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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:30 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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Charlotte says

NO DEAL

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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:32 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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Round 4

17 - £5 Boo

4 - £5,000 Candi

13 - £50 Jie

Banker time

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:32 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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cfd wrote:
Why are they wasting our time and talking here? There's a -100% chance she's going to deal this.


You do realise that a probability can only be between 0 and 1... ;)

That non-offer is obviously to ratchet down her expectations for 8-box. And after that round, this might be valuable.

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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:33 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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This is going to require some courage now says Noel. The Banker reminds everyone about the conversion he had with Emma where he told her she had a 40% chance of taking out the big number, and she ignored him and then went on to take out the top amount. He reminds Charlotte she is now in the same position.

Banker's offer:

£5,000

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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:34 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte

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KP wrote:
cfd wrote:
Why are they wasting our time and talking here? There's a -100% chance she's going to deal this.


You do realise that a probability can only be between 0 and 1... ;)

That non-offer is obviously to ratchet down her expectations for 8-box. And after that round, this might be valuable.


I think the likelihood of a deal there is enough to invent new laws of proability that let them go negative :)

£5,000 = no deal


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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:35 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte

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physchological advantage is with the banker now. Drawing parallels from a very recent game which was a crash. Yet does she remember the game from just an hour previous?

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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:36 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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Charlotte turns to her dad, and he says that it is a good offer for the board, but she could replace that amount during her life, and Charlotte agrees that over time she could save that amount as she is a saver. Noel says that it says in Charlotte's file that she is a saver, and he is impressed by that as some young people go after the material things and get into debt, but Charlotte has saved around £2-3,000 in a couple of years. The Banker calls and says the £5,000 is tax-free and it would take her around 4 years to save the same amount.

Charlotte says

NO DEAL

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:37 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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No question that she does remember that game, but question is how she values money.

£5,000 is nowhere near enough - I'm chasing the later offers simply because if I do keep the QM, with momentum on my side the offers are going to be rather good unless the banker-producer actually wants me to win £250k.

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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:37 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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Noel calls another break...

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BankerSpanker

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:38 pm    Author: BankerSpanker    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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£5,000 is an ABYSMAL offer! As long as the £250k is still there, I wouldn't take anything less than £10k not to mention that the offer is 15% of the average.

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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:43 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte

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oops


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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:44 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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We're back

Round 5

19 - £250,000 :( Chris

That was astonishing bad luck says Noel

20 - £10 Newbie Loz

5 - £100 Vinny

Banker time

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:45 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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Who's a lucky banker then...

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Race To A Billion Season 6 - a new era of racing. Enter here!
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:45 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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That isn't the 5-box you wanted says Noel. The Banker asks why no one listens to him.

Banker's offer:

£751

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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:45 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte

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Noooooo deal.


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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:45 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte

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Well she's been hung and drawn. Now just waiting for her to be quartered! That's a knockdown of epic proportions.

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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:46 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte
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Charlotte's boyfriend says that if she plays on she knows the boxes she is leaving

Charlotte says

NO DEAL

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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:47 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte

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Erm. I'm not sure i'd be cheering taking out the £750!


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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:47 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte

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and yet again everyone cheers the £750 when it is the second highest... :ponder:

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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jul 11, 2011 4:48 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 11/07 Charlotte

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The boyfriend seemed to be getting very cosy with her mother there...


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