Next round

11 - £5,000

18 - £750

10 - £50

Banker time

Noel writes 1,2,3 on Adam's hand to help remind him of how many boxes he has opened.

Banker offers

£7,000

£7,000 isn't bad, but not enough to deal. Curiously, the average is likely to only increase in the next round, and then gradually go down to the end.

11 boxes left

Average: £13,578
Offer: £7,000 (highest £7,000)
Offer (%): 51.55 (highest 51.55)

2 box median: £9,000
Fair deal: £5,836

Highest future average: £14,294 (8 boxes left)
Risk of collapse: 38%

Adam says that is a lot of money and goes to his mum who agrees, he then goes for a sweep of the wings. Everyone says NO DEAL.

Adam says

NO DEAL

Next round

6 - £35,000

17 - £15,000

The £75,000 and £20,000 are very exposed now.

Noel says that if the next box is £75,000 it's all over and calls a break

erm... i posted the adam thread

Good game so far

We're back

Last box before the banker

Noel points out that this game can still go either way

2 - 10p

Banker time

Noel reckons this could be a challenging offer next, the banker calls and says he needs to think about this offer. He calls back and has made his mind up.

Banker offers

£9,000

I welcome both commentaries, and also the threads can be merged together afterwards.

The reason for the increase, is because the average is expected to go up by £3,600, which isn't visible in the stats.

8 boxes left

Average: £12,419
Offer: £9,000 (highest £9,000)
Offer (%): 72.47 (highest 72.47)

2 box median: £1,813
Fair deal: £4,396

Highest future average: £15,661 (5 boxes left)
Risk of collapse: 54%

Noel goes to Adam's mum who says it's a nice offer, however it is his lucky year - he looks puzzled at that comment He goes for a sweep of the wings and Noel calls it short as Adam says he knows his decision already!!!

Adam says

DEAL

O another paul..early deal, think he wanted a deposit for the house

Proveout round

1 - £3,000

22 - £1,000

14 - £100

Groans from the audience

Banker time....

Noel asks why Adam dealt then and he says he couldn't have risked it, he needed the money

Banker offers

£17,000

Adam says he would have dealt there...

Ouch. I'm not entirely sure I believe £17,000, but it isn't unexpected.

Proveout with 5 boxes left

Average: £19,051
Offer: £17,000 (highest £17,000)
Offer (%): 89.23 (highest 89.23)

2 box median: £10,064
Fair deal: £7,536

Risk of collapse: 30%

Proveout round

8 - 50p

16 - £75,000 cheers and applause + big relief from Adam

21 - £5

Banker time

£20,000 and £250 left

Banker offers

£4,500

Adam says he would have said NO DEAL

Proveout with 2 boxes left

Average: £10,125
Offer: £4,500 (highest £17,000)
Offer (%): 43.04 (highest 89.23)

Fair deal: £6,181