what would you do?

what would you do in the situation on my sig? so theres £50, £10,000, £50,000, £100k and £250k left, and the offer's £77,000. What would you do?

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 11:23 am **Author:** Tugger **Post subject:**

Deal!

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

No Deal, if it was over £100k id deal though

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 11:24 am **Author:** h2005 **Post subject:**

Deal, definitely - the offer is only so huge, because of the presence of the £250k, however, the presence of the £50 is worrying, meaning that if the £250k goes, the offer really will plummet.

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 11:29 am **Author:** daniel123 **Post subject:**

thats true

as it is i dealt - and was left with £50 and £10k!!

ps - i had 10k in the box

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 11:47 am **Author:** wakey1512 **Post subject:**

I hit no deal before I even saw the board and the offer.

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 11:53 am **Author:** Tugger **Post subject:**

wakey1512 wrote:

I hit no deal before I even saw the board and the offer.

What a guess!

daniel123 wrote:

what would you do in the situation on my sig? so theres £50, £10,000, £50,000, £100k and £250k left, and the offer's £77,000. What would you do?

Let's look at the possible 10 combinations left after picking the next 3 boxes and potential banker's offers after each to assess the risk/benefit ratio:

1 £250,000 £100,000

Banker's Offer: £170,000

2 £250,000 £50,000

Banker's Offer: £130,000

3 £250,000 £10,000

Banker's Offer: £70,000

4 £250,000 £50

Banker's Offer £60,000

5 £100,000 £50,000

Banker's Offer: £75,000

6 £100,000 £10,000

Banker's Offer: £35,000

7 £100,000 £50

Banker's Offer: £22,000

8 £50,000 £10,000

Banker's Offer: £27,000

9 £50,000 £50

Banker's Offer: £17,000

10 £10,000 £50

Banker's Offer £3,000

Based upon the kind of offers the banker has made in recent times, you would only have a 20% chance of increasing the £77,000 offer at the two box stage. It would probably be better to either deal the 77K, or no deal all the way and see what's in your box or take the swap with a 40% chance of improving on the 77K, and a 60% chance of going away with at least £50,000, lifechanging money for most people! I would personally deal the £77,000 because that is lifechanging money not worth gambling with the risk of total disaster!

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 11:57 am **Author:** daniel123 **Post subject:**

and total disaster which did actually happen............right after i dealt! but what are the odds of taking out 50k, 100k and 250k, just like i did?

**Joined:** Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm **Warnings:** 0

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 11:58 am **Author:** daniel123 **Post subject:**

oh right.and 1 in...................? :-D

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 11:59 am **Author:** rico7 **Post subject:**

daniel123 wrote:

and total disaster which did actually happen............right after i dealt! but what are the odds of taking out 50k, 100k and 250k, just like i did?

10% (1 in 10)

**Joined:** Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm **Warnings:** 0

Look up - rico7 posted all 10 possible final two combinations. As each one is no more or less likely to occur than another, then each of them has a 1 in 10 chance of coming up.

**Joined:** Fri May 12, 2006 9:38 pm **Warnings:** 0

I'd Deal.

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 12:50 pm **Author:** wakey1512 **Post subject:**

Fools deal. Clever people no deal :-D

**Joined:** Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm **Warnings:** 0

wakey1512 wrote:

Fools deal. Clever people no deal :-D

Yes, Nick, Trevor, Fadil, Dave, Sally, Connell, Giorgio, Sharron, Raj, Joan, Mike, Janet, Barbara, Simone, Gary, Raj, Howard, John, Madeleine, Tan, Irene, Lucy, Alex, Scott, Emi, Nessie, Teresa, Carlton, John G., James, Geordie, Sarah, Spiky, John, Lisa, Ashok, Debbie, Simon, Ann, Jason, James, Jim R., Lindsay, Jo, Katy, Peter, Ken and Lee were all so very clever...

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 1:07 pm **Author:** wakey1512 **Post subject:**

Yes,

Natalie
Mally
Rita
John
Sara
Elaine
Jo
Lee
Jenni
Liz
Charles
Daz
Beryl
Anna
Germaine
Candice
Patrick
Gentleman James
Dave Cheeseman
Bob
Johnnie
Sandra
John H
Linda
Simon
Patricia
Fran
Richard
Jo
Dbbie
Frank
Shirley
Sue
Chris
Lance
Steph
Adam
Nev
Vee
Ashley
Steve
Sarah Jane
Mark P
Rosy
Donna
Ray
Di Please
Jeff
Paul A
Jane
Kelly
Mary

Were very clever :roll:

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 1:33 pm **Author:** daniel123 **Post subject:**

wakey1512 wrote:

Fools deal. Clever people no deal :-D

thats true! :-D

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 1:35 pm **Author:** daniel123 **Post subject:**

rico7 wrote:

daniel123 wrote:

and total disaster which did actually happen............right after i dealt! but what are the odds of taking out 50k, 100k and 250k, just like i did?

10% (1 in 10)

oh yeah, didnt think of that

**Posted:** Sun Nov 19, 2006 1:48 pm **Author:** Jimmy **Post subject:**

No Deal, As soon as that blue goes it a 10k minimum

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