After Lionel's crappy fourth round today I thought I'd see how many people had had the best and worst possible rounds at each stage (red = proveout):

Worst possible second round (1 in 680 chance):
Ottis (£50k, £35k, £250k)

Best possible third round (1 in 364 chance):
Melanie (50p, 10p, 1p)
Kay (2) (50p, £1, 10p)

Best possible fourth round (1 in 165 chance):
J.T. (50p, £1, £100)
Pennie (£10, £5, 1p)
Lee (3) (10p, £1, 1p)
Mike (3) (50p, 1p, £1)

Worst possible fourth round (1 in 165 chance):
Raj (2) (£10k, £100k, £250k)
Katy (£50k, £250k, £35k)
Lionel (£250k, £100k, £35k)

Best possible fifth round (1 in 56 chance):
James (2) (£750, £1k, £50)
Julia (1p, 10p, £50)
Morris (£5, 1p, £1)
Mary (1) (£5, 50p, 1p)
Claudine (£500, 1p, £750)
Kath (1p, 10p, £10)

Worst possible fifth round (1 in 56 chance):
Andrew (1) (£50k, £100k, £20k)
Geordie (£5k, £100k, £15k)
Emi (£75k, £750, £1k)

Best possible sixth round (1 in 10 chance):
Sara (£5, £1k, 50p)
Rob (1) (£100, £750, £5)
Jo (1) (£10, £3k, £5)
Helen (1) (50p, £1, £50)
Lee (1) (£500, 50p, £100)
Liz (£10k, £750, 1p)
Daz (1) (£500, 1p, £1)
Fin (£250, 1p, £10)
Beryl (1p, 10p, £5)
Saj (£1k, 50p, 1p)
Steve (1) (£50, £5, £10)
Sandra (1) (£1k, £10k, £250)
Cathy (£500, £750, £1)
Gaz (1) (£1, £500, 1p)
Simon (2) (£50, £1, £500)
Drew (£10k, £250, £50)
Yvonne (£250, £100, £10)
Bianca (£250, £10, £750)
Roy (1) (£3k, 1p, £100)
Sue (1) (£3k, £250, £500)
Chris (3) (£5, £500, 1p)
Lance (£250, £50, £1)
Rob (2) (£100, 10p, 50p)
Hannah (50p, 10p, £10)
Steve (2) (£10, £3k, £10k)
Pat (4) (£5, 50p, £3k)
Mark P. (£50, £500, £100)
Alan (4) (£500, £1, £750)
Neil (1) (£10, £50, 10p)
David (4) (50p, £50, £100)
Ned (£5, 50p, 1p)
Adie (£10, £1k, £500)
Donna (3) (£5, £10, £5k)
Alfie (£50, £750, £3k)
Daniel (1p, £750, £1k)
Phil (1p, £750, £1k)
Leanne (50p, £100, £5k)
Bunney (£100, £500, 10p)
Patrick (3) (£750, £35k, 1p)
Doug (£5k, £250, £3k)
Betty (50p, £20k, £10)
Sarah B. (£250, 1p, £1)
Kelsie (£750, £20k, £100)
Tess (£750, 1p, £250)
Penny (1) (£10, £750, £5)
Gaz (3) (£1, £50k, £20k)
Belinda (£15k, £1k, 1p)
Rita (3) (1p, £750, £100)
Pauline (2) (10p, £750, £50)
Kathleen (10p, £20k, £50k)
Lynn (3) (1p, 50p, £5k)

Worst possible sixth round (1 in 10 chance):
Paul (1) (£35k, £5k, £3k)
Len (£500, £10k, £75k)
Sam (1) (£50k, £10k, £15k)
Raj (1) (£15k, £1k, £20k)
James (1) (£3k, £35k, £75k)
Jeff (1) (£35k, £15k, £50k)
Simon (1) (£1k, £15k, £35k)
Vaughan (£750, £35k, £20k)
Terry (£750, £5k, £250k)
Julie (1) (£50k, £500, £250k)
John G. (£50k, £75k, £1k)
Marcus (£250k, £100k, £5k)
Barbara (1) (£75k, £35k, £750)
J.T. (£250k, £100k, £50k)
Emma D. (£1k, £250k, £20k)
Susie (£1k, £10k, £50k)
June (£75k, £50, £10)
Jainie (£100k, £750, £50k)
Peter (2) (£250k, £1k, £100)
Daz (2) (£75k, £50k, £20k)
Sally (£15k, £500, £250)
Lindsay (£100k, £3k, £750)
Barbara (2) (£1k, £250k, £3k)
Lisa (3) (£500, £1k, £750)
Ken (£1k, £3k, £10k)
Mark (6) (£3k, £250k, £5k)
Howard (£10k, £500, £3k)
Helen (5) (£3k, £100, £10k)
Sue (2) (£500, £10k, £3k)
Neil (2) (£1k, £75k, £20k)
Ryan (2) (£20k, £35k, £5k)
Dennis (£1k, £50k, £750)
Paul H. (£50k, £75k, £250)
Jack (£75k, £35k, £100)
Jayne (2) (£100k, £500, £10k)
Gus (£50k, £250k, £35k)
Theresa (£1k, £5k, £750)
Philip (£10k, £35k, £20k)
Stephen (£50k, £35k, £15k)
Colin (2) (£15k, £5k, £10k)
Steve (5) (£1k, £35k, £3k)
Frazer (£1k, £20k, £3k)
Igor (£1k, £3k, £50)

So we still haven't had a perfect second round or a totally disastrous third round...and obviously nobody (except Nan...) has had the best or worst possible first round, which I think is a 1 in 26,344 chance. And JT managed to have both a best and worst possible round in his game!

Kev took out 50k, 100k and 250k in his 4th round and had 75k on the table.

Excellent work Daniel, especially as you put the odds too!

It's interesting that Laura (£250,000 winner) did not have the best
possible 6th round.

Yeah, I was thinking of it in terms of what was possible at the time it happened - obviously Kev couldn't have hit the £75k, but at the time nobody knew it was in his box so it seemed like it could have been worse. Obviously a lot more people have had the best/worst possible round when you take into account what was in their box, such as anyone who leaves a big amount to the end, or people like Lynne or Debbie who have the biggest one but leave the worst.

That's four shows in a row where every player had the best possible sixth round...no wonder Bunney No Dealt!

Yeah, I noticed that - also spooky that Daniel and Phil hit exactly the same boxes in exactly the same order!

v. impressive Daniel

By the way, does this take into account the contents of the player's box? because if so then Dawn should not be in the best possible sixth round section as she hit the 20k

Oh, no it doesn't...don't know what I was thinking there, thanks!

you've done a really good job here, especially as you include the probability of each event happening. Didn't realise it was Ottis who has had the unluckiest round ever in DOND

Kay had the joint luckiest round ever today, taking out the bottom three amounts left in the third round!

Didn't she also have the luckiet 4 boxes EVER?

Last Box Of Second Round:

1p

Third Round:

50p
£1
10p

Mike had a lucky 4th round - 1p, 50p, £1!

Igor joins with his disastorous 6th round!

If anyone's still keeping this updated - Vicky becomes the fourth player to hit the worst possible fifth round, and the third in active play (none of them left with more than £20!)

Also Joan achieved the worst possible sixth round yesterday, though fortunately after dealing!

Just a little update, the best round 2 would be Irene [10p,50p,£1] wouldnt it?

Huge bump I know, but there wasn't much point starting a new thread with this one existing dormant, plus I'm really interested to see how many very unlikely rounds we've had.

Just adding in a couple of the 1 in 165 rounds we've had that I can recall...

Best Possible 4th Round (1 in 165 chance):

James (10/01/12): £5, 1p, £1

Worst Possible 4th Round (1 in 165 chance):

Stuart (29/09/07): £100,000, £250,000, £75,000

Chris (29/03/09): £50,000, £75,000, £20,000


Could anyone add in any more best/worst possible rounds ?