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Deal or No Deal forum index » UK DoND Forums » Deal or No Deal StatisticsAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 7:47 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Most popular final 5's

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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i will be updating this regularly

Code:
5 blues 0 reds - None
4 blues 1 reds - 1
3 blues 2 reds - None
2 blues 3 reds - 9
1 blues 4 reds - 2
0 blues 5 reds - None

First 2 weeks

Please correct me if i have made any mistakes

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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little_monster

PostPosted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 10:32 pm    Author: little_monster    Post subject:

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I believe Emi got 5 blues and 0 reds?


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TicTac

PostPosted: Fri Dec 29, 2006 1:36 am    Author: TicTac    Post subject:

Joined: Tue Jul 11, 2006 12:01 am
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I think Aaron is going from the start (game 1) and updating it?

It seems a little like the roll 2 dice and you will get 7/8/9 more often than 2 and 12.

Its also like, getting 3 reds and 2 blues (or other way round) is the most likely occurence, that does not mean it willl occur more than 50% of the time.


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Gavin

PostPosted: Sat Dec 30, 2006 1:37 pm    Author: Gavin    Post subject:
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Joined: Sun Mar 19, 2006 1:02 pm
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Yours looks right, and I don't want to steal your thunder or anything, but it took me a couple of minutes to do this on an Excel spreadsheet, so I thought I'd save you a bit of time :)

Code:
5 Blues, 0 Reds:   2
4 Blues, 1 Red:   38
3 Blues, 2 Reds:   121
2 Blues, 3 Reds:   127
1 Blue, 4 Reds:   47
0 Blues, 5 Reds:   8
======================
          Total:   343


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Simon F

PostPosted: Sat Dec 30, 2006 5:05 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject:
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Joined: Sat Jan 21, 2006 11:12 pm
Location: Leeds
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Gavin wrote:
Yours looks right, and I don't want to steal your thunder or anything, but it took me a couple of minutes to do this on an Excel spreadsheet, so I thought I'd save you a bit of time :)

Code:
5 Blues, 0 Reds:   2
4 Blues, 1 Red:   38
3 Blues, 2 Reds:   121
2 Blues, 3 Reds:   127
1 Blue, 4 Reds:   47
0 Blues, 5 Reds:   8
======================
          Total:   343


Both the all-red and all-blue final fives have occured less than we would expect statistically (we would expect 11 of each by now).


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Tugger

PostPosted: Sat Dec 30, 2006 5:09 pm    Author: Tugger    Post subject:

Joined: Sun Apr 09, 2006 4:42 pm
Location: DoND Box
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The 2 blues and 3 reds or 3 blues and 2 reds occurs very much.


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MisterAl

PostPosted: Mon Jan 01, 2007 7:29 pm    Author: MisterAl    Post subject:
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Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2006 11:50 pm
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Simon F wrote:
Both the all-red and all-blue final fives have occured less than we would expect statistically (we would expect 11 of each by now).

I make the expected number about 6 of each...

ACTUAL PROBABILITIES (rounded to 1 decimal place)
5B 0R: 1.8%
4B 1R: 13.8%
3B 2R: 34.5%
2B 3R: 34.5%
1B 4R: 13.8%
0B 5R: 1.8%

So, in 343 games, the expected number of occurrences (each rounded to nearest whole number) are as follows...

5B 0R: 6 times
4B 1R: 47 times
3B 2R: 118 times
2B 3R: 118 times
1B 4R: 47 times
0B 5R: 6 times

This is indeed pretty close to what we've actually seen.


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Simon F

PostPosted: Tue Jan 02, 2007 1:05 am    Author: Simon F    Post subject:
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Joined: Sat Jan 21, 2006 11:12 pm
Location: Leeds
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Thanks MisterAl

Was mistakenly working probability of 5 reds/blues as 1/(2x2x2x2x2).


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