little_monster wrote:
Don't deny that every box has a 1/22 chance of having the 1p. The probability of a single box containing the 1p is very small, as there is a 21/22 chance it won't contain 1p, but there still is a chance. The theory that Box 4 is evil and only has big numbers is false. Recently, it has contained a number of blues.
Don't bore me with facts and figures about the current state of the Box 4 situation. Yes, it has had the £250,000 a number of times over the past few months. Yes, it contains reds more often than blues. But the undeniable truth is that all the boxes are sealed randomly, and the fact that Box 4 has contained reds more times than any other box is simply chance.
When the 1p is next in Box 4, I will prove that the silly idea that Box 4 is "evil" is false. That is one of reasons that I pick Box 4 for the 1p Guess Amount contest every time, along with the fact that it is one of my favourite numbers.
If 4 is your favorite number, you would choose it for the £250,000 guess, rather then the 1p guess. I know it's all random, but it adds another element to the game. Otherwise, each number would be boring, the same, blah blah... I would actually question the game being false if all the boxes did adhere to the 1/22 rule EACH TIME.