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Goldeneye

PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2007 7:15 pm    Author: Goldeneye    Post subject: Most unrealistic proveout offers

Joined: Tue Aug 15, 2006 2:37 am
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I'd put Miguel's 5th round proveout offer to be one of the most unrealistic proveout offers, if not the most unrealistic of them all...

The hypothetical offer = £68,000 for a board of £1, £250, £5,000, £100,000 and £250,000.

A few of the other proveout offers that I'd label as unrealistic are the offers where £250,000 is still in play with a blue early in the run:

Natalie - £110,000 for a £1/£250,000 final two.
Maurice - £105,000 for a 50p/£250,000 final two.
Mally - £145,000 for a £100/£250,000 final two.

Of course, we had yesterday, Gus got a hypothetical fifth offer of £67,000 with £1, £250, £35,000, £50,000 and £250,000. That I would consider to be borderline.

Any other really unrealistically inflated proveout offers that I probably missed? (Brenda's £84,000 hypothetical offer and Gentleman James's £67,000 are not terribly unrealistic, IMHO)


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Dond-knight

PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2007 7:33 pm    Author: Dond-knight    Post subject:
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Joined: Wed Dec 13, 2006 9:41 pm
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I thought Suzanne Akers 59,000 offer was quite high.


Lucy(2) 105,000 on a 100 pound 250,000 board. :?


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Adam L

PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2007 8:00 pm    Author: Adam L    Post subject:
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Lisa (1) 's £44,000

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little_monster

PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2007 8:09 pm    Author: little_monster    Post subject:

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Sara, Donna and Leanne got ridiucolously high ones. Not a chance would he go right around the mean on those situations. On the day we finally get the perfect 2 in active play, the offer will be about £145,000.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2007 11:41 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject:

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Adam L wrote:
Lisa (1) 's £44,000


I second

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Dond-knight

PostPosted: Sun Mar 11, 2007 12:03 am    Author: Dond-knight    Post subject:
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Aaron Brock wrote:
Adam L wrote:
Lisa (1) 's £44,000


I second


Agreed


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James1978

PostPosted: Sun Mar 11, 2007 12:26 am    Author: James1978    Post subject:

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I still don't know how he got away with Lisa's, having offered £34,100 less to Trevor on the same board (well with 90p less on it), only 4 games earlier. :(

Also: Jason (1) - £37k on 50p/£75k

Jo (1), Karen (1) and Chris (1) got AMO proveout offers at 5-box with £250k and not much else

Tom - £99k on a £250k/£5, when Morris had only been offer 2 grand more with £20k as fallback a few games earlier

Michael D - £12k with £50k/£1k and 3 crap blues

Jim (1) - £34k on £75k/10p

Paula R - similar to Lisa's £44k

Pete - offer went up having lost the £250k

On the other hand - Paul D's 8-box offer - £2,500 with £75k/£50k/£20k still there, it would have been an outrage if that had been in active play! :)

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Lewis246

PostPosted: Sun Mar 11, 2007 4:52 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject:

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Frank (2)'s £2,007 on a board with £750 and £3,000. (Although he'd already beaten the banker by that point.)

Mally being offered £145,000, but the final offers were higher then.

Jack's 4th and 5th offers.


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little_monster

PostPosted: Sun Mar 11, 2007 5:49 pm    Author: little_monster    Post subject:

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Gus and his £67,000.


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Goldeneye

PostPosted: Mon Mar 12, 2007 6:20 am    Author: Goldeneye    Post subject:

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little_monster wrote:
Sara, Donna and Leanne got ridiucolously high ones. Not a chance would he go right around the mean on those situations. On the day we finally get the perfect 2 in active play, the offer will be about £145,000.


Actually, they aren't terribly ridiculous IMO. An active play with those final two would probably be at least £150,000 to £155,000 IMO.

Lee (1) early on in the run got a hypothetical £160,000 for the same final two as Kirsty did in active play, where she got a £125,000 offer.


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Lewis246

PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2007 5:56 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject:

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Lisa's £30,000 today.


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tr4962

PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2007 6:12 pm    Author: tr4962    Post subject:

Joined: Sun Mar 12, 2006 10:55 pm
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Lewis246 wrote:
Lisa's £30,000 today.


i agree. i think here what Noel says eggs the banker on to add more to the offer. it would not have been £30,000 as the average was only £27,000. i think the banker would have stuck at £24,000


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Simon F

PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2007 6:14 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject:
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Lewis246 wrote:
Lisa's £30,000 today.


That is statistically the most ridiculous prove out offer at a whopping 109.3% of the mean.

The only offer that was more ridiculous was the infamous one of player 14 and that was in play.


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Lewis246

PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2007 6:16 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject:

Joined: Mon Feb 05, 2007 4:52 pm
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tr4962 wrote:
Lewis246 wrote:
Lisa's £30,000 today.


i agree. i think here what Noel says eggs the banker on to add more to the offer. it would not have been £30,000 as the average was only £27,000. i think the banker would have stuck at £24,000


I think the average at 8 box was slightly higher than at 5 box. The offer should have been £24,000 again.


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Lewis246

PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 5:51 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject:

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Steven's £55,000. Stella had a better 8-box board in active play and was offered £50,000.

That £66,000 offer was ridiculous as well.

£50,000 in the box should have been the most money available to Steven in his game. The 4th and 5th offers should have been between £35,000 and £50,000.


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greeny

PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 6:01 pm    Author: greeny    Post subject:

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Lewis246 wrote:
Steven's £55,000. Stella had a better 8-box board in active play and was offered £50,000.

That £66,000 offer was ridiculous as well.

£50,000 in the box should have been the most money available to Steven in his game. The 4th and 5th offers should have been between £35,000 and £50,000.


£55,000 I can just about believe, £66,000 I can't believe would have been the offer.


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jmas07

PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 6:20 pm    Author: jmas07    Post subject:
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Lewis246 wrote:
The 4th and 5th offers should have been between £35,000 and £50,000.


For the 4th offer, you expected the banker to go up just £7,500 after what was nearly the perfect round? £55,000 was about right, if not more! £66,000 was a bit ridiculous but he had to offer that when all his other offers were high as well!


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Lewis246

PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 6:24 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject:

Joined: Mon Feb 05, 2007 4:52 pm
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jmas07 wrote:
Lewis246 wrote:
The 4th and 5th offers should have been between £35,000 and £50,000.


For the 4th offer, you expected the banker to go up just £7,500 after what was nearly the perfect round? £55,000 was about right, if not more! £66,000 was a bit ridiculous but he had to offer that when all his other offers were high as well!


No, I think the 4th offer should have been £50,000. I think the 5th offer should have been £35,000.


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jmas07

PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 6:26 pm    Author: jmas07    Post subject:
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Lewis246 wrote:
jmas07 wrote:
Lewis246 wrote:
The 4th and 5th offers should have been between £35,000 and £50,000.


For the 4th offer, you expected the banker to go up just £7,500 after what was nearly the perfect round? £55,000 was about right, if not more! £66,000 was a bit ridiculous but he had to offer that when all his other offers were high as well!


No, I think the 4th offer should have been £50,000. I think the 5th offer should have been £35,000.


Ahh, I getcha' ;)


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smooth_criminal

PostPosted: Thu Mar 22, 2007 6:28 pm    Author: smooth_criminal    Post subject:

Joined: Sun Mar 26, 2006 9:06 pm
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tHE BANKER IS A LIAR FOR SAYING HE WOULD HAVE OFFERED STEVEN £66,000. IT WAS WAY ABOVE THE AVERAGE ON THE BOARD, AND HE NEVER OFFERS ABOVE THE AVERAGE!

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