Martin's game today.

Noel says it's scandel ridden Deal or No Deal He says the current contestants are the worst party animals at the hotel so far!! Noel is really worried as if they get kicked out of the hotel they have to stay at his house!!!

Gaaaah...Box 7......
We shall see if it changes it's ways.....

Oh dear, yesterday he had £100,000, day before that, £1,000 and day before the £250,000.

Last Tuesday £100,000 and one before that £250,000 and the one before £75,000.

His past 16 games, 3 blues...

Martin has box 7 today. Martin is an area sales manager for a brewery... Martin has a picture of his dad that his mum found of his first day as an apprentice...

Martin has his fiance in the audience for support today...

Martin does have a system, and it's a piece of paper with a pattern of boxes that he will take out during the game... He is keeping Jill's box until the end...

Here we go...

MARK, IT'S IRRELEVANT WHAT HE HAD IN HIS BOX RECENTLY. All that matters is what's in it today.

Round 1

5 - £35,000 Reg

3 - £5,000 Margaret

8 - £10 Paul

20 - £100,000 Newbie Laura - Curse of the newbie again says Noel

19 - £250 Derek

Banker time

Stats after Round 1
Offer: £9,000
Mean: £25,023.92
Offer (%): 35.97%
Fair Deal: £7,983.28
Volatility: 1.43
Redometer: -11

Board
1p
10p
50p
£1
£5

£50
£100

£500
£750
£1,000
£3,000

£10,000
£15,000
£20,000

£50,000
£75,000

£250,000

Noel asks Shaz the score and she replies it's 5-3 to the banker... The banker reveals that Martin was the party animal until Matt took over the title



Banker offers

£9,000

Thanks to Kestral for doing the commentary today.

Tuesday is my day for the commentary... but I had a few problems getting home... I now have to go and repair a flat tyre.

It is a very good offer says Martin, and Noel asks him to become the 1st player to deal the first offer

Martin says

NO DEAL

Next round

14 - £250,000 Andy

22 - £15,000 Ruth

Martin says this is a rubbish system isn't it! But he has to stick with it...

Noel calls a break...

You would have thought after six hundered and and seventy odd shows, they would work out systems don't tend to work.
Ah well. He seems cool - I hope he does well.

YES I know but it's not nice when a player has had a lot of reds before their game as if it was his game yesterday he hopefully would have gone all the way to £100k!

And the way the game is going, not too sure.

We're back
Last box before the banker...

9 - 1p Justin

Banker time

That's true, but there's nothing preventing £75k being in his box today and him going all the way to win that! (Not that I'm predicting that will happen.)

Noel makes Martin redo the 1p kiss The banker says he is all puckered up now, and Andy is the new love of his life, and he wants to introduce "The Banker's Snog"



Banker offers

£6,500

Stats after Round 2
Offer: £6,500
Mean: £11,457.61
Offer (%): 56.73%
Fair Deal: £4,099.31
Volatility: 0.88
Redometer: -16 (↓5)


Board

10p
50p
£1
£5

£50
£100

£500
£750
£1,000
£3,000

£10,000

£20,000

£50,000
£75,000

Martin says it has evened up a little now that he has taken out the 1p...

Martin says

NO DEAL

Next round

2 - £100 Ken

15 - £1,000 Nicola

13 - £50,000 Matt

Banker time

The banker says he enjoyed that round, and he reveals that Ken is 82, and Noel tells him he is carrying his age very well...

Banker offers

£2,000

Stats after Round 3
Offer: £2,000
Mean: £9,936.96
Offer (%): 20.13%
Fair Deal: £3,291.97
Volatility: 2.19
Redometer: -21 (↓5)

Board

10p
50p
£1
£5

£50


£500
£750

£3,000

£10,000

£20,000


£75,000

That £75K looks a bit exposed, he deserves to win it...

Martin says

NO DEAL

lol, Noel just summerised half of our reactions when somebody goes lke that over a box number,... h

Next round

Martin's fiance warns him about box 18, and Noel asks what is wrong with that one? She tells him he has had it a lot recently! Noel makes a big thing about it and the box even gets it's own Twilight Zone theme tune

18 - £5 Shaz

16 - £ 3,000 Mark


Noel calls a break before the next box...

Hahah that box 18 stuff was ever so slightly random

We're back
Last box before the banker

Noel tells Martin he admires him for sticking to a system that is pathetic

4 - 50p Debbie

Banker time

That cracked me up

This is starting to even out now says Martin...

Banker offers

£6,800

Toad?! I thought he said 'eat a toe'?

Stats after Round 4
Offer: £6,800
Mean: £13,287.64
Offer (%): 51.18%
Fair Deal: £5,137.61
Volatility: 2.40
Redometer: -7 (↑14)

Board

10p

£1


£50


£500
£750



£10,000

£20,000


£75,000

A clear no deal, imo

Martin does a sweep and gets mainly replies of NO DEAL... Mark tells him if he sticks with his system he should DEAL

Martin says

NO DEAL

Next round

George gets a new badge of "Ghastly" as Noel learns about his kilt

11 - £10,000 Phil - That was the bad one of the round says Martin

10 - £1 Jean

6 - £750 George

Banker time

Yeah!

He was right to go on

You got away with that says Noel... The banker says that he has something important to say and Martin has to imagine there is no-one else in the studio, and the average of the board is £19,000


Banker offers

£13,000

Very nice round

Stats after Round 5
Offer: £13,000
Mean: £19,110.02
Offer (%): 68.03%
Fair Deal: £7,922.09
Volatility: 3.65
Redometer: -2 (↑5)

Board
10p
£50
£500
£20,000
£75,000

I'd deal here, although it would be slightly tempting to carry on.

Martin says if he takes out the £75,000 in the next round and keeps the £20,000 he will get an offer of around £5,000...

Martin says

DEAL

Not ANOTHER deal

Proveout round

17 - £500 Sarah

21 - £50 Steve

You might have blown everything here says Noel

12 - 10p Kate

Banker time with £20,000 and £75,000 remaining

If only someone reminded him what he had in his box yesterday.

ARGH!

I knew that was gonna happen

He's blown it now...

I'm in a bad mood because the sodding inner tube is the wrong type. To then see Noel yelling about disasters as if Martin has just sentenced thousands of people to death has served to irritate me further.

The banker is a very happy man says Noel

Banker would have offered

£43,000

In a strange sort of way you could see that coming... gutted!

Stats after Round 6
Offer: £43,000
Mean: £47,500.00
Offer (%): 90.53%
Fair Deal: £43,114.92
Volatility: 3.75
Redometer: 15 (↑17)

Board
£20,000
£75,000

Ouch!

Noel opens box 7 and reveals £20,000

That is a relief says Noel...

Box 1 - Jill contains the £75,000

Phew!

What a relief for Martin

What?! Why?! Completely and utterly random!

Oh great another average win you know what I'm to the brink of tears how 2008 has been going no mega wins not brave players oh no just let cowards like Geoff and Angie roam the wings and deal at some below average offer. I'm sick physically sick.

You need to be patient. This format cannot produce big wins all the time on a random selection format for a show that has to be shown in recording order. Look at Golden Balls, they don't have mega wins all the week, every week. However, they can change the episode order to produce big jackpots in consecutive episodes (see last weeks run).

Well, we've got Joyce to come. Someone who it appears will play to the end....
We shall see.
I have a feeling George will probably go quite far too.
This by no means is a put down to the other players, these two just stick out to me.

A good show today and some random stuff with box 18.

Although as I said earlier, Noel did irritate me when he was going on about how it was a disaster when Martin dealt, even before the proveout round had started.

It just gets a bit boring when every time he tries to whip up drama by going on about how much of a disaster it is - but he goes a bit OTT and it's a bit boring now... maybe he should just do an Irish jig or something when a player deals, at least it'd be different.

Shame about the final two but 3 blues vs 2 reds is dodgy territory, and the £13,000 offer wasn't bad by any means. I think my tipping point for no dealing would probably be about £10k or less on that board...

I think had he gone on, he would probably only won the £20,000 as i think he would have no dealt the £43,000.

Well despite the OBW and middling win I really enjoyed that - Martin was very entertaining, and I loved his system, I think Geordie-type systems are all-too-rare and it seems as though knowing exactly what he was going to do relaxed him and made it a good fun game. The four old men are really making the wings entertaining at the moment too!

And I never seem to "bite the toad" when I'm at work - I leave it all till Fridays!

13k statistically was a sound deal on that board - he seemed to be fully analysing the possibilities when he dealt and didn't just "see ££££" like a lot of people get criticised of. To hit 10% chance was just plain bad luck, but in reailty, the only way he was going to get more than 20k was the gamble on 75k/blue, or deal on 75k/20k (or no-deal and win 75k of course!) - none of which I'd really like to have to do. (And I'd have left Box 1 too - I'm always scared of it and nobody ever seems to leave it as it's not anyone lucky number or anything - that's probably due to 1p Trevor's game more than anything else)!!

Well done Martin on being such an entertaining contestant - as my memory of Roy (1)'s gone a bit distant, Martin now gets my fave male from W2 honour!

Clive please don,t be on the brink of tears 2008 is going to be a really good year i can feel it in my water and please don,t try to squeez anything out of me i know what your curiosity is like.FULL STOP.

Martin was a bit of a 'Hooray Henry' character and I thought that was a really good show. Only Reg left now from the shows I saw recorded - when are we going to see him?

Reminded me a bit of yesterday's show. We had some fun moments, a sensible deal and a rather random, but funny, intro for box 18. I wonder who decided to put the twilight zone style effects in during editing?

Martin obviously thought about the £13,000 offer and what he might be offered next time depening on what's left. As it was only a one box game to guarantee a higher offer, it was just his luck that his system produced an all blue round after he dealt, leaving Martin with £20,000 & £75,000. Practically the same situation as yesterday.

Your water it's probably gas Pat

Another good game, i enjoyed this one, although the result could have been better.

Martin was great, a real nice guy.

And the Box 18 thing was a bit weird, but i always follow it due to it being my birthday number.

You can't legislate for the 1 in 10 chance on 5 box boards like that and £75k / blue finishes give such a wide range of offers that you can't guarantee it won't be as little as £15k so a deal was probably the sensible decision.

It's just plain boring when people deal.

So you'd prefer people to make rash gambles and lose money just for your pleasure?

And I can safely predict the next response will be something like "But he won't have lost any of his own money" or something along those lines.

With the volatility of all-or-peanuts finishes, and only a 10% chance of anything better than that, the Deal was definitely right.

Of course, he only had to go and hit that 10% chance.

And Noel only had to go and treat it like a 100% chance.

lathebault, you can have your gambling show. Or watch poker if you want to see a stream of big-money gambles (and they're a heck of a lot more calculated than the gambles you want to see). I'll watch a show which doesn't endorse fiscal lunacy, like Duel.

i think we are in for a good win it can,t keep going on this way i can then imagine everybody bursting the springs on their sofas the whole dond world will go bonkers by the way whats happened to Clive today has he gone down with a massive hangover?

I agree with Lathebault. I don't read these commentaries just to see people dealing this and dealing that and being all sad and emotional you know...this is a GAMEshow, nothing else. You're there to win money and have fun at the same time. Of course, since I only read the commentaries and don't watch the show, I haven't got a clue who's getting emotional and who's not, so I may have got it completely wrong.

Anyway, welldone Mark on £13,000

I don't read these commentaries to see people fretting because someone is taking some decent money home.