KP's Series 4.0 | Game #1 [Stephen]

**Joined:** Mon Jun 17, 2019 6:35 pm **Warnings:** 0

Interesting 1 box game :-D

**Joined:** Sun Nov 16, 2014 8:28 am **Warnings:** 0

...I think I'd have gone into this offer with the 50k and 20k as my only reds than the 250k and 5k, but that does constitute surviving...

**Joined:** Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm **Warnings:** 0

Well you can't complain about a lack of clarity now.

£5
£25
£50
£100
£500
£750
£5,000
£250,000

The Banker would like to note that he is given an upper and lower bound for his offers based on the board at that time, and that in this particular case the upper bound is almost double the lower bound. That is how much latitude he has on that configuration.

He's giving you a choice of two offers.

BANKER'S OFFER

£9,600

BANKER'S OFFER

£6,900 ON NO-DOWNSIDE 25

The latter would replace the three negative options on Box 25 with MONEY BACK, giving you a free 40% chance to double or triple up.

OR you can open two more boxes, with all the obvious risk and reward that has...

...Deal or No Deal?

**Joined:** Sun Nov 16, 2014 8:28 am **Warnings:** 0

The board has a 75% of me surviving, and if I do the offer has to increase a lot.

I know I'm not going for the first offer.

I make the second offer's EV just over 11k.

I'm going to go No Deal on this, 9 and 12.

**Joined:** Mon Jun 17, 2019 6:35 pm **Warnings:** 0

BLUE BLUE BLUE BLUE BLUE !

**Joined:** Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm **Warnings:** 0

What a huge decision that was... and we don't want it to be your last.

Box 9 -

Box 12 -

**Joined:** Sun Nov 16, 2014 8:28 am **Warnings:** 0

**Joined:** Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm **Warnings:** 0

We're here.

£5
£50
£100
£500
£750
£250,000

Two to open. Or you can take this...

BANKER'S OFFER

£15,000

Is this the time to go? One box ends the game, two blues threatens the Banker's ability to keep a cool head... Deal or No Deal?

**Joined:** Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm **Warnings:** 0

With a 1 in 3 chance of instant total disaster, that offer would see an ACB-shaped Hole in the Wall, with FrenchAPOALfan and Gizensha right behind me I imagine. :-D

**Joined:** Sun Nov 16, 2014 8:28 am **Warnings:** 0

Indeed. The wheel actually encourages more conservative play in this situation, as well, since for the percentage increases to mean anything I need to have something reasonably large to begin with.

Deal

**Joined:** Mon Jun 17, 2019 6:35 pm **Warnings:** 0

I don't know what you mean but i would put my DEAL light on :-D

**Joined:** Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm **Warnings:** 0

It's a DEAL for £15,000!

The Banker rings up to say he knew he could have offered a lot less but he knew that overpaying was the correct mistake in that situation.

15 and 18 post-Deal?

**Joined:** Sun Nov 16, 2014 8:28 am **Warnings:** 0

15 and 18 post deal, yes.

**Joined:** Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm **Warnings:** 0

Box 15 - £100...

Box 18 - £5! And that's why he overpaid. Because if he didn't...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£25,000

**Joined:** Sun Nov 16, 2014 8:28 am **Warnings:** 0

21 would be next.

**Joined:** Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm **Warnings:** 0

Box 21 - £750! The Banker will be so glad you burned through those backups now...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£35,000

**Joined:** Sun Nov 16, 2014 8:28 am **Warnings:** 0

And 24

**Joined:** Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm **Warnings:** 0

Box 24 - £500!

On a £50 / £250,000 finish...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£64,000

We know that either the box on the table or the box you saved to the end carried you when nothing else was there to... did you actually have disastrous boxes all over the multiples of 3, and get saved by drawing the jackpot box as the one you bought to the table?

Box 19... had £50! It was Box 3 that had the £250,000, how relieved must the Banker be that you didn't back that up with much else at the business end!

**Joined:** Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm **Warnings:** 0

Box 25, with five possible outcomes...

TRIPLE (£45,000)
DOUBLE (£30,000)
HALF (£7,500)
QUARTER (£3,750)
NOTHING

Obviously this interacts with the wheel that comes after this... to buy Box 25 with £15,000, Deal or No Deal?

**Joined:** Sun Nov 16, 2014 8:28 am **Warnings:** 0

No Deal on Box 25

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KP's Series 4.0 | Game #1 [Stephen]

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