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KP
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:04 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]
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It's not as great a position as we've had from you the last couple of games, but it's one that still leaves you with more than a little opportunity...

10p
£55,505
£25
£25,050
£1,850
£500
£900
£1,000
£10,000
£75,000
£94,500

It's certainly better for having the Purpliser, that's for sure! That key third offer prediction has arrived, and if you can wipe out that zero it will have a massive impact...

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:07 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]

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I'm wondering if over-9000 is too low with this board, and I think it is...


PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£10,300

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KP
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:10 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]
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BANKER'S OFFER

£11,700


Similar error margin to the last one, a shade under 12% shy this time! The zero remains, but you've replaced the 96% and that's not something to be upset about. Two clearly negative options and five clearly positive ones now...

BOX 25 MONEY MENU
0%
46%
146%
196%
296%
+£9,000
ADD CAR

We've certainly seen far worse! That'll influence your offers directly from 8-box onwards of course, but at £11,700, Deal or No Deal?

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:11 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]

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Quite a bit more than I was expecting here, but it's still a NO DEAL for now with that stability.

11, 9 and 7 next please.

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KP
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:13 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]
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Box 11 - 10p! Perfection there... only one amount below £500 left on this board...

Box 9 - £1,000, which seems pretty great to remove in that context!

Box 7 - £55,505 :blueponder There goes big blue...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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KP
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:17 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]
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£25
£25,050
£1,850
£500
£900
£10,000
£75,000
£94,500

This is still not easy to read, but the stability is definitely an influence. In honor of this being a palindromic date in month/day/year systems...

BANKER'S OFFER

US$27,772 FIXED

OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£15,751 + 25

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:21 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]

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And for posterity's sake, 27,772 USD is 21,276.63 GBP right now. It'll be fun to see how that changes in the next two years... They are good offers I must admit, but I'm gonna try one more round - NO DEAL...

... and on to 13, 15 and 17 for Round 5 thanks!

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KP
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:25 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]
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No Broxit just yet... wonder if there'll be negotiations at 5-box? ;) Let's get there first...

Box 13 - £10,000, the manageable red...

Box 15 - £900, the mockingly-manipulated blue! Can't take both huge reds out, even losing one gives you a two-box game...

Box 17 -
£25,050, and suddenly you have a board which would have been better without the Purpliser!

£25
£1,850
£500
£75,000
£94,500

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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American Coupon Boy
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:26 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]
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I didn't realize how close in value the US dollar and GBP had gotten in value recently. :shock:

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.

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KP
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:28 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]
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BANKER'S OFFER

£27,772 FIXED

OR

BANKER'S OFFER

US$27,772 + 25
£21,276.63 + 25

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:34 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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While there's some great Box 25 options, the 0 scares me... With a 30% disaster potential here, I think I'll DEAL the £27,772 fixed!

19, 21 and 23 would have concluded this.

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KP
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:41 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]
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It's a DEAL for £27,772 and that's that done and dusted!

There are multiple ways to win and lose of course, and now we need to find out if a different approach could have sent you home with a mega win or only teardrops!

Box 19 - £75,000, here we go...!

Box 21 - £94,500 and there we have it! 30% disaster chance came up...

Box 23 - £25, would have been zero consolation to leave a £500 / £1,850 finish really...

BANKER'S OFFER

£5,000 FIXED

OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£1,093 + 25


Box 10 had £500, Box 16 had £1,850, and it's clear you were right to Deal at 5-box. What's not yet clear is whether you were right to Deal that way at 5-box...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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KP
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:43 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]
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...because we have a hypothetical to handle on 25.

BOX 25 MONEY MENU
0% - NOTHING
46% - £9,787.25
146% - £31,063.88
196% - £41,702.19
296% - £62,978.82
+£9,000 - £30,276.63
ADD CAR - £21,276.63 + Renault Zoe

1-7 for the hypo. Five of those would've taken you clear of the fixed offer, but we know you were deterred by one of the other two in particular...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

Top
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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:51 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Well that was quite a swerve whatever comes out of 25 now, and that'll be Option 6.

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KP
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:53 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]
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Here we go, then!

There were 7 items in your list. Here they are in random order:

0% - NOTHING
146% - £31,063.88
46% - £9,787.25
+£9,000 - £30,276.63
ADD CAR - £21,276.63 + Renault Zoe
196% - £41,702.19
296% - £62,978.82

IP: 86.15.173.210
Timestamp: 2017-07-18 00:48:10 UTC

Well, there was more to be had, but not as much as you saved yourself from losing!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:55 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #40 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Ah well! No regrets, and I'm glad I made a wise call that paid off! :D

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Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.

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