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wkd

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:50 pm    Author: wkd    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09

Joined: Thu Nov 22, 2007 6:04 pm
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My fault for praising the lack of timidity of the last two players!

An inexcusable deal with the top two in play and reasonable back up.


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killersbee

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:50 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Oh a big damage but the biggie is still there... :?

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Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:50 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Well this is interesting, the three safety nets have gone.

Banker's Gamble? I would...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:50 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Noel says there's still a cloud of doubt there as she still has £250k on the board, and he doesn't know where the banker would've gone now

Banker's offer would've been:

£16,500

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Lewis246

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:50 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09

Joined: Mon Feb 05, 2007 4:52 pm
Location: Devon
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Board

£10
£500

£1,000
£3,000

£250,000


Offer should go down, I'd offer £13k..

Offer: £16,500
Mean: £50,902.00
Offer (%) 32.42%
Fair Deal: £14,977.75
Offer (% Fair Deal) 110.16%


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:53 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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A reversion to the eleven-box offer makes a lot of sense here. I wouldn't want to Deal here but I likely still would.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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killersbee

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:53 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2007 9:52 pm
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Oh no!! :shock: :(

_________________
Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:53 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Noel says Martyne could still have spanked the banker

Banker says if she keeps £250k in-play the offer would've been £80,000

6 - Julie - £10

"NO NO NO" says Noel

22 - Jas - £3,000

"NO NO one shot left" says Noel

11 - David - £500

Banker time with £1,000 and £250,000 remaining

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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:53 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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Oh dear... Should have gone on. Yesterday she had the one above that on the board, £100k.


Last edited by Mark on Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:54 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Banker's offer would've been:

£80,000

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Lewis246

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:54 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09

Joined: Mon Feb 05, 2007 4:52 pm
Location: Devon
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Board



£1,000
£250,000


Offer: £80,000
Mean: £125,500.00
Offer (%) 63.75%
Fair Deal: £70,655.69
Offer (% Fair Deal) 113.23%


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:54 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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OK if the Banker would have guaranteed me £80k at two-box I'd have chased that.

And got it. At risk of sounding like the annoying remainder of the forum I'm slightly glad about that. I'm very happy to see well-judged Deals lead to OPWs, but that wasn't one.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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killersbee

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:55 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2007 9:52 pm
Location: In his little studio at home
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And now were going for a swap, like ysterday...

Deja vu?

_________________
Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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matthew17

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:55 pm    Author: matthew17    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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oh no, the swap :(

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:55 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Martyne says she'd have said DEAL there. Noel said he believed her when she said she could be the 2nd £250ker. Noel says she'd have got the swap, and she says she'd have said SWAP as 5 is her lucky number and she wrote it on her contestant application form (watch the cries of "FIX!!!" if £250k's in box 5 now :P)

Noel swaps her box 1 for box 5

Martyne has £1,000 in her new box 5.

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matthew17

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:55 pm    Author: matthew17    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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yay, she beat the banker :-)

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killersbee

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:56 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2007 9:52 pm
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Wow! She swapped away the biggie! :shock: :D

_________________
Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:56 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
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Her original box 1... now with Claire has £250,000 and that completes the game.

Noel says how gutted Martyne would've been if she'd played on and swapped it away!!

(But didn't she say she'd have dealt at £80k!! :? :ponder: )

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wkd

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:57 pm    Author: wkd    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09

Joined: Thu Nov 22, 2007 6:04 pm
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80k is a lot higher than we would have seen but I agree with KP - she could do with falling slightly flat on her face after that deal.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 4:57 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Martyne 23/09
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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She bought it to the table and never wanted it. I just wish she'd sold it at the last moment before the swap was on...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  
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