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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 8:43 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]

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Cracking start! Good to see he's concerned if we're already in five figures, but far too early yet - NO DEAL!

5, 22 and 2 please!

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 8:45 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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And we go on with these three...

Box 5 - £17,750 is one of those backups...

Box 22 - £12! Well, that validates your big earlier risk, because you still have that £196k...

Box 2 - £18,500 completes one of the best all-red rounds you'll ever see, not least because one of them was a disguised blue!

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 8:48 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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10p
50p
£1
£10
£50
£250
£750

£3,142
£8,100
£38,500
£41,500
£66,000
£196,000

£375,000

The Banker is definitely worried here.

BANKER'S OFFER

£10,000 ON CLASSIC 23 + £10,000 ON YOUR 23



It's an offer that could be worth anything between £4,000 and £50,000! Alternatively...

BANKER'S OFFER

£16,500 FIXED



...you can take a rigid all-cash offer! Two choices to make... question's the same though. You know the one - Deal or No Deal?

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 8:52 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]

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The shenanigans have already begun, brilliant! Two good offers to consider though, but there's a way to go just yet - NO DEAL!

19, 9 and 12 please!

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 8:54 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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Box 19 - £38,500... that's not good, but also it's not quite as painful when it's the highest hit of the game so far!

Box 9 - £1! It also helps when it's followed by that ;)

Box 12 - £66,000! A destabilising round, but can the Banker possibly feel reassured? We might find out here...

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 8:59 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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10p
50p
£10
£50
£250
£750

£3,142
£8,100
£41,500
£196,000

£375,000

The Banker loves the potential disaster chance here, even though he's also nervous about just how much money there is on that board!

He's giving you a choice of two offers again...

BANKER'S OFFER

£18,501 + £5,001 ON YOUR 23


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£18,501 + £3,500 ON CLASSIC 23



Interesting pairs there! Both guarantee you that £18,501... Deal or No Deal?

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:03 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]

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Interesting pair, and with a low amount on 23 it's probably better to go for the latter, but either way it's not enough money for me to turn away from at least those two massive sums at the top, NO DEAL!

3, 4 and 21 please!

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:05 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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And we go on!

The Banker rings up to say he will no longer make an offer involving the classic 23. "If you wanted it, you should have chosen it!"

Box 3 - £8,100 is safe...

Box 4 - £196,000 isn't! What a box this is...

Box 21 -

£3,142! Talk about a dramatic 8-box now...

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:11 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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There's terrifying boards, and then there's this.

10p
50p
£10
£50
£250
£750

£41,500
£375,000

"One of the most difficult scenarios ever," the Banker says.

BANKER'S OFFER

£20,000



Remember, that's a vanilla offer, so that would go on 23 iff you wanted it to.

And then there's this.

BANKER'S OFFER

22-NIGHT NEW ZEALAND HOLIDAY FOR 2 + £10,000 ON 23



That holiday is worth £11,318 courtesy of New Zealand Sky, and you'd be putting £10,000 through that so you'd at least be adding £4,000 in cash...

...or of course you could play on. You are not to be held accountable for any cardiac failures attributable to such a decision. ;)

You know the drill... Deal... or No Deal?

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:16 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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What a choice to make here! Anywhere between £8k and £60k if I put 20 through 23 (which I probably would), or I could take a mammoth holiday package and maybe get another £30k out of it? A 3/8 chance of whacking the biggie out if play on, but a huge upside if I don't... I'll push it one more I thin, NO DEAL...

... and go for 10, 21 and 7 next please!

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:19 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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Three viable courses of action.

You've taken the scariest one.

Good luck. That's all I can say.

Box 10 -
£50! There goes one!


Box 21 went in the last round, so onto 7 -

50p! One more to pull off the massive heist... you have 1, 13, 14, 16, and 17 on the wings and AT LEAST three of them have blues!

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:21 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]

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Good grief... 13...

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:27 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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Box 13 -
£41,500 OH EM GEE WHAT CAN YOU EVEN SAY ABOUT THIS SCENARIO


Here is your 5-box and the corresponding Banker reaction to it...

10p
£10
£250
£750

£375,000

BANKER'S OFFER

£26,000 FIXED + 10% OF BOX 8 ON 23



If you're scared of selling the £375,000, this would give you a potentially mighty offset for it, as you'd still have a chance of a record-breaking six-figure win!

Alternatively...

BANKER'S OFFER

ONEPLUS 5T + £30,000 ON 23



At least £12,000, plus a phone worth £449...


So, with that brain-bending response in mind, you know the question... Deal or No Deal?

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I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:32 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]

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What a situation to be in... You're definitely barking up the right tree with the former offer there... It's the only one I'm considering if I'm honest, and if you take it out of the context of this game I'm picturing a £17,500 offer on 4 blues/£250k. Would I take that? I'm almost certain I would, and I'm gonna take this as well. DEAL! :smt023

Now the weird of emotion of do I actually want to have the biggie on the table? Only in KP's games... :P 17, 14 and 1 would've been Round 6.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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You've got £26,000 and a part-share of your box! And now we're about to find how much that share is actually worth!

Clearly, the nightmare is to leave the jackpot to the end but not have it in 8. So let's just find it, eh?

Box 17 - £250... it's not there...

Box 14 - £10... it's not there either!

Box 1 -
£375,000! IT'S THERE!!! 10p or £750 on the table...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£350


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I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:37 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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The contents of Box 8...

Why the beep is this in a spoiler box anyway?
10p and that well and truly beeps up my carefully-made plans because I now have to make arbitrary rounding decisions :smt046

£750 in Box 16.

Your "bonus" Box 23...

TRIPLE (3p)
-£5,000 (NOTHING)
75% (0.75p CERTIFICATE)
HALF (HALF PENNY)
40% (0.40p CERTIFICATE)


1-5, please pick the triple or -£5,000 :smt046

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:40 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]

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Purely just to create the oddity in your stats, I hope it's one of the weird ones :lol: Option 3 please!

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:40 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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There were 5 items in your list. Here they are in random order:

-£5,000 (NOTHING)
40% (0.40p CERTIFICATE)
TRIPLE (3p)
75% (0.75p CERTIFICATE)
HALF (HALF PENNY)

IP: 81.98.45.144
Timestamp: 2018-04-06 20:38:30 UTC

AARON'S TOTAL WINNINGS: £26,000.03

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:42 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Excellent. I'm glad a bit of sensible play paid off in the end, though the stability of the board fell to bits early on :P thanks for the game!

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 10:12 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #26 [Aaron]
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I definitely would've dealt the same time as Aaron, though the offer wasn't quite as generous as it felt at first glance. Though it would'be been nearly the mean had the £375k been in Aaron's box, that was only a 20% chance, with the other 80% leading to an anti-climatic Box 23 reveal for peanuts, as we saw. :P

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