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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 6:44 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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On we go then! Not the big two and we're looking good here...


11 - 10p!! No prediction again but ONE blue at SEVEN box in LIVE play :D Button or box?

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KP
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 6:46 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]
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Well THAT is making 23 seem less significant :D

Box 7.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 6:48 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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If this is 50p, you're guaranteed a grand, or whatever Mystery 1 is...


7 -
MYSTERY 1! It's the next best thing, and it was only worth £3,000!


Button or Box?

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KP
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 6:48 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]
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Gotta be a box now, 9...

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 6:51 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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What a position you're in here, now sweeten the deal by keeping the top two for what's going to be an agonising 5-box call from the Banker...


9 -
MYSTERY 3 (£25,000)!! It's FINE!! WHAT a game we have here!! :D :D :D


BT...

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 6:52 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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    50p
    £20,000
    £35,000
    £100,000
    £250,000

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 6:54 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

"Is this just going to be another game where I have to give him seven significant figures starting with a 5? *sigh*"

BANKER'S OFFER

£55,197.36

... and the £197.36 was just a random number he generated! What a call to make when you've got the power of the Button to use...

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KP
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 6:57 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]
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Hit the button and I get 75% of the average.

Worst-case scenario at 4-box is basically where I was at 8-box, and I'd have yet another enhancement on 23 if it happens too. That's enough for me to feel ready to go.

NO DEAL, 5 red...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:00 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Backstop established, will you even need it? This could be sensational...


5 -
£250,000! Oh... Reality check, but you're still in a wonderful position here, especially when you have a Box 23 with a +£50,000 card in it!


Button or box?

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KP
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:02 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]
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That's the scenario I played for as my worst-case, BUTTON it is.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:03 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** BUTTON **

    50p
    £20,000
    £35,000
    £100,000

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:08 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

Two offers to contend with here... are either of them good enough to dissuade you from playing on?

BANKER'S OFFER

£29,292

... or...

BANKER'S OFFER

£50,000 DOUBLE OR NOTHING

Take that risk, where you'll put £50k into a Box 23 with only DOUBLE and NOTHING inside of it...

Are either of those good enough to stop you from playing on?

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KP
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:09 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]
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DEAL £29,292.

I'd deal it on 1p/£100k and I'd deal it on the board, therefore it's the best option. :)

3 and 1.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:13 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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£29,292 is yours, at least for now as you have a beefed up 23 to contend with once all is said and done! Now let's see where we're going...


3 - 50p was the perfect start...

1 - £100,000! So you'd have had the 20/35 climax...


BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£27,272

... and because it's important to the outcome, would you have swapped for 17?

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KP
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:14 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]
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Yes, I would.

Either way it came out pretty neutral!

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_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:15 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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It certainly did... 17 had the fourth and final £20,000 for what it's worth, and you had the min Power 5 in Box 20 all along!

Box 23 time now...

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Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:16 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Some big possibilities here...


    DOUBLE (£58,584)
    +£50,000 (£79,292)
    MONEY BACK (£29,292)
    HALF (£14,646)
    FLOOR (£5,858.40)

... you just need to avoid doing what I did in the last game! £29,292 to purchase Box 23... Deal or No Deal?

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KP
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:21 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]
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This is fairly close, but I think I'm getting more than a 20% risk premium, and that's enough when the worst option is several thousand.

DEAL, and #KallLogic with 5.

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_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock
PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2020 7:24 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [166]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Taking it on... give us the result we are all hoping for... fifty-eight or seventy-nine grand...


... Option 5...



DOUBLE (£58,584)
+£50,000 (£79,292)
MONEY BACK (£29,292)
HALF (£14,646)
FLOOR (£5,858.40)


NO!!! :cry: :cry: Box 23 is packing its punch yet again, but thankfully it certainly isn't nothing! That was a rollercoaster of a game, thanks very much!

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