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Deal or No Deal forum index » International DoND Forums » International DoND Forums » USAAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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AArnett

PostPosted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 4:17 am    Author: AArnett    Post subject: OPWs, TPWs, TBWs, OBWs in Season 3:

Joined: Wed Dec 06, 2006 6:51 am
Warnings: 0
Since it seems like the banker is on a winning streak, maybe I should ask this.

I haven't been following DOND so much this season, but I have to ask this:

How many OPWs have we had so far this season? TPWs? TBWs? And, something that has to be more than the above three combined: OBWs?


And, is the rate for OPWs about what you think it should be? How about OBWs?

It seems to me like it should normally be, with the US format, about 20% OPWs, 30% TPWs, 15% TBWs, and 35% OBWs (Am I right in saying that this should be the normal distribution of results?). What is the actual OPW/TPW/TBW/OBW rate and in what comparison to what it should be.

Thanks!


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Dr. Hindsight

PostPosted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 4:28 am    Author: Dr. Hindsight    Post subject:

Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2006 9:09 pm
Location: Eternal Freedom
Warnings: 0
AArnett, it's more like:
1% OPWs
4% TPWs
10% CBOs*
40% TBWs
45% OBWs
Bear in mind that all of these are rough estimates, and that I am terrible at math.
*Note: CBO is a new term I invented last season. It stands for Colossal Banker Obliteration (or Ownage), and it occurs when a player goes all the way and wins a left-side amount.

_________________
I have berated my last contestant and have nothing else to say. Roll credits. Fade to black. | Dr. Hindsight | April 18, 2006 - December 7, 2023


Last edited by Dr. Hindsight on Tue Dec 11, 2007 6:05 am, edited 1 time in total.

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AArnett

PostPosted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 5:17 am    Author: AArnett    Post subject:

Joined: Wed Dec 06, 2006 6:51 am
Warnings: 0
I know left-side wins are automatically OBWs, because they play to the end and win less than the highest amount offered.

55% of the games this season have been OBWs?! Compared to 1% OPWs?! You'd think the OBW-OPW ratio to be about 2:1, not 50:1.

And, 40% TBWs? Granted, OBWs should happen more often than OPWs, but, with the US format, you'd think that TPWs happen at least as often, if not more often, than TBWs. You have to blow quite a bit of money by dealing too early or too late to win less than half of the peak offer and still beat the case contents. (Though, it does seem to happen a bit on the US Version: They turn down $100K, deal for $10K after knocking out the highest amount, and have a left-side amount in their case.) That is some big banker's winning streak. I don't think the UK banker ever has ever had that kind of winning streak.

So, I guess nobody can make a right decision this season. And, how many consecutive games in a row without an OPW now?

I know I saw at least one TPW (Peak offer of $102K, deal for $60K, have $10K in her case), but I didn't realise that even they are rare.


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Dr. Hindsight

PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2007 4:22 pm    Author: Dr. Hindsight    Post subject:

Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2006 9:09 pm
Location: Eternal Freedom
Warnings: 0
You can now add at least one TPW to the list. We had one on Dec. 11th's show.

_________________
I have berated my last contestant and have nothing else to say. Roll credits. Fade to black. | Dr. Hindsight | April 18, 2006 - December 7, 2023


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