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woko88

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 8:54 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]

Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2012 8:21 pm
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I don’t want to chase, but I can’t leave for less than £10k on that board.

My most optimistic prediction was £50k. £49k is a decent get out, but equally it could be nothing by carrying on or dealing now, so I may as well push on.

No deal

10,12 and 20.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 8:57 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]
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So many possibilities left. You also have one prediction that might yet save you (or make things even worse).

These three boxes will give us a bit more of a clue.

Box 10 - £70,000, the lowest big one...

Box 12 - £100,000! That has to be the top of this round or it's a one-box game...

Box 20 -
£20 and it's still on!

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 8:58 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]
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At 8-box...

20p
£1
£100
£1,500

£6,000
£20,000
£150,000
£200,000


The Banker says he's still genuinely worried about the possibility of a huge win from here! But what's he offered? Make your final prediction, or don't, up to you...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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woko88

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 9:17 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]

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Nothing is creeping up regardless of what I seem to do, so I may as well roll the dice either way.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£39,000


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 9:24 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]
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BANKER'S OFFER

£52,000



...ouch. Your final money menu...

75%
HALF
QUARTER
NOTHING
NOTHING
NOTHING
NOTHING


...at "£52,000", Deal or No Deal?

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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woko88

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 9:26 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]

Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2012 8:21 pm
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AMO?

Deal!

Take everything out in numerical order.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 9:28 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]
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It's £52,000 going through the mixer!

Ascending order for the proveout I presume?

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 9:46 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]
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Ascending order it is:

Box 6 - 20p and that was apparently the right order if you were in live play!

Box 9 - £1! Very much apparently the right order.

Box 16 - £20,000 and with two boxes on the table there'd now be a 70% chance of at least one having massive money, hence this:

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£104,000


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

TOYOTA YARIS HYBRID



That car was worth £16,575. You'd have two to open for a 3-box final offer...

Box 18 - £150,000! One would have been big...

Box 21 - £6,000! The other not so. You'd now have £100, £1,500, and £200,000 left. Essentially a 2/3 chance of just over £200k to take to 23, and a 1/3 chance of £1,600.

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£100,000



Your boxes were 3 and 14...

...there was £100 in box 14...

...and £200,000 in box 3! Box 22 had the £1,500

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 9:46 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]
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With the deal you made, this is your scenario...

75% (£39,000)
HALF (£26,000)
QUARTER (£13,000)
NOTHING
NOTHING
NOTHING
NOTHING


If you hit, it's five figures. Odds are you don't.

Good luck. This is the moment. 1-7...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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woko88

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 9:48 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]

Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2012 8:21 pm
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Sweet Jesus.

3

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2018 9:49 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #35 [Paul]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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There were 7 items in your list. Here they are in random order:

NOTHING
75% (£39,000)
NOTHING
NOTHING
NOTHING
QUARTER (£13,000)
HALF (£26,000)

IP: 81.104.176.120
Timestamp: 2018-07-23 20:47:08 UTC

PAUL'S TOTAL WINNINGS:

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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