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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:42 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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Last box before the Banker

This is a fascintating game says Noel as Chapola is getting so many predictions right at the moment.

1 - £20,000 Tristan

Banker time

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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:42 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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Pip's board, anyone?

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:43 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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Not in 18 then - and we now have Pip's configuration.

£20k is still the indicated offer - it's what he got - and the minimum I'd want here. For the Banker it's the only offer that makes sense.

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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:43 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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You was about 3 feet out on the £20,000 prediction says Noel, and he now thinks box 18 must have the £100, so Chapola says she will go for that one. The Banker says he would be less concerned about the board is someone so determined wasn't playing.

Banker's offer:

£16,000

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cfd

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:44 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola

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Meh. £16,000 is a no deal for me, but it's not quite a £NO_DEAL offer. That said though, the mean is £45,000...


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:44 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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kestral wrote:
The Banker says he would be less concerned about the board is someone so determined wasn't playing.

Banker's offer:

20% less than he offered on the same configuration to someone last season

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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:44 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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Donna tells Chapola to think about this, and Vic tells her to think about it but also that it isn't what she wants.

Chapola says

NO DEAL

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alexandercbrown

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:45 pm    Author: alexandercbrown    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola

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that's poor - but Michael only got 17K and dealt which was also disappointing


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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:45 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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£16,000 isn't too bad, but it would be a No Deal for me too...

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h2005

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:45 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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I probably would've taken £16k, although I would've gone on if the offer had been £12k. My worry would that even knocking out £250k & 2 blues would considerably weaken the board and probably give a reduced offer.

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:45 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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An utterly stupid offer from the Banker's perspective. She's declared she has a target, £20k's the most common target, she even said it was 'still on the board' earlier when £20k was there, why the hell do you not offer £20k on a board worth about that?

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I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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cfd

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:47 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola

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KP wrote:
An utterly stupid offer from the Banker's perspective. She's declared she has a target, £20k's the most common target, she even said it was 'still on the board' earlier when £20k was there, why the hell do you not offer £20k on a board worth about that?


because he probably has no intention of actually trying to buy the box? he's just trying to make it look like he does.


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wkd

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:48 pm    Author: wkd    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola

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KP wrote:
An utterly stupid offer from the Banker's perspective. She's declared she has a target, £20k's the most common target, she even said it was 'still on the board' earlier when £20k was there, why the hell do you not offer £20k on a board worth about that?


Presumably beacuse the ordained script calls for a deal no earlier than 5 box today.


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:48 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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Well, yes. It's too soon after an 11-box Deal to allow another game to end 'early'... or what wkd said.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Last edited by KP on Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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cfd

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:48 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola

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why hasn't kestral posted that she's said NO DEAL yet?

oops


Last edited by cfd on Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:48 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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Round 5

A big build up from Noel before the start of the round.

2 - £35,000 Sharna

This has to be one of the blues says Noel

18 - £10 Donna

This is now a massive box says Noel. Chapola picks box 6, but Noel asks if she is sure, and Chapola then thinks about box 4. The Banker calls and says that if chapola finds a blue her offer will be £20,000.

4 - £500 Laura

Banker time

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alexandercbrown

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:49 pm    Author: alexandercbrown    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola

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wow it actually worked out - banker's faithul hopefully.


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Mark

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:49 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola

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Old faithful again. Hopefully her target is still on the board.


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:49 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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He did, cfd. You just missed it.

£20k on this configuration is still not enough, and vindicates the mutual theory that the Banker knew she'd come for that amount but wanted to present 'a victory for gambling'. Sigh.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:49 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 25/09 Chapola
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You now know that your next offer is over £20,000 says Noel, and Chapola asks for more! The Banker calls and asks how much over £20,000, Chapola weighs up the board and says £26,000. The Banker says DEAL

Banker's offer:

£26,000

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