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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » Aaron Brock's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:08 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]
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Average is in the 50s, I think the offer floor is £18,999...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£20,750


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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:12 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Playing the numbers and the expectations. Worked the first time...



BANKER'S OFFER

£22,500

... and again the second!! Two positive envelopes along with your Deal and No Deal envelopes for Shadow Deal could make that a very powerful tool indeed!

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KP
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:23 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]
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It really could, and there's at least a case for using it now, but I can see some Banker fear coming up in this spot and am going to NO DEAL!

15, 19, 21.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:28 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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It's ON! Win this, and you'll be in such a commanding position...


15 - £12,500! That kind of feels okay now, but we can't have a big hit to follow it!

19 - £375,000!! Nowwww this is a different game...

21 -
5p!! Well a mixed bag of a round, but I think he won that... BT

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:29 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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    75p
    £3
    £7.50
    £30
    £175
    £4,000
    £7,500
    £87,500
    £175,000

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:30 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

"This is the start of the destruction I was waiting for. Don't prolong it any further, David..."

BANKER'S OFFER

£14,500

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KP
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:39 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]
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Yup, he's got that. Two-box game, genuine danger, let's all but lock in five figures and also keep the dream alive with a SHADOW DEAL.

11, 13, 9.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:43 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Alright! £14,500 is in on the Shadow Deal! And now we play on in the hope of keeping the big two to the end to guarantee even more money!

11 - £175,000! Well that would've been rough! You need to keep the other though to keep the Shadow Deal's power though...

13 - £3

9 - £175 means you'd have had a one-box game here at 6-box...

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:44 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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    75p
    £7.50
    £30
    £4,000
    £7,500
    £87,500


BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£8,999

The next three in which we want you to keep the eighty-seven...

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KP
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:49 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]
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Indeed, looks like a good hedge at least if one too late! 7,5,3

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:53 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Keep it in play...

7 - £7,500

5 - £7.50 would've been a near recovery...

3 - £87,500!! Well thank god you weren't in live play!

75p plays £30 plays £4,000...

 BANKER'S OFFER 

£999

I feel this may be an academic question, but would you have swapped Box 10 for Box 1 or Box 17?

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KP
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:56 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]
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17, yes.

Let's avoid that 25% when we get there!

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 12:57 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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You're bringing Box 17 which means your 25% floor is... £30! You swapped away the £4,000 in 10, and the 75p was in Box 1!

Let's bring out the envelopes...

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 1:01 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Here's your Shadow Deal setup...

    DEAL (£14,500)
    DEAL (£14,500)
    DEAL (£14,500)
    NO DEAL (£30)

... and to stop you from opening an envelope, he'll offer you this sure thing...

BANKER'S OFFER

£8,999

... it's under nine thousand, but is that enough to tempt you away from the 25% disaster?

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KP
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 1:03 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]
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With the bonus box to come, NO DEAL. 2.

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_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 1:07 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Away it goes... Give us fourteen and a half...

Envelope 2...

    NO DEAL (£30)
    DEAL (£14,500)
    DEAL (£14,500)
    DEAL (£14,500)

Excellent result!! And the only way is up, most likely!


Bonus Box time!

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 1:08 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Bonus Box menu looks like this with £14,500...

    +£35,000 (£49,500)
    +£7,500 (£22,000)
    +25% (£18,125)
    +10% (£15,950)
    MONEY BACK (£14,500)

Some nice uplifts there, one that takes it into Power 5 territory at nearly £50k! Good luck, pick an option...

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KP
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 1:14 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]
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2 again!

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_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 1:21 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Taking two, for up to £49,500...

How much are you taking from the Banker tonight?


MONEY BACK (£14,500)
+10% (£15,950)
+£7,500 (£22,000)
+£35,000 (£49,500)
+25% (£18,125)

Well you can't be too upset with that! The Bonus Box giving a nice bump to a rather well-timed Shadow Deal! £15,950 is yours, enjoy it! :smt023

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American Coupon Boy
PostPosted: Sat Dec 14, 2019 1:26 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [141]
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So are we not bothering with Box 23, then? :ponder: :P

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.

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