£400 increase?

BANKER'S OFFER

£8,400

Jodie says NO DEAL

47 minutes past of that answer...

CLOSING ROUND

Box 16 - Buk - £100
Box 10 - Dave - £100,000
Box 20 - Kristina - £1,000

Banker time with £1 and £10,000 left in the game

BANKER'S OFFER

£2,300

Jodie says NO DEAL

It's really bad when you can easily predict what's going to happen.

Looks lile she is dealing for box 23

BANKER'S OFFER

SWAP

Jodie says NO SWAP


Box 22 - £1
Box 3 - Peter - £10,000

Box 23 time

Unlucky crash from reasonable risk-takings.

Now, what will Box 23 have to offer?

Well she will be now, with £1.

Box 23 - DEAL

Contents - HALF

Jodie's winnings go down to 50p

No luck there then. Unlucky crash, but she seems OK with it.

As we've seen a number of train wreck games this year, I'm wondering if Box 23 has had the effect of enticing players to no deal deeper into the game.

People have often given this kind of advice: "we'll if it goes wrong you've still got Box 23" as if Box 23 is a safety net. As we've seen today Box 23 is no safety net!

Unfortunate crash today. The 8 box offer was arguable either way for, as we saw, only keeping the top 2 amounts (a 36% chance) would've increased the offer significantly.

And if you knew a £100k / £10k / peanuts 5 box was only going to be a tiny increase, a deal at 8 box would have been very understandable.

Even a 5 box deal was justified if you planned on taking box 23 as it brought the EV close to £10k (which is what I would probably have dealt at 5 box pre box 23)

Yes, I'd have actually dealt £8,400 at 5-box today, planning on taking it to Box 23, with there only being a 40% chance of a better offer or box outcome, and with 3 low values, it seemed better (to me) to hedge my bets, as even the HALF result we saw (£4,200) was greater than the median finish of the 5-box configuration...