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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » Aaron Brock's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2020 11:30 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]
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With the two blue options being 50% and 60%, that would be £25k or £30k as my two worst-case options, both of which would also come with a non-round aspect, so that's the one I'd be dealing even though the risk premium isn't much (then again, nor is the risk)...

...but with the 7/4 split and about a million quid on the board it's very hard to stop, even with the falloff meaning only two are above the offers. NO DEAL!

13, 15, 19.

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2020 11:34 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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We're playing on, hopefully for your own benefit! Here they come...


13 - £14,000 works!

15 - 10p most certainly does!!

19 -
£675,000!! OH... and now we're back to a "standard" game... for now, because it's time for Shift Ten, 1-8 this time.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2020 11:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]
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If THIS is a huge upshift, though... whew. Double 2.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2020 11:38 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Still a 25% chance here that it is!

We're moving...

4p to HALF PENNY and avoid big damage which we can be thankful for!


    HALF PENNY
    £50
    £99

    £3,000
    £4,800
    £28,000
    £35,000
    £250,000

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2020 11:40 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]

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** RING **

The Banker was very relieved to see that big number go, but he's no reason yet to let his guard down...

BANKER'S OFFER

£22,500


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KP

PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2020 11:44 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]
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Just over half the average... also in that weird space where the FLOOR actually was -£20k without being NOTHING!

The five reds and that £35k being the top backup are what swing this, it's definitely in the area where the twists make the difference. NO DEAL again... 11, 7, and 9 now!

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2020 11:48 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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There's at least one more chance for Six Shift to have a massive impact. Try and find as many blues as you can here and this will be epic...


11 -
£28,000 doesn't tell us much at this stage...


7 -
£50!! Avoid the big two now and this will give you an awesome chance for an incredibly huge upshift..


9 -
£99!!! AND IT IS!!! :D :D

This might be one of the biggest shifts we've faced. Just don't land on that half penny with your second selection. Shift eleven, it's a pair of numbers 1-5 please...

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KP

PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2020 11:49 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]
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Double 1.

Anything but the downshift.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2020 11:51 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Anything. But. The downshift...

The mover...
£4,800. FINE.


The shift...
£6,000! Not the dream but you avoided the lingering disaster chance!!


    HALF PENNY
    £3,000
    £6,000
    £35,000
    £250,000

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2020 11:53 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

"And now we have the purest of games on our hands. No more conditional offers, it's the money or the board."


BANKER'S OFFER

£31,000


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KP

PostPosted: Tue May 26, 2020 12:00 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]
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I think that's enough of an uplift given that the shift was an anticlimax, plus it's in the sweet spot for 23 with the two blue options comfortably in five figures! DEAL for (insert five-figure amount TBC).

5, 3, 1. But you already knew that.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue May 26, 2020 12:04 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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And it's a DEAL for some thousands of pounds! We'll find out just how much shortly...


5 - £6,000 tells us ABSOLUTELY nothing.

3 - HALF PENNY! Oof...

1 - £35,000! Hello Laura finish, after a game that's been all over the place!


£3,000 vs £250,000...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£69,000


And just to confirm whether you'd have brought 17 or not to the table here?

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KP

PostPosted: Tue May 26, 2020 12:06 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]
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I would, yes. And I doubt I'd have taken that final shift on that finish.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue May 26, 2020 12:09 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Box 17, it's had so much money in it for you in your games... but in this one...

£250,000. It would have followed suit! The unscathed £3,000 was in Box 14!


And now for an interesting reveal...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue May 26, 2020 12:11 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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It's only the third time we've seen it this season, but boy does that Antidote work wonders here...


    DOUBLE (£62,000)
    +£20,000 (£51,000)

    MONEY BACK (£31,000)
    FLOOR [ANTIDOTE] (£18,600)
    HALF (£15,500)

Half is now your worst outcome with the antidoted Floor being marginally better, but we're looking upwards to that red section which is particularly inviting!

To confirm, would you like to buy Box 23 with £31,000, Deal or No Deal?

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KP

PostPosted: Tue May 26, 2020 12:12 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]
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Sooner or later I'll have more trust in 17 than it can deliver. This was not that game. :smt046

DEAL 23. Let's hit that +£20,000!! #OnBrand

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue May 26, 2020 12:13 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Do it for him, give him 51 or better yet, sixty-two thousand pounds...


DOUBLE (£62,000)
FLOOR [ANTIDOTE] (£18,600)
MONEY BACK (£31,000)
HALF (£15,500)
+£20,000 (£51,000)

Not quite, but nothing lost! What a game that was, you gave yourself a really good balance and that led to some really good offer momentum, and here you are with £31,000! Thanks for playing! :smt023

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KP

PostPosted: Tue May 26, 2020 12:15 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [158]
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Some excellent gameplay on both sides there, I'd say, and the result reflects it! Thanks for the game, was pleasantly nerdy :)

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  
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