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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » Aaron Brock's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 4:20 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

The Banker is threatening to deploy major damage, and he knows you won't want to be in live play when that happens...

BANKER'S OFFER

£43,000


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 4:27 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]
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It's a tricky game to play with such a large quantum element!

I think the Banker wants to save his Replay for the endgame, but to do that pretty much requires him baiting me into a forced-23 buy because that 24 is a heck of a bulwark against an endgame Replay whatever else it is!

It's very stable, but it's already at comfortably over half the average and that average projects to drop with the downshift in his locker. With that and the knowledge this might be my last chance to avoid a stacked-deck 23, DEAL.

11 red, 7.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 4:31 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
£43,000 is yours! Did he fear-talk you into an exit, or did you indeed make the best move? We play it out...

11 - MYSTERY 2 = £30,000! That's one quantum element down and one more red card into 24, and this is more like it - SUPER BONUS!

7 - £236.93! That's enough for...


** REPLAY **

The SUPER BONUS sticks so no need for a repeat colour prediction, they remain locked. Same boxes?

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 4:31 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]
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Same boxes.

Sent from my SM-A705FN using Tapatalk

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 4:35 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
MYSTERY 2 comes back but it's no longer a mystery... Let's see how this would've gone:


11 - £236.93!

7 - £45,789! Only very marginally worse!

    £42.99
    MYSTERY 2 (£3k - £80k)
    £63,179
    £69,175
    £95,968
    £245,663

Box 23:
    360%
    250%
    160%

    90%
    40%
    10%
    NOTHING

Box 24:
    SUPER BONUS
    SMALL UPSHIFT
    NO-LOSE REDO

    MONEY BACK
    SMALL DOWNSHIFT
    75%

The offer here?

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£54,321 & NO DOWNSIDE BOX 24


That would've locked 24 and you've have had a 1/6 shot at six figures... Next two...

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 4:40 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]
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Would've been a very nice escape for me there in live play to get that second time! Ah well.

9 red, 5.

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_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 4:45 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Anything but the blue...

9 - £245,663! BIGGIE :D Also a nice little ADD HALF for your 24, too!

5 - £42.99!! Jeez, that's £30k in the bag, unless...

** FORCED DOWNSHIFT **

That moves £95,968 down with a Standard Downshift to £25,000 which would've been your slightly lower floor!


    £30,000
    £25,000
    £63,179
    £69,175

Box 23:
    360%
    250%
    160%

    90%
    40%
    10%
    NOTHING

Box 24:
    SUPER BONUS
    ADD HALF
    SMALL UPSHIFT
    NO-LOSE REDO

    MONEY BACK
    SMALL DOWNSHIFT
    75%


He's convinced after Ben's game that he's good at saving money, so he wants to try again!

BANKER'S OFFER

BANKER'S GAMBLE


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 4:48 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]
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There's been some drama witnessed in proveouts, but NONE as weird as this.

NO DEAL, but it's my rights to an unimpeded Box 24 that I'm protecting here!

3 (red I guess if that's a thing LOL), 1.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 4:54 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Forty-three kept, but could it've been sixty-something?

3 - £30,000! Auto-red comes in to complete your Box 24 roster... and it's 160%!

1 - £69,175!

That leaves £25,000 vs £63,179...


Box 23:
    360%
    250%
    160%

    90%
    40%
    10%
    NOTHING

Box 24:
    SUPER BONUS
    160%
    ADD HALF
    SMALL UPSHIFT
    NO-LOSE REDO

    MONEY BACK
    SMALL DOWNSHIFT
    75%

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£43,210



He says he knows what you're not going to buy, but with regards to the other one, he'd like to propose this...

BANKER'S OFFER

AN EXTRA £9,001 NOT TO OPEN BOX 24


Incidentally, that takes you to £52,001 - and he's done that because it's £1 more than the best Small Upshift you can get from £43,000!

_________________
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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:03 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]
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This is a glorious mess of a decision to make but NO DEAL given the worst outcome is still over £32k and happens to be a mere 12.5% shot.

Hyposwap, sure, why not.

Sent from my SM-A705FN using Tapatalk

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:04 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Keeping the stake for one final gamble!

Box 17 is £25,000 and Box 4 had the £63,179!

Decision time...

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


Last edited by Aaron Brock on Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:09 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:07 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
So now you have a choice of boxes to buy! Here's what they're looking like:

Box 23:
    360% (£154,800)
    250% (£107,500)
    160% (£68,800)

    90% (£38,700)
    40% (£17,200)
    10% (£4,300)
    NOTHING


Box 24:
    SUPER BONUS (£86,000)
    160% (£68,800)
    ADD HALF (£64,500)
    NO-LOSE REDO (£43,000 - £86,000)
    SMALL UPSHIFT (£44,000 - £52,000)

    MONEY BACK (£43,000)
    75% (£32,250)
    SMALL DOWNSHIFT (£20,000 - £42,500)

Whilst all eyes are on the latter, the original 23 sat over there has a 2/7 shot at sending you into six figures!

But it's up to you, would you like to buy one of those boxes for £43,000, Deal or No Deal?

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:09 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]
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As cool as it'd be to have some sort of stake on that 23... No. DEAL 24, option 7 because pun opportunities like that don't come along very often and 4am on Sunday is the perfect time to take this one.

Sent from my SM-A705FN using Tapatalk

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:11 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
The first ever purchase of a Box 24 in Aaron's DoND... Is KP rewarded, or will he receive one final blow after the most mindbending of games?!

Option 7...

    SMALL UPSHIFT (£44,000 - £52,000)
    SUPER BONUS (£86,000)
    160% (£68,800)
    MONEY BACK (£43,000)
    NO-LOSE REDO (£43,000 - £86,000)
    SMALL DOWNSHIFT (£20,000 - £42,500)
    75% (£32,250)
    ADD HALF (£64,500)

It actually IS! The Banker once again has inadvertently saved money in the end game! We can hardly be too disappointed with that nice beefy win, thanks for playing! :D

KP'S WINNINGS: £32,250

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:15 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E02 - #172]
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Well, that was definitely the right worst-case scenario and a result neither side should complain about.

We've seen better games and we've seen worse games, but few if any nerdier ones.

Sent from my SM-A705FN using Tapatalk

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  
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