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MisterAl

PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 5:14 pm    Author: MisterAl    Post subject: 5-box guaranteed wins
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After Amy's game where she was guaranteed a £15k win at 5-box, I thought I'd do some maths. Here are the probabilities that a 5-box board will guarantee the following wins, due to all of the lower amounts having been eliminated.

At least 1p guaranteed: 1 in 1 (100%)
At least 10p guaranteed: 1 in 1.29 (77.3%)
At least 50p guaranteed: 1 in 1.70 (58.9%)
At least £1 guaranteed: 1 in 2.26 (44.2%)
At least £5 guaranteed: 1 in 3.07 (32.5%)
At least £10 guaranteed: 1 in 4.26 (23.5%)
At least £50 guaranteed: 1 in 6.03 (16.6%)
At least £100 guaranteed: 1 in 8.77 (11.4%)
At least £250 guaranteed: 1 in 13.15 (7.6%)
At least £500 guaranteed: 1 in 20.46 (4.9%)
At least £750 guaranteed: 1 in 33.25 (3.0%)
At least £1k guaranteed: 1 in 57 (1.8%)
At least £3k guaranteed: 1 in 104.5 (1.0%)
At least £5k guaranteed: 1 in 209 (0.5%)
At least £10k guaranteed: 1 in 470.25 (0.2%)
At least £15k guaranteed: 1 in 1254 (0.08%)
At least £20k guaranteed: 1 in 4389 (0.02%)
At least £35k guaranteed: 1 in 26334 (0.004%)

Not interesting, but at least it's factual.

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StatsMan

PostPosted: Fri Jun 19, 2009 12:17 am    Author: StatsMan    Post subject: Re: 5-box guaranteed wins

Joined: Wed Jul 04, 2007 11:55 pm
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No, that is interesting in some way... I'm just not quite sure what :P

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Marlene - 21 July 2013: £118,000
Gill - 23 March 2014: £75,000
Tony - 24 April 2012: £72,000
Lee - 4 April 2013: £48,000
Tommy & Jen - 26 & 27 Mar 2013 :O - £45,000! :O :O


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