I really want this to be a £35,000 game, and possibly beyond with a really nice Box 23 setup...


22 -

8 -

7 -

BT...

£50
£35,000

Box 23:

200%
+£27,400
133%
50%
21.2%

** RING **

It's almost the Lynn Atherton finish... and it's almost the Lynn Atherton offer.

BANKER'S OFFER

£13,500

Bang goes my new Mercedes

I'm going to DEAL!

And deal 23, option 3

That's yours! No mention of a swap so Box 2 contained... £35,000! Well there was a 50/50 shot of that from the off! £50 in #11, as we load up 23...

Why did you turn down £9,999 if you were willing to take £3,500 more after the 2nd best possible round?

£13,500 is no longer yours, as it's going to be one of these five amounts...

200% (£27,000)
+£27,400 (£40,900)
133% (£17,955)
50% (£6,750)
21.2% (£2,862)

Let's get you a really tidy uplift here, and if possible, a massive £40,900...


Option 3...

At least it was a red!

Because I can't read the board very well.

For what it's worth, assuming £13k on all red/blue 2-box scenarios (which seems a reasonable simplifying assumption if £13.5k was the offer on that one) creates a 2-box EV of £11,300. I'd want more than a 13% risk premium with a 30% disaster chance (well, 24% accounting for 23), but we see worse decisions than that all the time on this forum. And Archie is a player that Aaron genuinely would step up in generosity that much for on such a 2-box, whereas he wouldn't for me.

Definitely would've taken the £9,999 (and bought 23 with it) rather than the conditional even though the latter is My Brand, because only the worst option was meaningfully worse than £5,555 and even that was still over £2k.

Interesting game anyway, very strange board and the prediction subplot was very odd as a result!