So the gameplay twist is the old trick-or-treat-and-variants-thereof one, only you choose one and only one of the two bonuses. That means the ADP is shifted to five-box for the week, which so soon after an 11-box OPW is quite amusing timing.
I'm not watching this, but I'm sure Paul is an arresting sight in his fancy dress.
£100,000 is a horrible start; four blues is enough to cancel out the damage, that's a marginally above-average round, and the opening offer is in line with that and recent offer trends.
Two more low blues is fantastic, but the producer then spoils it by making a 'joke' that could, and in some quarters doubtless would, be interpreted as asserting that homosexuality and criminality are positively correlated. (Or am I reaching too far yet again? As I continue to argue, better a false positive than a false negative.) Ten grand does no real harm at all, and the offer is shockingly good for this stage in a game with a five-box ADP. Not that it's dealable, mind, and I suspect the stinginess kicks in at one of the next two offers.
Maybe not this one after a round that good, but Paul's excitable acknowledgment of a sub-£20k sum will suffice as an excuse for offer deflation. Told you. Note the coded invitation to play for bonus offers.
Twenty grand does little harm on its own... that blue cancels it out... and £35,000 is certainly not a game-breaker here either, three Power 5 amounts (jackpot included) and £15k at eight-box is fabulous. The offer is the clearest possible indication that the producer wants this game to go to five-box - if the Banker keeps being this stingy this week, Nick Clegg will do a deal before any of the players!
Ooh... ooh!... OH! But the jackpot is still in play. 50:50 of each, you have to play for the extra offers. Remember the Brenda Rule: no non-cash prizes are guaranteed, so treat them as worthless. Thirteen grand would be right with three to open, but not one; Paul is quite right to play on.
There we go! The worst-case scenario gone. Ooh, that's cleverly manipulative, an offer placed deliberately short of the £20k breakpoint. I'd Deal just to spit in the face at such an obvious attempt to produce a gamble, and also because I'd expect £26k at three-box; oh OK, he's promising forty grand, but only for the 25% chance of a blue, I'm assuming Old Faithful for an orange. I'm gone. I don't think he will be.
But no, Paul fights the pressure, Deals... AND ANOTHER OPW! Yes, he'd have recovered to an all-orange finish, but who cares?!? Another fantastic result for a player who resisted temptation.