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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » Archstered's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 9:59 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
**RING**

He does want you gone, and he thinks every offer you've had in this game has been good.

Now, he wants the offer to appear great.

BANKER'S OFFER

£81,000


_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:03 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419
International Forums Moderator
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
6-box is a tough time to stop in this format, but that is not a terrible offer by any means. They've all been perfectly reasonable offers, this one is far from different.

I'm just taking a pause to think about this 23, with the +£110k option, and whether I'd buy it at high stakes. The fact I've got a 1/5 moonshot chance of getting back to six figures from a blue win makes that prospect of a blue win less scary, and that in turn makes a NO DEAL less scary as well!

9, please...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:07 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
You only have to open this box as you know, and then an offer will be incoming..

There's a 50% chance of this being blue, please please let it be..

Box 9-

£100,000

Hundred thousand pounds, gone.


BT

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:07 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
1p
£75
£750
£200,000
£500,000

_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:07 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419
International Forums Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
The perfect box for making things complicated!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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 Profile  

Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:09 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
**RING**

Average has gone up, stability has gone down..

BANKER'S OFFER

£60,000



OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£100,000 ON MUST TAKE NO UPSIDE 23


_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:10 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
NO DEAL to both. Those are definitely worse offers than the last one. He clearly thinks I'm afraid of the instability, and nope.

5.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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 Profile  

Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:11 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
The only way to make that decision the right one, is to find one of those blues..

Box 5-

£75

GOT ONE! Still no deal wheel though!


BT

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:12 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
1p
£750
£200,000
£500,000

_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:13 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
**RING**

If you play on here and find a blue, Willie will go rogue..

BANKER'S OFFER

£94,000


_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:15 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419
International Forums Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
How bad is the worst-case scenario here? Blue/blue/£200k is still a 3-box that won't produce small money. Even blue/blue/£100k isn't horrific, and that requires a 1/4 chance of hitting £500k, a 1/4 chance of it also being the Deal Wheel, and a 1/10 chance of hitting Halve Top Value. So just the 1/160 chance, about the same as the nightmare round from 11-box to 8-box.

NO DEAL. 3.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:17 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
We've been teetering on the edge of pushing you into 6 figures a lot in this game.. Has it finally happened with this box..

So much rests on this being a blue..

Open 3.

Box 3-

£750

A BLUE! NOT THE DEAL WHEEL!

My goodness me.. What agame this is!


BT

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:17 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
1p
£200,000
£500,000

_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:22 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
**RING**

You are now just ONE box away from a minimum payout of £200,000! BUT, he exclaims.. The penny is haunting you..

Willie asks me to tell you to be under no illusion. He is less worried about you finding the penny than you are of winning it.

We've never done this before.. In one of Willie's final games, he wants to make history.

BANKER'S OFFER

3 BEDROOM DETACHED HOUSE IN THE SHETLAND ISLE OF YELL WORTH £140,000



AND

BANKER'S OFFER

£10,000 & NO 23


_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:22 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
https://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-fo ... 33126.html

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:25 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419
International Forums Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
OH MY GOODNESS.

AFTER THIS SUMMER THAT IS A DEAL.

1.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:32 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
It's a DEAL for a house worth £140,000 & £10,000 in cash! What a win!

The sweetest thing would be for Box 1 to have the half-mil..

Box 1-

1p

DRAT! You would have been guaranteed £200,000 at this stage!

_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:33 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
£200,000
£500,000


**RING**

He's thrilled! You've got a new home and life to move to, he's saved himself tens, if not hundreds of thousands of pounds..

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£333,000


_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:35 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
And now the final reveal..

Box 7-

£200,000

Unfortunately, we all know you would have swapped for..

Box 17-

£500,000

Box 23;

_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:35 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP plays Archstered's DoND 419

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
Even though you can't deal it, you still have to pick it..

DOUBLE
BOX 23 JACKPOT (£110,000)
MONEY BACK
HALF
5%

1-5, please!

_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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