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NoelsFan

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:42 pm    Author: NoelsFan    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Sunday Special
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Joined: Fri Mar 28, 2008 5:43 pm
Location: Worthing, Sussex
Warnings: 0
1p



£5

£50

£250
£500



£10,000





£100,000
£250,000

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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:43 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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Ollie says

NO DEAL

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'Take your hands out of your pockets!' Noel to H2005 23/03/09 :P

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killersbee

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:43 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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He's going for it, here's hoping it pays off! :)

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Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:43 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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£22,000 on its own would be a marginal decision here. £22,000 with a 2/3 chance of it being £11,000 is the worst offer in ages on this configuration.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:45 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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Round 5

A big build up from Noel before the start of the round!

8 - £100,000 :( James

11 - £5 Vera

This is a huge box now says Noel

14 - £10,000 Margaret


Banker time

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'Take your hands out of your pockets!' Noel to H2005 23/03/09 :P

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travis P

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:45 pm    Author: travis P    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special

Joined: Sun Feb 05, 2006 3:40 pm
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He can be clever here and offer £10,000.


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Mark

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:46 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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Hoping he will be brave and go for it.


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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:46 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special

Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:02 pm
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Ok, average has gone up again: now £50,000. Obviously highly volatile.

Again: £25,000 is my tipping point.


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killersbee

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:46 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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Ouch! It's or peanuts now! :(

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Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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NoelsFan

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:46 pm    Author: NoelsFan    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Sunday Special
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Joined: Fri Mar 28, 2008 5:43 pm
Location: Worthing, Sussex
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1p
£50
£250
£500


£250,000

Least he has got high blues!

Wow! What an offer!

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Last edited by NoelsFan on Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:47 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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This is a tricky board now says Ollie, but Noel says that it is terrifying!

Banker's offer:

£20,000 +


If Ollie says No Deal, he can select 1 egg, and if he finds the GOOD egg Ollie will get an offer after EVERY box in the next round...

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'Take your hands out of your pockets!' Noel to H2005 23/03/09 :P

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travis P

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:48 pm    Author: travis P    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special

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£20,000 is a good starting block for the one box rule. If he decides to deal, I would like see if he did choose the good egg in the proveout.


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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:48 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special

Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:02 pm
Location: Leeds
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This is tricky. I wouldn't fault either a deal or a no deal here.

The egg twist tempts me to go on...

But this is highly dangerous, and it's close enough to what i think is a fair deal. I'm taking it.


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killersbee

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:48 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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Oooh now this is where I would have to think for a while...

...I might Deal, since the odds of finding the biggie is only 20%

_________________
Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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Mark

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:49 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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Now 2 eggs. No deal! More chance of finding the GOOD egg.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:49 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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I'd take this. £20k would be marginal for me with one to open, and this is a 2/3 chance of three to open.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:49 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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Ollie is struggling with this offer... The Banker calls back and says that it sounds as though Ollie is going to DEAL...

The Banker changes his offer to

Banker's offer:

£20,000 + 2 eggs!

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'Take your hands out of your pockets!' Noel to H2005 23/03/09 :P

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NoelsFan

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:49 pm    Author: NoelsFan    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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Why up the offer???

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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:50 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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Even with two eggs, it's a Deal for me...what if he finds the £250,000 first box? All this means sod all!

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:50 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 13/04 Ollie - Easter Monday Special
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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...oh, OK then.

This is still a Deal for me, but I'd now be perfectly OK with a No Deal.

I have a horrible feeling Ollie is going to be seduced by this blatant attempt to force a Big Finish, and win a blue.

Thankfully I'm wrong.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Last edited by KP on Mon Apr 13, 2009 4:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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