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higginson_ronan

PostPosted: Wed Jun 08, 2022 7:26 pm    Author: higginson_ronan    Post subject: Re: Post your games here:
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Joined: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:05 pm
Location: Kent
Warnings: 0
Hoping to continue a week of OPWs now with BOX 8


Round 1:

Box 4 - £10
Box 20 - £50
Box 18 - £15,000
Box 16 - 10p
Box 5 - £250,000 :(

Prediction time...


PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£5,500




BANKER'S OFFER

£5,550




Offer button is in play :D


Ronan says NO DEAL


Round 2:

Box 10 - £35,000
Box 11 - £3,000
Box 17 - £20,000


Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£5,400




Ronan says NO DEAL


Round 3:

Box 1 - £5
Box 3 - £75,000
Box 13 - £750


Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£4,600




Ronan says NO DEAL


Round 4:

Box 14 - £10,000
Box 19 - £500
Box 9 - 1p :D


Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£6,400




Ronan says NO DEAL


Round 5:


Box 2 - £100,000 :(
Box 15 - £1,000
Box 21 - 50p


Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£3,200




Ronan says NO DEAL


Round 6:

Box 22 - £250
Box 6 - £50,000 :(

Ronan pushes the button...


 BANKER'S OFFER 

£560



Ronan says NO DEAL


Box 7 - £5,000 :(


Banker time with £1 and £100 remaining...


 BANKER'S OFFER 

£41




Ronan says NO DEAL


Box 8 - £1
Box 12 - £100


Box 23 time...

£2
£10,001
£1

50p
NOTHING




Box 23 - DEAL
Contents - +£10,000 :smt023 :D

Ronan's winnings go up to £10,001


A needed save at the end there! :D

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higginson_ronan

PostPosted: Thu Jun 09, 2022 5:42 pm    Author: higginson_ronan    Post subject: Re: Post your games here:
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Joined: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:05 pm
Location: Kent
Warnings: 0
After a lucky escape yesterday, today I have BOX 16

Round 1:

12 - £3,000
19 - £100,000
18 - £250
5 - £750
3 - £15,000

Prediction time...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£6,000




BANKER'S OFFER

£8,250



Offer buton is not in play...

Ronan says NO DEAL

Round 2...

15 - £250,000 :(
13 - 1p :D
20 - £10,000

Banker time...

BANKER'S OFFER

£4,000



Ronan says NO DEAL

Round 3...

2 - £500
22 - £5
9 - £5,000

Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£6,000



Ronan says NO DEAL

Round 4...

10 - £20,000
8 - £10
14 - £75,000

Banker time...

BANKER'S OFFER

£3,000



Ronan says NO DEAL

Round 5...

6 - £1,000
21 - 10p
7 - £35,000

Banker time...

BANKER'S OFFER

£2,400



Ronan says DEAL

11 - 50p
4 - £50
17 - £50,000 :D

Banker time with £1 and £100 remaining...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£23



Box 16 - £1
Box 1 - £100


Box 23 time...


Box 23 - DEAL
Contents - DOUBLE :D

Ronan's winnings go up to £4,800

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Fan of many game shows and Series 87 Champion of Countdown!


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higginson_ronan

PostPosted: Mon Sep 26, 2022 8:12 pm    Author: higginson_ronan    Post subject: Re: Post your games here:
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Joined: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:05 pm
Location: Kent
Warnings: 0
Kicking off this week I have BOX 4

Round 1...

Box 5 - £15,000
Box 9 - £1
Box 6 - £3,000
Box 13 - £10
Box 14 - £100,000 :(


Offer Button time:

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£7,000



BANKER'S OFFER

£8,400



Offer button not in play :(

Ronan says NO DEAL

Round 2...

Box 18 - £50,000 :?
Box 20 - £250
Box 16 - 10p

Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£9,500



Ronan says NO DEAL

Round 3...

Box 2 - £500
Box 19 - £35,000
Box 22 - £5,000

Banker time...

BANKER'S OFFER

£10,500




Ronan says NO DEAL


Round 4...


Box 3 - £10,000
Box 12 - £750
Box 8 - £20,000


Banker time...

BANKER'S OFFER

£10,500




Ronan says NO DEAL


Round 5...


Box 17 - £5
Box 21 - £75,000 :smt107

Avoid that £250,000 now PLEASE...

Box 1 - £250,000 :( :evil: :smt011 :smt019


Banker time on a very damaged board...

 BANKER'S OFFER 

£105



Got to go for that £11,000 now...

Ronan says NO DEAL

Round 6...

Box 15 - £1,000 :smt009
Box 10 - £100
Box 11 - 1p

Banker time with 50p and £50 in play...


 BANKER'S OFFER 

£23



Ronan says NO DEAL AND SWAP


Box 7 - £50
Box 4 - 50p


Box 23 time (let's hope we can recover the situation)...

Ronan says DEAL

Box 23 Contains - HALF :(


Total winnings - £25

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Fan of many game shows and Series 87 Champion of Countdown!


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Tue Sep 27, 2022 12:55 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Post your games here:
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OOF, really unlucky to hit the 11% chance of disaster there at 8 box. :(

Probably would've done the same with the generosity patterns of Aaron's game. Facing the IRL Banker and the likelihood of a forcing offer on a 1 box game I'd be more tempted to take it, though.

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higginson_ronan

PostPosted: Fri Nov 11, 2022 7:20 pm    Author: higginson_ronan    Post subject: Re: Post your games here:
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Joined: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:05 pm
Location: Kent
Warnings: 0
I have BOX 18 today!

Round 1:

Box 10 - £50
Box 11 - £3,000
Box 1 - £10,000
Box 15 - £35,000
Box 19 - £1


PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£9,000




BANKER'S OFFER

£9,800




Offer button IS in play! :D And I say NO DEAL

On we go to Round 2...


Box 2 - £1,000
Box 20 - £15,000

All red round?

Box 14 -
£500 :D


Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£13,500



I say NO DEAL


Round 3...


Box 16 - £10
Box 4 - £250,000 :evil:
Box 12 - £100

£250,000 going damaged that round!

Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£8,000



I say NO DEAL yet again!


On we go to Round 4...


Box 17 - £75,000 :shock:
Box 9 - £5
Box 5 - 10p


Another single red damaging the round! :smt009


Banker time...


And a small increase this time:

BANKER'S OFFER

£8,900




A reasonable offer, but I think there's a big offer awaiting should this round work out.

So NO DEAL it is!


Image Image Image

Round 5...

Box 8 - £50,000 Image
Box 13 - 50p Image
Box 21 - £20,000 Image

Banker time on a (in terms of significant money) 1 box game...


BANKER'S OFFER

£7,000



Pretty fair given 2 big reds went this round, but with that £100,000 is there, I can't help but feel it's worth one last round.

A risky one here, but it's still NO DEAL :eyes:


Now, fingers crossed for Round 6...


Box 6 - £250
Box 3 - 1p Image

Time to hit that *BUTTON*

...


BANKER'S OFFER

£19,000




A tricky one here, the £100,000 going would be the only good result if I deal, and the only bad result if I no deal. I still have a backup of £5,000 as well...


So, a huge offer could be on my way, which is why it's a
NO DEAL sdgthju




Last box of Round 6...


Box 22 - Will the gamble pay off?....
£5,000 Yes! Image





And with £750 and £100,000 left on the board, let's hear what the Banker has got to say!



A tough game this has been, and the final offer of this game, is...


£27,000


Pretty good. A significant drop if the gamble weren't to pay off. I feel I've had quite a lot of luck already in this game, and that this would be a good amount to take on the board. So, with that said, I have decided to
DEAL - £27,000!



Surprisingly, the Banker WOULDN'T have phoned back to offer the swap, so Box 18 is the one we're opening. Was it a case of there being no fear of either box after declining £19,000, and that actually, picking 7 would have got a better offer? Or actually, did my selection turn out to be the right one gaining me a further £8,000?


Box 18 -
£750Yes it was! Image




Box 7, had I gone for it, would have caused huge damage - £100,000



Now, one final act of the game, Box 23!


£54,000
£37,000
£27,000
£13,500
NOTHING


It's very tempting, with 2/5 of the possibilities giving a Power 5 win, but it is a big risk, and I am pleased with my £27,000. So NO DEAL


Had I gone for 23, However, I would have got...
MONEY BACK





PHEW! And a Banker Spanking as well! Image

_________________
Check out my YouTube Channel for regular uploads of Deal or No Deal Episodes! :)

Fan of many game shows and Series 87 Champion of Countdown!


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higginson_ronan

PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 1:17 am    Author: higginson_ronan    Post subject: Re: Post your games here:
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Joined: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:05 pm
Location: Kent
Warnings: 0
My Game for Thursday 1st December 2022


I have BOX 1 on the table, and 5 boxes to open in Round 1:

Box 10 - £750

Box 4 - £5,000

Box 6 - £50,000

Box 14 - £100,000

Box 15 - £250


Reasonable start. But now it's BUTTON time. I get hold of it if my prediction of the offer is within 10% of the band. I think that this would be a fair enough prediction:

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£8,200



Is my prediction enough to get the button...?

BANKER'S OFFER

£7,333



No! :(

Unfortunately, the band covered £6,599.70-£8,066.30, meaning I was out by just £133.70. :smt009

Anyway, £7,333 isn't too bad an offer with that start, but it is, of course, a NO DEAL.



Now we're on to Round 2, so time to open a further 3 boxes...


Box 5 - £35,000 :?

A bit of a dent there given the hits in Round 1.

Box 13 - £100

GLENDA will be the one carrying Box 23 into play at the end of this game. Here's a quick reminder of what could occur:

DOUBLE
+£10,000
MONEY BACK
HALF
NOTHING


Time will tell as to whether or not I feel brave enough to buy it.


We still have one more box to open in this round, and that is...

Box 2 - £20,000


RING

It's Banker time, and again a pretty average round, let's see what difference has been made with the offer.


BANKER'S OFFER

£7,333




None, surprisingly. The offer is once again surprisingly £7,333. Still fair for the board, but there's still so much in it. So once again, I'm choosing to NO DEAL.


We now go on to Round 3, the top 7 is still there, let's start getting rid of some of it:

Box 7 - £15,000 :?

Ouch, yet again another big hit and now that opens the gap from £10,000-£75,000 now. Got to hold onto the safety nets.

Box 3 - £50 Image Much better, and hopefully another blue to end the round.

Box 9 - £3,000 Another red eaten up, but of course that could have been a lot worse.


RING

An interesting board at this stage, huge disaster could strike, but also it could go so perfectly well. This time, Box 1 has a valuation of:


BANKER'S OFFER

£9,900




A decent increase there of over £2,500. There's just about 3 amounts higher however, 2 of which are huge life-changers. It's a tempting offer, but again, so much left in the game. So once again, I feel that there is another round worth going for, so it is indeed a NO DEAL.


Fingers crossed for a comfortable round now, and we definitely need to try and get rid of that block of 6 which the Banker is probably enjoying the sight of muchly.


Round 4:


Box 18 - £10

Another good start to the round! The Banker's Power 5 is still there though, can we start making some removals now? Hopefully...


Box 8 - £250,000 :(

OH DEAR! That's certainly changed things now, we must hold onto that £75,000 now if we want to see an offer bigger than the last at any stage now in the game.


Hopefully a positive end to the round now though...

Box 11 - £10,000 :shock:


What a shocker. A very uncomfortable situation now, as it's very much a one-box game, and the Banker still has ALL of his Power 5 in play at 8 box. But this is FAR from over though, £75,000 is still in the game, and we also have Box 23 to consider.


RING


The Banker wants me to think carefully about this one, as compared to the rest of the board other than the £75,000, it's pretty good...



BANKER'S OFFER

£2,900




It's a tough one because once that £75,000 goes in terms of the main body of the game there isn't really much to play for. However 23 can still be a huge saviour, but in realistic terms, it would be quite a long shot. Only 2 people have put their deal lights on here, and it's because they fear the £75,000 will be gone in the next round and they'd like to consider using what they see it as sensible money on Box 23.


I feel it's worth the gamble though and that I've just got to hold onto that £75,000. So it is once again a NO DEAL.


The Banker phones back to warn that there is a 1/56 chance that the 5 box could consist of his dream, and our nightmare. So we really must try and have an all blue round now...


Round 5:

Box 20 - 50p

At last! It took quite a while but finally one of his power 5 and now no chance of his dream 5. There's still 5 blues though, let's try and get at least another 2...

Box 12 - £1

GET IN! Another one of his Power 5, and we're nearly there at what is likely to be a very nice offer. Hopefully the £75,000 remains, pretty much anything else now can be lived with, but the smaller the better in this scenario...


Box 22 - £500

Thank goodness the death box did not strike and we are in a much more comfortable situation now after an all blue round!


RING


The Banker admits that he sees quite a bit of a gambler within me, and how I look like I just want to grab that £75,000 with both hands. So he now wants to try and now put me in a tough position, but at the same time he sees this as an impressive valuation...



BANKER'S OFFER

£6,555




Huge applause for a generous offer. I agree with the Banker that today I have felt like some big risks have been worth taking, but sadly I haven't really had much chance of proving myself with that. However I see this as a good board to show some bravery on. Therefore, potentially regretfully, I say NO DEAL. :eyes:


This is now incredibly tense, there is no button game, so 3 boxes have to be opened here. The best is all we can hope for now...


Round 6:



Box 19 - £75,000 Image Image Silence is amongst the studio as the last big red in the game goes. I'm still upbeat and am now focusing on getting the £1,000 before focusing on Box 23!

It was worth a shot at the end of the day, bet let's try and still give it as much of a shot as we can.


Box 16 - 10p Pretty good, that's one blue out of the way, hopefully another is about to come and not the final groan!


Box 21 - 1p Image Worth the kiss that one as our nightmare 2 have been removed from the game.


So we're on a £5 against £1,000 climax. Given where we were at 8 box though with just 2 reds, still having 1 at 2 box isn't all that bad.


RING


The Banker says that Box 23 is worth considering when making my decision on this one.


 BANKER'S OFFER 

£385




It's quite a good offer for what's there. £385 is certainly a lot better than £5 and that doubled makes a good amount at £760 which is actually greater than the highest blue. But given the gamble I took at 5 box, I don't want to sound defeatist. I've always liked the idea of going to the end and getting a red out of my box, and that is still possible. So indeed going to the end is what I am going to do, as it is a NO DEAL.



RING


The Banker says that given the bravery that I have shown, a swap is deserved on this occasion. I haven't got any feelings about Box 17, the other number, however, so it's a NO SWAP.


A really difficult game this one, so hopefully there's a good amount in here that will be interesting to have in play when it comes to Box 23.


My Box Number 1 is revealed to have -
£1,000 :D


Excellent stuff, and quite a relief. Box 17 is where the £5 is.






And now, time for the final act of the game as Glenda brings Box 23 to the table. We take a look at the money menu, which looks like this for me:


£2,000
£11,000
£1,000
£500
NOTHING


Part of me sees £1,000 as a decent enough reward, but then again it is a healthy gamble when there's potentially the top of the game, £11,000 to be won. I did say I'd like to try and give it as much of a shot as I can, which is exactly what I'm going to be doing now as I say DEAL to Box 23!



Let's hope this isn't going to turn out to be salt in the wound for not having the big gamble pay off in any way, and that actually this is going to be a lovely comeback where we surpass the top of the game and everybody's happy!


Box 23 is revealed to have -
MONEY BACK.

So not too bad of a result in the end. Obviously +£10,000 or even DOUBLE would have been lovely, but £1,000 is a healthy sum to be taking away after what was a difficult game so I'm pleased.

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Fan of many game shows and Series 87 Champion of Countdown!


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higginson_ronan

PostPosted: Thu Mar 30, 2023 9:50 pm    Author: higginson_ronan    Post subject: Re: Post your games here:
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Joined: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:05 pm
Location: Kent
Warnings: 0
Deal or No Deal | Thursday 30th March 2023



Been quite a while since I did one of these. I have BOX 5 on the table today.


Round 1:

Box 4 - £15,000

Box 17 - £3,000

Box 8 - £10,000

Box 7 - £50 Finally a blue!

Box 6 - £250


Now time for the offer button prediction...

This round feels appropriate for my tactical guess of £9,900 which covers £9,000-£11,000.


PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£9,900




BANKER'S OFFER

£10,500



Yes! :D



But it is indeed a NO DEAL


Round 2:


Box 1 - £75,000 First big hit...

Box 16 - £5

Box 15 - 1p :D Still a very strong board


Banker time...

BANKER'S OFFER

£12,000



Not bad at all, but still early days, so NO DEAL



Round 3:


Box 20 - £10

Going very well...

Box 10 - £100,000

Have I cursed it now... :eyes:

Box 3 - £1 Maybe not :)


Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£12,000




A stick, very good!

Quite a bit of money still there though, so NO DEAL


Round 3:

Box 14 - £100

Great stuff!

Box 19 - £750

Just 3 blues left...

Box 11 - £50,000 :(


Think those 2 blues beforehand have helped this round

Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£16,000




Very good offer. If that £250,000 goes, I've got a lot to catch up on. But I think that button could hopefully get some good usage out of this. Therefore, I am going to

NO DEAL :eyes:

Brave decision, will it pay off...



Round 5:


Box 18 - £35,000 :?

The gap opens up but there's still so much to play for...

Box 12 - £500

Very good. Tempted to hit that button now, but just one more to open. Hoping I'm not going to regret pushing it on to 5 box...

Box 13 - £250,000 :shock: Image


Wrong decision, a modest money game for the time being...


Banker time...


BANKER'S OFFER

£2,100




Such a big crash, but we can recover in the last round, therefore it's a NO DEAL


Round 6:

Hopefully this works out as much as it possibly can...


Box 2 - £20,000

Oh dear, now damage limitation...

Box 22 - £5,000 :(

If only the £250,000 stayed to 5 box now... Image Don't think it's worth pressing the button. Hopefully not an all blue finish now...

Box 21 - 50p

A slight relief.


Banker time with 10p and £1,000 remaining on the board...


BANKER'S OFFER

£395




Still quite decent, a lot better than 10p, but I might as well play to the end now, one last NO DEAL


The Banker phones back...

BANKER'S OFFER

SWAP



9 has no significance so might as well go with what I came with - NO SWAP.


A very cruel end to the game, but let's hope there's a good £1,000 to take towards Box 23.


Box 5...
10p :(

Only one option now on Box 23 that could be of any help...



Box 9 - £1,000


Box 23:

20p
£10,000.10
10p

5p
NOTHING



No question about it, it's a DEAL


And hopefully, the game will have the good ending I want...


Box 23 - DOUBLE Image

Not very helpful :roll:


Hopefully a bit better next time...

_________________
Check out my YouTube Channel for regular uploads of Deal or No Deal Episodes! :)

Fan of many game shows and Series 87 Champion of Countdown!


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higginson_ronan

PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2023 7:27 pm    Author: higginson_ronan    Post subject: Re: Post your games here:
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Joined: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:05 pm
Location: Kent
Warnings: 0
Deal or No Deal | Sunday 16th April 2023


Back in the Dream Factory once again this evening for another game of Deal. In our last game we saw a very inconvenient time to lose the £250k lead on to an awful crash, but can I do the small amount worse, or a huge amount better?


I have BOX 17 on the table in front of me.


Off we go, Round 1 begins...

Box 21 - £50

An excellent start, hopefully more of that.

Box 7 - £15,000

Not great, but could have been a whole lot worse.

Box 8 - £100

Box 5 - £5

Box 9 - £50,000 :?

Not the end we were hoping for there unfortunately...

Image



BUTTON TIME

It is now time for me to predict the Banker's Offer.

If I am within 10% of either side of the offer, I have a Button game.


Mean - £29,441.86

FD - £10,555.06


Unlikely that it would be around the FD due to the highness of the reds taken out, and can't see it being any less than around £8,750. I'm going to go for something that covers both of them, and that is:

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£9,600




Have I got a button game....?

BANKER'S OFFER

£7,900



(Range of £7,110 - £8,690)

A fair bit out unfortunately. Not even £8,750 would have got it.

Still very early days though, so a NO DEAL



And on we go to Round 2...


Box 15 - £3,000

Box 11 - £20,000

Hopefully not an All Red Round...

Box 18 - £1,000

Yep, although very little damage done.


Banker time...


Image


Mean - £34,036.54

FD - £11,768.01


Very good increase there given it was an ARR, and the offer is very close to the FD at 98%, and just over 1/3 of the mean at 34%. Still appears to be loads left in this, so NO DEAL


Round 3...


Box 4 - 1p :D Just what we needed...

Box 14 - £10

Box 20 - £75,000 :( Could have done without that one, let's see what the change in the offer is...


Banker time...


Image


Mean - £36,500.15

FD - £12,740.31

Very good offer at 110% of the FD, and an increase from 34% of the mean at the last offer to now 38% of the mean. It's very tempting, however there's only 1 in 165 chance of wiping out the top 3 in the next round. Despite it being early on, this may be a bit of a risk, but NO DEAL...


Let's hope we can keep the offers going up.


Round 4...


Box 10 - £10,000

Time will tell as to whether that was a big hit or not...

Box 16 - £35,000

Looking VERY frightening now, the top 2 looking very exposed now, let's leave them and preferably £5,000 as well...

Box 12 - £250,000 :o :(


1 in 16.5 (6%) chance of an All Red Round hit, and contrast to the previous one, VERY damaging leaving, in terms of big money, a one box game at 8 box :smt009


Banker time...


Image


Mean - £13,312.70

FD - £3,227.94

Not so far off the FD but a drop of 20% of it from the previous offer, and a drop of 16% of the mean to now 22%. Only a 41% chance now that the £100,000 will be there at 5 box, however if not, Box 23 could work out, so NO DEAL


Fingers crossed that we can recover the situation.


Round 5...

Box 1 - £750 :)

A blue, however a component of the 1 in 56 nightmare round...

Box 19 - £100,000 Image Image Image

Absolutely shocking. However we have to remember £5,000+£10,000=£15,000 which would be the top of the game, so hope is not all lost. However, damage limitation territory for the time being...

Box 3 - £500

Just about avoided the nightmare round...


Banker time...

Image

Mean - £1,050.32

FD - £313.61


A mere 2% increase in percentage of the FD to 92% and 6% in the percentage of the mean to 28%. Only a 40% chance of getting anything above £290 let alone an offer worth considering. But given the stakes, it's worth going for, so NO DEAL


Round 6...


40% chance of an ABR as well, wouldn't be the most convenient time, but would certainly be beneficial, so here's hoping...

Box 22 - 50p

There's one...

Box 13 - £1

There's two...

Box 2 - £5,000

There isn't the third... :(


Banker time....

Image

Mean - £125.05

FD - £65.03

The Banker has met the halfway point of the percentage of the FD offered at 8 and 5 box, and the mean has gone up 19% at a very inconvenient time to 47%. Currently looking like the 2nd disaster in a row, however there's still a 20% chance of recovery at Box 23. £250 is still a reasonable result given the misfortune unlike 10p, so we're opening the box - NO DEAL


The swap has been offered, however Box 6 has no significance to me, so NO SWAP


A very unfortunate result, but have I at least got £250 to take with me to Box 23, or will it be 10p for the 2nd game in a row...

Box 17 - 10p

Unfortunately so :(



Box 6 - £250



Now, what will Box 23 have to offer?


Image


No doubt it's a DEAL, let's hope it's a better result than last time...


Image


Sadly not! :(


A pretty unfortunate result, and looks like the best approach was to take above the FD at 11 box, as the game began to fall apart after that sadly.


See you next time, will it be 3rd time lucky? I certainly hope so.

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Check out my YouTube Channel for regular uploads of Deal or No Deal Episodes! :)

Fan of many game shows and Series 87 Champion of Countdown!


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higginson_ronan

PostPosted: Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:07 pm    Author: higginson_ronan    Post subject: Re: Post your games here:
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Joined: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:05 pm
Location: Kent
Warnings: 0
Deal or No Deal | Wednesday 19th April 2023



After two very disappointing results previously, I'm back in the studio once again today. It can't get any worse now, surely...?


I have BOX 4 on the table, so off we go...


Round 1:

Box 3 - £250

Box 1 - £750

Box 6 - £10,000

Box 5 - £5,000

Box 16 - £50


Fairly good start.

BUTTON TIME:

It is time for me to predict the Banker's opening offer. If I am within 10%, I have the Button which I can press at any time and receive an offer.


Image

Mean - £32,330.39

FD - £12,372.66


With a maximum of £10,000 taken out, an offer around about the FD wouldn't surprise me, but I think it's too early on for the Banker to make an offer so high. The minimum I'd expect is about £10,000, so I'm going to go for:

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£11,000




And do I have a Button game?

BANKER'S OFFER

£9,700



Sadly not yet again, a bit closer this time though with a range of £8,730-£10,670.

Very good board and so much to play for, so it is indeed a NO DEAL




And on we go to Round 2:


Box 7 - £500 Great start!

Box 8 - £75,000 :( First big hit

Box 10 - 10p :D That makes up for it


Banker time...


Image

Mean - £33,865.47

FD - £12,970.18

Very good offer given the loss of the £75,000, and 96% of the FD. Only a 33% chance now of avoiding the 4 of the Power 5 on the board.


Still early days though, so another NO DEAL


Round 3:

Box 22 - £100 Great stuff!!

Box 12 - £5 :D

Box 19 - £1 :D :-D

5.5% of an ABR hit! :D


Banker time...


Image

Mean - £43,091.86

FD - £20,662.17 Image Image Image

Absolutely incredible offer at 126% (Over 1/4 more) of the FD and also 60% of the Mean.


It went wrong when dealing over the FD at 11 box last time, but hopefully this time it will be different, as it's a NO DEAL


Fingers crossed that was the right decision as we go into Round 4:


Box 13 - £100,000 Image Not a great start, but providing we avoid the top 4 in the next 2 (1 in 12 chance), we'll still be doing alright!

Box 20 - £10 Just what we needed, could it be just 1 blue at 8 box...?

Box 17 -
£3,000

Maybe not, but still looking very good :)



Banker time...


Image


Mean - £46,375.06

FD - £22,763.85


An increase is very generous there given how big of a hit the £100,000 was. Chances of avoiding the £250,000 in the following round are 62.5%, however if it goes, £27,000 would be hard to get back to. Without a button in play, an offer at 119% of the FD and 58% of the Mean, I think the best choice here is to DEAL the £27,000. Image


So £27,000 is now mine. But could it have been a little bit more, a fair bit more, a whole lot more, or was it exactly the right choice to stop, we're about to find out...


Round 5 (Proveout):

Box 2 - £15,000 We wouldn't have been too disappointed with that...

Box 11 - £1,000 Image

£250,000 going now is the only thing that's going to make this quite a damaging round...

Box 14 - £20,000 Not good enough sadly :(


Banker Time...


Image


Mean - £67,000.10

FD - £33,233.05


69% of the Mean and 138% of the FD would have been an excellent offer and a deal there from me also! No OPW unfortunately, however a TPW is still possible providing we have another, much better ARR!


Round 6 (Proveout):

Box 21 - £250,000 Image

Box 18 - 1p Hopefully not the 50p now as well?

Box 9 - 50p Image



Banker time with £35,000 and £50,000 remaining...


Image

Image Image Image Image


Mean - £42,500

FD - £42,166.50

Well at 108% of the mean and 109% of the FD, I think speaking on behalf of everybody on the planet other than Mark it would have been a Deal there! Image


And all along in Box 4, I had...

£35,000

The smaller of the 2, not a huge underselling!

Box 15 - £50,000



Now, time for Box 23...


Image


Definitely don't want to risk going away with NOTHING, given what a strong game it's been, so it is indeed a NO DEAL


So £27,000 is still mine, but what would it have been had I removed "NO" from my answer?


https://i.ibb.co/GVD6NC6/image.png



An absolute heartbreaker! What a game, a shame I could have had much more (even via such an unrealistic offer), but a much better result than last time. See you again soon, what will happen then? You'll have to find out!

_________________
Check out my YouTube Channel for regular uploads of Deal or No Deal Episodes! :)

Fan of many game shows and Series 87 Champion of Countdown!


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higginson_ronan

PostPosted: Tue Nov 14, 2023 1:19 am    Author: higginson_ronan    Post subject: 13/11 Ronan
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Joined: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:05 pm
Location: Kent
Warnings: 0
Deal or No Deal | Monday 13th November 2023


Welcome back to the Dream Factory for yet another game of Deal. Will the boxes behave themselves? Time to find out...


I carry BOX 20 to the pound table with me. Let's see what my board reading will be like today!




1p
10p
50p
£1
£5
£10
£50
£100
£250
£500
£750


£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£15,000
£20,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£250,000



Round 1:

Box 13 - £1

Box 16 - 1p :D

Box 8 - £15,000

Box 9 - £10,000

Box 10 - £100

10p
50p

£5
£10
£50

£250
£500
£750


£1,000
£3,000
£5,000


£20,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£250,000


Pretty good round there. 3 blues and 2 low-ish reds will do me.


Banker time


BANKER'S OFFER

£12,500



FD - £12,208.39 (102.4%)
Mean - £31,797.98 (39.3%)

Very good opening offer, but needless to say there's more in this game - NO DEAL


Time to open 3 more boxes...

Box 3 - £75,000

Not ideal, but we can make up for it...

Box 18 - £35,000

Starting to become a bit uncomfortable now, but a blue would make things feel better!

Box 17 - £5,000

At least it was one of the lower ones, but admittedly I did cause a bit of damage there :eyes:

10p
50p

£5
£10
£50

£250
£500
£750


£1,000
£3,000



£20,000

£50,000

£100,000
£250,000



Banker time


BANKER'S OFFER

£12,500




Now there's a surprise :o

FD - £9,253.09 (129.7%)
Mean - £30,397.54 (39.5%)

Don't think he wants me staying around long. Actually quite tempting to deal now, but I'd like to see whether or not he maintains this level of generosity. I've had more comfortable ones at 14 box, but NO DEAL


Round 3...


Box 22 - £50,000

Another one. But let's try and get a decent 11 box split with the top 2 in play!

Box 4 - £5

That's a start. One more?

Box 5 - £750

There we go!


10p
50p


£10
£50

£250
£500


£1,000
£3,000



£20,000



£100,000
£250,000


Banker time


BANKER'S OFFER

£15,000



FD - (151.8%)
Mean - (44.02%)

Once again a very good offer, especially for an early stage of the game. Looks like going on I'd need to hit the 51% chance of avoiding the top 2, although keeping £20,000 too would be ideal. I reckon that even if I took out the £100,000 and 2 blues, it's going to go down a bit. 11 box deals aren't easy although I think I'd have more regrets going on and crashing.


Hope I'm not going to regret this, but DEAL - £15,000


Hopefully I hit at least one of the top 2 in the next round, as the fear of that influenced my decision.


Round 4 (Proveout):

Box 21 - 10p

Would've been the perfect start, but doesn't stop the top 2 from being able to come out now...

Box 6 - £250

Oh dear, looks like I'd have been fine hitting £20,000 after that. Has to be one of the top 2 now if I'm wanting an OPW, preferably the £250k.

Box 2 - £250,000 :D


Big relief!


50p


£10
£50


£500


£1,000
£3,000



£20,000



£100,000



BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£7,600



FD - £5,208.24 (145.9%)
Mean - £15,570.06 (48.8%)

Would have felt like a bravery reward that offer. A potential OPL would've been the only thing stopping me from taking that I think.


Round 5 (Proveout)...

Box 19 - £50

Not the start we wanted. But at leadt hitting £20,000 I'd say is enough damage to prevent much of an uplift.

Box 15 - £20,000

And that would've been goodbye to any proper backup!

Can we get the OPW right now pre 5 box...?

Box 14 - £10

Not quite, but looks like we're still doing well.

50p

£500


£1,000
£3,000
£100,000



BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£11,500



FD - £7,248.50 (158.7%)
Mean - £20,900.10 (55.02%)

Would've been an instant deal for me there in live play!

Round 6 (Proveout)...

Box 7 - £3,000

Nearly there...

Box 11 - £100,000 :D :-D

OPW confirmed :smt023

Box 12 - £500


Banker time with 50p and £1,000 remaining


BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£400



FD - (153.1%)
Mean - (80%)

Even that would have been alright. Although I'd love to have known what the Banker would've offered at the £100k stayed to 2 box!


My Box 20 contained... 50p

Box 1 - £1,000


Really pleased with that result. Could've gone either way after the 11 box deal and I'm pleased to have gotten away with it in the end and achieve an OPW from a deal there!

_________________
Check out my YouTube Channel for regular uploads of Deal or No Deal Episodes! :)

Fan of many game shows and Series 87 Champion of Countdown!


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daniel123

PostPosted: Mon Dec 25, 2023 8:50 pm    Author: daniel123    Post subject: Re: Post your games here:
Forum Games Moderator
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Joined: Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:59 am
Location: Here
Warnings: 0
My name is daniel123, and I can't remember how to post images any more, so you'll have to imagine the board as you read. I'm playing the new format of the game, which I've replicated in KP's 22-box DoND simulation (he created three, with 22, 24 and 26 boxes respectively, and every statistical element of gameplay variable in each game - I'm sure he'd be happy to share them if anybody is interested in playing! I'd forgotten I even had them, to be fair...).

I have manipulated the offers so that each will be within 5%, either way, of the averages for the Mulhern era so far, as StatsMan detailed in his thread in the Statistics section of the forum. As I'm old-school, I've requested that offers be multiples of 100 only, although in my experience testing this format out, KP's 'Banker' can be a rebel in that department!
For the offer method, we have the option of root square mean or percentages, the latter of which is my choice this time.
The currency is pounds sterling of course, we have seven rounds, and with the housekeeping out of the way, let's get this show on the road!
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

My box, and my system, are courtesy of random.org; mine is number 7.

Round 1
16 - 50p :P
2 - £1,000 Not bad at all!
8 - £5
20 - £75,000 Ah, that's not nice
14 - £750 but that is!

BANKER'S OFFER

£1,200



It's pretty abysmal, really, as all the first offers have been so far in real life - then again, that is how it was in the early days of the original show! NO DEAL this time.

Round 2
6 - £50
22 - £4,000 You know, that feels worse than it is, I'm not sure why...
11 - £100 A blue will do. Not optimistic about this second offer though

BANKER'S OFFER

£2,500



Nah, don't think so, mate. NO DEAL.

Round 3
10 - £3,000
18 - £50,000
13 - £5,000 Hmm, an all-redder but not an awful one, and on the basis that you might have one at some point, I'll settle for that. Remember when we used to have to type the formatting if we wanted text to be red or blue or any other colour? We were artists in our day, I'm telling you, now you just click 'boldblue' or 'boldred' and hey presto! Kids these days don't know how easy they've got it...

BANKER'S OFFER

£3,600



It's not bad in the circumstances, and certainly more appealing than any of the blues I've got left...but I reckon there's life in this one yet. NO DEAL!

Round 4
1 - £25,000 Yowch!
19 - £500 Phew
21 - £10 Oh thank god for that, I was getting concerned there

BANKER'S OFFER

£6,300



Ah, now then, here's a thing. I have the £7,500 and £10,000 there as back-up, that's true, but with the board the way it is now, I'd have to do a lot of donkey work to get back up near this offer, unless I'm lucky enough to keep both until 2-box; if I keep the big one, all the better for it, but if not, the situation may be irretrievable.
I'm genuinely deliberating here over £6,300 of money that doesn't actually exist...that's how tricky a call this is for me right now. Alright Stevie, I'm ready.
I say NO DEAL! :shock:

Round 5
5 - £7,500 Eeeeeekkkk, no more of those please!
12 - £1 Thanks
4 - £250 YES!

BANKER'S OFFER

£14,600


After about three milliseconds' thought -

    DEAL    

:-D

Proveout - round 6
3 - £2,000
17 - 1p Oh dear

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£29,900


That's right, 2023 Glenn, you rub it in...nah, who am I kidding, there's nothing thirty grand could do for me that fourteen and a half couldn't, realistically speaking. I'm alright!

Proveout - round 7
15 - £10,000 Hmm, that's interesting.

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£49,600


Now that is an awful lot of money, but would I have turned down £29,900? Nope. Would I have turned down £14,600? Nope. So it never would've been mine anyway :P

I would not have swapped my box.
My box 7 contains £100,000 :shock: but I don't particularly care; box 3 over there had the 10p.

Should've been a LOT more brave? Maybe in some people's eyes, but I'm a pragmatist nowadays, not a Wakeyist - I deal in certainties and security, and base my money management on those granite foundations, so I'd never have been tempted to go past round 4 anyway! Crikey, 2006 daniel123 would've thought I was a heretic! :lol:

_________________
81st member of the Pat M fan club. Still flying the flag for the class of '06...

Like Tom Hanks and his football on that island in 'Cast Away', it looks like it's just me and the bots here now. But that's alright, we're having a grand old time. Aren't we, Wilson? WILSOOOON?!

A few of us who were once part of the furniture, once stalwarts of the grand and extravagant, exuberant and thriving forum, have receded back into the walls, still faintly visible, still here as poignant, reminding relics of an era gone by; but most of us have vanished, forever immersed in the mists of time.


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