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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:11 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]
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Brilliant, nearly a 75% chance now of a 5 box with three £250,000 boxes which will nearly guarantee that I win it. :-D

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:12 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]
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NO DEAL, and let's go for the gusto with 10, 8 and 6. Replay with the same 3 boxes if I find 2 or more £250,000 boxes.

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:17 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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This is it here we go, taking a delve and that's the first mention of a possible Replay... Fingers crossed we don't need to use it!!


10 -
£250,000! There's one and hopefully the only one...


8 -
1p!! THAT'S PERFECT!! Can you find a blue now or the five grand and save that Replay for a truly gargantuan moment?!


6 -
£250,000!! Nope unfortunately, that comes out now!!

** REPLAY **

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:20 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Let's try that again, but let's do even better this time...


10 -
£250,000!! Well that didn't change...


8 -
1p!! This is all feeling too familiar... Break the deja vu...


6 -
£5!! AND YOU HAVE!! BEN, YOU'VE A 90% SHOT AT OUR JACKPOT!! :shock: :shock: :shock: :D :D :D

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:23 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

The Banker would like to warn you that you must still survive the next two boxes if you decide to play on, and you could be looking at a much worse situation than you are in now...

BANKER'S OFFER

£202,000


... for a guaranteed leaderboard topper, OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£303,000 & NO UPSIDE BOX 23


... for a shot at even bigger glory.

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KP

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:26 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]
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40% chance of clinching it in round 6. 60% chance of having to turn down a lower offer on a board that would have a 1/15 chance of a NOTHING win.

I'd Deal the £202k but I think I'd have gone at the 8-box conditional with the replay still there meaning an 84% chance of keeping all £255k.

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:30 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]
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With a 70% chance of a guaranteed jackpot win, this is a toughie. But ultimately I'd rather go with the fixed downside, so DEAL £303,000 + Box 23. :eyes:

2 and 4 would've been next, and Option 5 for Box 23.

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:36 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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And it's a DEAL for the conditional offer!! We know that's worth a huge sum of money, but let's just see how this would have panned out.

Now due to the nature of Two Boxes, all you needed to do in this round is find either the £500 or the £5,000 - just one of them - to guarantee yourself the QM for the first time in Aaron's DoND...


2 - £250,000 wasn't...

4 - £250,000! Neither was that! And we'd have been down to just the one box...

£500 vs £5,000 vs £250,000...


BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£144,000


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£225,000 & NO UPSIDE BOX 23


He would've been that generous to try and repel you from the jackpot win!

You had Box 12 and Box 19 on the table in front of you, and respectively, they contained...

£500 and £5,000!!! IT WAS NEVER GOING TO HAPPEN, UNBELIEVABLE JEFF!! :shock: :shock: :-D :-D Box 9 had the seventh £250,000!


And now for the biggest climax we've ever, ever had...

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KP

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:38 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]
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WOW!!

I thought you'd take the fixed £202k to be honest. I think Aaron did himself. But you still had a 2% chance of NOTHING at 5-box, which would now be 20%.

I got mixed up by the odds at that point forgetting there were TWO instant-win boxes on that board. :smt046

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:41 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Let's fire up the #moneymenu for your conditional Deal...


    MONEY BACK (£303,000)
    MONEY BACK (£303,000)
    MONEY BACK (£303,000)

    HALF (£151,500)
    FLOOR (£60,600)

Any of those six sums are magnificent compared to the £5,500 you brought to the table, but in the context of this game, it would be heartbreaking to see that FLOOR yet again...

HALF would be fine, though we've never wanted to see MONEY BACK more than we do now...

For the record, for the glory, and for three hundred and three thousand pounds...

... here.

It.

Comes.


Option 5...



    MONEY BACK (£303,000)
    MONEY BACK (£303,000)
    HALF (£151,500)
    FLOOR (£60,600)
    MONEY BACK (£303,000)

BEN YOU HAVE DONE IT!! :-D :-D :box: :box: You took the Banker when he was most vulnerable, you absolutely wiped the floor with him and took EVEN MORE MONEY than this ridiculous twist combo was providing for you! You now top our leaderboard with the most incredible win - £303,000 - and you deserve every penny!! Thank you so much for playing! :smt023

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 3:59 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]
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:D :D :D :-D :-D :-D :smt041 :smt041 :smt041

To be honest, the figure I had in mind was £150,000, but I knew I'd get an offer in that region if I left one of the £250k boxes to 3 box. As soon as the Banker gave me a 60% chance of winning over £50,000 more than the top amount with a floor of over £60,000 if all went wrong I knew I had to stop chasing the "glory" of a £250k win. Probably would've swapped 12 for 9, but who cares, as I still won £53,000 more than that and I probably would've reluctantly cut my losses at 2 box anyway. :-D

Pretty sure I juiced the Banker there. :P

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PM me to play a game of my Deal or No Deal series for a shot at $601!

The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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KP

PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2020 4:22 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [154]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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I would've dealt the 3-box offer there too, although not sure which one.

So many ways to win huge there but you found the best of the lot!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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