all the way for the £250,000 while it's there. :roll:

Lol yeah. I bet in real life SrWilson isn't a bold enough player, and if the offer was something like £1,500 here, he'd probably take it. :shock:

**Posted:** Sat Jun 14, 2008 1:55 pm **Author:** Tom **Post subject:**

Definitely Deal. For that board, £30,000 is an amazing offer.

**Posted:** Sat Jun 14, 2008 2:10 pm **Author:** James1978 **Post subject:**

Heck, I'd deal 30k even if you replaced one of the blues with the 100k!

**Joined:** Wed Jan 17, 2007 1:23 am **Warnings:** 0

matthew17 wrote:

Aaron Brock wrote:

basic would probably take that. Oh, but SrWilson has thousands of piles for himself, so he'll go all the way for the £250,000 while it's there. :roll:

Lol yeah. I bet in real life SrWilson isn't a bold enough player, and if the offer was something like £1,500 here, he'd probably take it. :shock:

Very wrong my boy I am a gambler and I would go all the way but I am NOT stupid and if i was offered 30k on that board id be off see ya outi lol :lol:

However if the offer was below 20k id carry on!

**Posted:** Sat Jun 14, 2008 2:31 pm **Author:** basicasic **Post subject:**

daniel4389 wrote:

I think even basicasic might take that...

Haha. Dream on.

All you lot see is blues. I see opportunity. That board is a cert for one more round. The chances are you'll hit 3 blues and get a mega-offer next round. Well worth a gamble I'd say.

One more gamble and then deal. I'd be happy then.

basically it's a 62.5% chance of an extra 20K (presumably) or a 37.5% chance of peanuts.

but anything above 10-15K would be fine IMO anyway given there's 7 blues on the board and limited potential gain given rational banker behaviour.

**Joined:** Wed Jan 17, 2007 1:23 am **Warnings:** 0

The reality is though you would be lucky to even get 15K of which id be going on.

**Posted:** Sat Jun 14, 2008 2:48 pm **Author:** matthew17 **Post subject:**

basicasic wrote:

daniel4389 wrote:

I think even basicasic might take that...

Haha. Dream on.

All you lot see is blues. I see opportunity. That board is a cert for one more round. The chances are you'll hit 3 blues and get a mega-offer next round. Well worth a gamble I'd say.

One more gamble and then deal. I'd be happy then.

There is a greater chance of hitting 3 blues in the next round, but we've seen it before all the time - someone makes a brave no deal at a decent offer with an all or peanuts board like that, then the next box they pick is the big'un. :shock:

So that's pretty much why I'd deal there. £30ks a lot of money to lose.

**Posted:** Sat Jun 14, 2008 3:49 pm **Author:** Joel **Post subject:**

basicasic wrote:

daniel4389 wrote:

I think even basicasic might take that...

Haha. Dream on.

All you lot see is blues. I see opportunity. That board is a cert for one more round. The chances are you'll hit 3 blues and get a mega-offer next round. Well worth a gamble I'd say.

One more gamble and then deal. I'd be happy then.

Same here!:hehe

**Posted:** Sat Jun 14, 2008 5:05 pm **Author:** James1978 **Post subject:**

I reckon basic would gamble all the way to the end if the 250k was still there unless any of the offers were above the mean.

When I asked one of my friends who says he'd gamble any offers on the show I've given examples of, he sid it would take 60k to deal on a board with 250 and 4 blues!

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