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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:26 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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Game 50 is approaching, and then the series digit ticks to number 5, but there's two regular S4 games left and AARON plays this one now!

1-4 for the Configurator options of player power, Banker power, offer pattern, and money menu...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:26 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]

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3-2-4-1!

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:28 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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Game #48 configuration
Spin the Wheel | I'll Finish This | Extended UK | Classic UK

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:31 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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So the Banker decides your call on the purchase of the DOUBLE/+£10,000/MONEY BACK/HALF/NOTHING 25... but there's a wheel after that which could help!

Offer pattern is 5-3-3-3-3-3-2 and the board is regulation:

1p
10p
50p
£1
£5
£10
£25
£50
£100
£250
£500
£750

£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£15,000
£20,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000
£250,000


Box 22 is yours. Five to open and then a call. GAME ON!

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:36 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]

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Uncomfortable menu with IFT, but that's something to worry about later!

2, 3, 5, 7, 9 and 13 please!

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:39 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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And off we go! Five in this first round so we don't need 13 yet...

Box 2 - £10,000. Quiet start.

Box 3 - £25 is a nice one to dump!

Box 5 - £5 is nicer still!

Box 7 - 1p is the best of all! What a great run that was...

Box 9 - £75,000! Sting in the tail but we've seen much worse starts...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:41 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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Here's the 19-box board.

10p
50p
£1
£10
£50
£100
£250
£500
£750

£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£15,000
£20,000
£35,000
£50,000
£100,000
£150,000
£250,000


BANKER'S OFFER

£8,500



Starting off in the high four figures, and maybe we end up in six figures for only the second time ever... Banker will be ill if that happens! Deal or No Deal?

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:41 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]

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Nice place to start, let's see how much higher we can raise this though - NO DEAL!

4, 14 and 20 please.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:44 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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Not 13 yet then...

Box 4 - £20,000 may be a problem...

Box 14 - £250,000! Very different game now :(

Box 20 - £1,000 completes the all-red...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:45 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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...and now the Banker feels more comfortable!

10p
50p
£1
£10
£50
£100
£250
£500
£750

£3,000
£5,000
£15,000
£35,000
£50,000
£100,000
£150,000


BANKER'S OFFER

£6,500



An inevitable drop... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:47 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]

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A lot kinder than I'd have expected him to be here so that's very commendable, but with 16 boxes left to play with, NO DEAL.

1, 8, 21.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:51 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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Box 1 - £15,000 is an oof...

Box 8 - £5,000 might be at this point, that's six reds in a row...

Box 21 - £100 stops the streak!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:53 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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Just five reds left already, but four of them are beefy.

10p
50p
£1
£10
£50
£250
£500
£750

£3,000
£35,000
£50,000
£100,000
£150,000


And when he can offer this, he usually does...

BANKER'S OFFER

£9,001



Signature offer, but you'll surely hope to get a lot further OVER NINE THOUSAAAAND! Easier said than done with all those blues left though... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:54 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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It's in a range where I don't mind if that goes on 23 or not, but with 4 Power 5-sized amounts, I'm happy to see if my luck can change. NO DEAL.

12, 17, 23.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 3:00 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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You know 25 isn't going to be allowed to be a rescue box in the situation you need it to, but the wheel is there for that in prize form in theory...

Box 12 - £3,000 means we have no need for pausing, we'll know just from the colour if it's good or bad...

Box 17 - £1! Good!

Box 23 - £750! Ditto!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 3:05 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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Six blues play four BIG reds.

10p
50p
£10
£50
£250
£500

£35,000
£50,000
£100,000
£150,000


He thinks this is what gets you out.

BANKER'S OFFER

£16,000



Sixteen grand. It's your first five-figure offer of the game and the Banker thinks it might be your last... three to open on a dangerous board for BOTH sides... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 3:07 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]

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If I hit one of them, I'm fine. If I hit two, it's a hit I in theory can take, but if it's three, then we might be seeing our good friend tilt...

At just under half the mean, it's a NO DEAL.

11, 18, 19.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 3:11 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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Three boxes to open. And the Banker now has one desire.

He wants to see that tilt.

This is spoiler box territory I fancy...

Box 11 -
£150,000! First box, biggest box. He can see the tilt from here...


Box 18 -
£100,000! Second box, second-biggest box. Uncanny...


Box 19 -
£50 and not THAT 50!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 3:16 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]
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Well that changes things.

10p
50p
£10
£250
£500

£35,000
£50,000


Tilt, you say? Well, the trains in your neck of the woods apparently tilt by eight degrees...

BANKER'S OFFER

£8,000 ON NO-UPSIDE 25



Three to open, two to destroy. Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2021 3:18 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 4.1 | Game #48 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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You know he wants to reduce me to zero here after that! Obviously not the kind of round I wanted to have. I think knowing that the Banker decides the 23 decision does drive you on here because there's a "defend as much as you can" mechanic you get on stop of the standard game. An EV £5,600 offer with a bit of risk premium won't cut it for me here - NO DEAL.

10, 15, 24.

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 8 coming soon. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 6 currently running. PM me if you wish to organise a game.
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