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Mark

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:18 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week

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Yes, now he has to go all the way for sure.


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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:19 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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YES YES YES!

Now the Banker will either reward him, or force him to the relatively unlucky £15,000/£20,000 finish

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:19 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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So the next offer is 1/3 chance of £17k or 2/3 chance of around £90k. Expected value is around £65k.

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h2005

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:19 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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Noel says the banker has to be careful now. Liam thinks he'll win the £250k... the banker wants to know what he'd consider to be a good offer, as he wants this to end :lol: Liam says the offer would normally be £50k, but should be nearer £70k but even then he might go for it!!

Banker's offer:

£45,000

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killersbee

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:20 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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YES!!! :-D

What a game!

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H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:20 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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No Deal for me here, guaranteed cash!

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KP

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:20 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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The question now is whether £15,000 is a job well done.

The possible two-box offers are £17,500 and two just short of £100,000, I'd suspect; with that in mind, I'd want £60,000 to even think.

Is the Banker playing to lose, so that the game can sell a 'No Dealing = CASH' angle? If so, I am disgusted.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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Last edited by KP on Sun May 17, 2009 5:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:20 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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Silly banker offer there. A poker player will take evens on a 66% chance.

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h2005

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:20 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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Liam says the banker's made a really silly mistake, and he asks for the question! Banker phones and speaks to Liam... he admits he's made a mistake

New offer

Banker's offer:

£60,000

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greeny

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:21 pm    Author: greeny    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week

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45k would force me to ND....

60k would be a ND for me too, given what he is guaranteed


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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:21 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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Sorry KP, got the board wrong!

£60,000 is a lot better - infact it might even be a Deal for me, given my link with box 2...

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killersbee

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:21 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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Still a No Deal from me, £15,000 guranteed

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Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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KP

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:22 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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Was that someone at Endemol deciding they made their preferences for No Dealing just a wee bit too obvious? Feels it from here, but I have my prejudices.

£60,000 would take out some perfectly sane players, but probably not me.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:22 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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Liam says he needs to think about this one. Noel wonders if box 2 actually has £15k, and the banker's hoping Liam will no deal to the end and swap! Jez says that's a very good offer.

Liam says DEAL

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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:22 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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For hindsight purposes, I'd have Dealt and opened box 2 to end all doubts...

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:22 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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Deal for £60k I think if he's playing the odds. He's getting odds of 1/2 on a 2/3 chance.

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killersbee

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:22 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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Oh, he takes it!

But are we about to see the same thing with what happened last time?

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Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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h2005

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:22 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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8 - Karl - £20,000

Banker time with £15,000 and £250,000 remaining...

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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:22 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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Oops!

I might have got away with this!

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Lifelong fan of Vicky, Siobhan and Lisa

Resident divvy, keeps a nerdy eye on the UK Top 10, makes up the numbers in the forum Fantasy Football...

...and overseeing The 2010 Forum Wing Line-Up! Check it out in the Contestants section of the forum!


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KP

PostPosted: Sun May 17, 2009 5:23 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/05 Liam - Banker's Birthday Week
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And he opts for the 'job well done' strategy now that he has an offer that's actually remotely Dealable.

No complaints from me, he's already made the Banker look silly and taken him for life-changing money.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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