Interestingly set up, this: the contestant has made a radical career change, from a financially secure field to one that is probably a bit less so, and his parents are urging him to be cautious. He obviously respects that to at least some extent, or he'd have made sure they didn't come to Bristol...
Crikey, decisions starting very early on if that round's anything to go by. How many opening rounds have had all five boxes come from one of the Power Fives? Offer's a joke, we can't have a serious decision yet. Second round is one of survival, no more; that second offer is actually dealable, you know. Not that I would, but I'd not think any less of someone who took that. Wayne doesn't, of course.
Well, if you're going to have a 7/4 split the wrong way at halfway, at least make sure one of the four is the jackpot. Would I take this 11-box board over the reverse? Nope, not quite, so this is below-average in my book, but one good round and he's secured a very handy five-figure escape route if he wants it. The offer here forces him onto the ADP.
Oh good grief, this game gets even more dangerous. The offer is awfully stingy, but the parents would take it. 62.5% chance of... at least fifteen grand, you'd think. Maybe it's not such a clear Deal, but I'd have to go on, and he does too.
Oh crumbs. Even the blues aren't the lowest - at least he avoided an all-blue squashdown, but he has now gone 13 boxes without hitting one of the Banker's Power 5. He finally goes and takes the whole lot out in round 6, thus being surely the first player in history to take out those five in only two separate rounds. Shame one of them was the last.
On big red/blue finishes, the magnitude of the blue is nigh-on irrelevant. On an orange/blue finish, it really isn't. What's the lowest blue you'd want as backup to ND £2k for a shot at £5k? I'm thinking £100 or £250. Oh, OK, not even £750 is sufficient assurance for Wayne - a poor Deal, I have to say, and not one I mind being punished with the £5k in the box. Why is he so upset at that, and if so, why did he take it? We won't see many more inexplicable Deals for the rest of the season.
_________________ Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat. Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted. "Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables) I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me. In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.
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