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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 12:41 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Wouldn't be a KP game without either of those! NO DEAL though still.

19, 17, 7.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 12:43 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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We want to see the elite winnings here...

Box 19 - £161! That's one step there!

Box 17 - £55! And all I can say is thank *beep* that wasn't a crossover game! :P

Box 7 - £61! ALL! BLUE! ROUND!

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 12:46 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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If ever there was a time for one of those...

£50.01
£50.51
£51
£75
£301
£561

£51,111
£50,031.11
£61,111
£65,111
£71,111
£101,111
£201,111


Last offer was £13,370, and he dreamt of offering £9,001 next...

BANKER'S OFFER

£13,370 + £9,001 ON 25



He's getting creative already and he's got four more offers left... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 12:48 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Turning the tide with that round! We've a ways to go but if I can keep up the good balance this will be BEEFY! NO DEAL.

6, 10, 16.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 12:50 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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The dream feels so much more tangible after that... imagine the uplift after another all-blue? Surely that's too much to ask for...

Box 6 - £51! Well one blue isn't! A low one at that...

Box 10 - £50.01! Bottom of the game! One away from a £75 floor on the board, but above all one of the most incredible runs of momentum all series...

Box 16 -

ON THE TABLE! Hello bat... please echolocate a box on the wings and choose that!

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 12:53 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Haha oops! Let's haaaaave... 13.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 12:54 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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This box is worth hiding anyway...

Box 13 -
£71,111! Ends the run, but not the fun!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 12:58 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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This is definitely a game that's living up to the hype now.

£50.51
£75
£301
£561

£51,111
£50,031.11
£61,111
£65,111
£101,111
£201,111


Back to normal offers. Round offers. Big offers.

BANKER'S OFFER

£30,000



Thirty grand. At 10-box. NOW the power of this Game 50 special is in full bloom. Three to open and you could still spiral fast... Deal... or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:00 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Really getting to the chunky money now! I feel like I'm in a really comfortable position here with the board as it is. Yes it could spiral, but it won't be quick if it does. Just one blue in the next round keeps me in the ascendancy here. NO DEAL.

3, 12, 20.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:02 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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One blue and two reds makes it a 4-3 split the right way. That's what we need at worst... but imagine if we do better than that?

Box 3 - £51,111! Well if we do do better than that, it'd be quite the round...

Box 12 - £101,111! We don't, and now it's something vaguely resembling a one-box game...

Box 20 -
£561! There is that blue!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:03 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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The Banker says this is one of the biggest decision points of the series now. He might just be right.

£50.51
£75
£301

£50,031.11
£61,111
£65,111
£201,111


Last offer... thirty grand. This offer?

BANKER'S OFFER

£30,000



Thirty grand. And what a decision you might be facing now with ANOTHER three-box round to take you to 4-box and the penultimate offer... Deal... or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:07 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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That's the round you'd have expected and that's certainly the offer you'd expect in response! There's a case for this at over half the mean, but with so much padding even still I have to push on and see what's in store for me at 4-box - NO DEAL!

24, 21, 23.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:11 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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Here we go! What a massive round this now is...

Box 24 -
£50.51! PERFECT start... and it guarantees a two-box game at 4-box at least!


Box 21 -
£50,031.11 is the lowest red... what a moment this is now...


Box 23 -
£61,111! Six figures still to play for, and what a nervous moment this could be...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:14 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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Nobody can be anything other than nervous right now. What a decision this is, first for him, and then for you if he gets it right...

£75
£301

£65,111
£201,111


This is what he thinks you'll take. He wants you to have the disaster chance in your head. It's one in six...

BANKER'S OFFER

£36,666.66



Six sixes on that offer. One in six chance of the crash. One in six chance, for that matter, of six figures... the other four possibilities are all-or-peanuts offers and we'd be in this mutual agony zone one more time...

...Deal... or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:18 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Was hoping for a bit more there in honesty but I can understand why he didn't... I've had some time to think what you'd offer me in each of those six scenarios with the burning question: would I deal £36,666.66 if those six offers were six boxes?

I don't think I would. It's close, but it just doesn't feel right. NO DEAL.

22, 2.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:23 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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What a setup this is.

The regret potential after turning down that much money with any element of uncertainty about it is immense.

Find two reds, and that regret materialises.

Find two blues, and it's an absolutely colossal moment and Series 4 might have saved its biggest win for last...

Box 22 -
£201,111!!

First box. Not even the hope before the despair... one away from the crash...


Box 2 -
£301!

Not the crash! Instead, it's £75 or £65,111...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:26 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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The Banker rings up with one more question first.

He's lined up two offers. One is a straight cash offer... one is a twist offer with another aspect to it.

Which of those two offers do you want?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:27 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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In the spirit of the season finale, let's have the twist offer...

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Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:35 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]
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If you had asked for the straight offer...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

50,000 LEV



Or £22,607.50.

This... is your twist offer.

BANKER'S OFFER

50,000 ZLOTY + 50,000 SHEKELS ON SPECIAL 25



Which is £9,769 as the fixed amount and £11,023.50 on 25... but a buffed 25, with HALF being replaced by ADD HALF.

Deal... or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 18, 2021 1:39 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #50 [FINALE SPECIAL] [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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There's your FIFTY FIFTY! I had an idea for what the fixed might be and it's less than this is, but of course there's a risk premium. Selling the 65 for under £10k would be a bit sickening but I feel like it would hurt less than crashing to £75 here. Let's have it. DEAL, NO SWAP.

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Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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