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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:38 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

The Banker hates the prediction games full of average rounds as it forces him out of his comfort zones in one of two ways...

... but what has he done here? Is it a prediction point?

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:43 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]
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He's going to stay below £11,001, I know that.

I don't trust him not to have completely lowballed in a bid to shaft me at an "obvious" prediction point. So I won't predict.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:44 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
So many mindgames at a time like this...

BANKER'S OFFER

£12,999


... but he went over!

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:46 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]
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Well THAT isn't the way I thought I'd be validated!

But while this is the best offer of the game in all senses, I don't think it's walking money with a more friendly endgame offer pattern than a regular UK game and the multiple mid-reds in the mix.

NO DEAL. 13, 15, 19.

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_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:49 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
We step now into the latter half of the game, with four offers yet to come... Let's steer clear of anything with 5 or 6 digits in it!


13 - £40,000! Not that...

15 - NOTHING! Can you DJ Khaled that?

19 - £200,000! Argh! :smt011

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:50 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
    NOTHING
    NOTHING
    NOTHING
    NOTHING

    £2,000
    £6,000
    £20,000
    £70,000


Box 23:
    TRIPLE
    DOUBLE
    +£20,000

    HALF
    QUARTER
    NOTHING

PP3 Ladder:
    • 540 - 600 points: No Downside Box 23 + Bonus Box activated
    • 450 - 539 points: No Downside Box 23 activated
    • 360 - 449 points: Worst option becomes MONEY BACK
    • 300 - 359 points: Worst option is antidoted (becomes the average of the stake and its original effect)
    • 240 - 299 points: Unmodified
    • 180 - 239 points: Best option is poisoned (becomes the average of the stake and its original effect)
    • 120 - 179 points: Best option becomes MONEY BACK
    • 81 - 119 points: No Upside Box 23 activated

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:51 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

He says he couldn't have asked for much better from that round, AND he's got his downshifts with him too. He's convinced he's got this in the bag!

But he's far from proving that though, and I hope we don't! Would you like to predict here?

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Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:55 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]
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Average is £12k and the downshifts exist. I think he might legit have gone £2,999 but could he really have gone 25% of the average THIS late on?

Yes.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£2,999



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_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:57 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Coming in with a stab, always risky after such a round...

BANKER'S OFFER

£2,999


BULLSEYE! RIGHT on the nose lifts you WAY up to 281 points, Box 23 is now optional and is at worst going to be unmodified, AND you have one prediction left to go! What a power play!

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:58 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]
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I figured that if you were going to go nasty it would be with that, and also that this would be the time you might!

NO DEAL, 11, 7.

Sent from my SM-A705FN using Tapatalk

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:00 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
We are turning the page! Show us two empty boxes let's GO


11 - NOTHING! STRIKER!!

7 - NOTHING!! THAT WAS LIQUID FOOTBALL!!

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:01 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
    NOTHING
    NOTHING

    £2,000
    £6,000
    £20,000
    £70,000


Box 23:
    TRIPLE
    DOUBLE
    +£20,000

    HALF
    QUARTER
    NOTHING

PP3 Ladder:
    • 540 - 600 points: No Downside Box 23 + Bonus Box activated
    • 450 - 539 points: No Downside Box 23 activated
    • 360 - 449 points: Worst option becomes MONEY BACK
    • 300 - 359 points: Worst option is antidoted (becomes the average of the stake and its original effect)
    • 281 - 299 points: Unmodified

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:02 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

"*sigh*... did he have to do that? I was having fun!"

Way to stick it to him What are we thinking here at 6-box though, is this final prediction time?

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:03 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]
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User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
No, because the downshifts add a quantum element powerful enough here that I would have to guess how he's weighted it. Which I'd rather not if I don't have to!

Sent from my SM-A705FN using Tapatalk

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:04 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
No prediction...

BANKER'S OFFER

£9,299


He did a little switcharoo and hoped you wouldn't follow suit!

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:05 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]
International Forums Moderator
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
DEAL. I'd have considered that without the downshifts, and with them that could legitimately be an AMO.

9, 5.

Sent from my SM-A705FN using Tapatalk

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:07 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
And he's out at £9,299! We play on, let's hope you can break tonight's trend of leaving the best two to the end from here....


9 - £70,000. GONE.

5 - £6,000! Second-worst round! :D But we're still live in the prediction game, and because he'd have to...

2 FORCED DOWNSHIFTS

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:09 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Your first... NOTHING to NOTHING...
Your next... £2,000 to £82, sheesh!

    NOTHING
    NOTHING
    £82

    £20,000


Box 23:
    TRIPLE
    DOUBLE
    +£20,000

    HALF
    QUARTER
    NOTHING

PP3 Ladder:
    • 540 - 600 points: No Downside Box 23 + Bonus Box activated
    • 450 - 539 points: No Downside Box 23 activated
    • 360 - 449 points: Worst option becomes MONEY BACK
    • 300 - 359 points: Worst option is antidoted (becomes the average of the stake and its original effect)
    • 281 - 299 points: Unmodified


Would you like to predict the hypo on this?

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:12 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]
International Forums Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
Well the average is £5k but he won't be near that with a double El Zippo and 23 being the best part of the game...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£2,299



Sent from my SM-A705FN using Tapatalk

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:13 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [S06 E06 - #176]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Was he sticking with the twos and nines?

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£1,630


He wouldn't have! No points for that but at least there's no detriment to that box now and it's yours to buy if you wish! Two more boxes then, let's get there...

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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 Profile  
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