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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 10:54 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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We've reached a big moment here, with £405,000 as the rolling jackpot - which means that game modes with a conventional starting board will see the £100k bumped up from now until the jackpot is won!

BEN might win it here of course, or he could crash, or absolutely anything in between via a Deal or otherwise! The mystery starts to unravel here, as we select one of the six rulesets...

23 BUILD
DOCTORED BOARD
DOUBLE/TROUBLE
IT'S YOUR GAME
MONEY DROP
PRIZE BOXES

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:15 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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Game 5, please.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:20 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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And it is...

PRIZE BOXES

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:23 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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This should be fun, and you do get that bumped-up second prize here!

1p
10p
50p
£1
MINI PRIZE
£10
£50
£100
£250
£500
MIDI PRIZE

£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
MAXI PRIZE
£20,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£101,250

£405,000

The Box 23 setup...

DOUBLE
ADD MAXI
ADD MIDI
ADD MINI

NOTHING

Regular offer patterns, five to open not including your own Box 6. GAME ON!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:27 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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At least this format produces interesting cash+prize offer decisions and an interesting Box 23 decision for moderate wins.

1, 3, 5, 7 and 11, please.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:32 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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And we've not seen it in 3.1 until now, only in 3.0!

Box 1 - £5,000 is a quiet start...

Box 3 - £500 is nice!

Box 5 - £50 is nicer still... there's no £5 to hit on this board though!

Box 7 - £100 will have to do instead, and it surely will do!

Box 11 - £250 completes a super start! What a hole in the blues that is!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:34 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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1p
10p
50p
£1
MINI PRIZE
£10
MIDI PRIZE

£1,000
£3,000
£10,000
MAXI PRIZE
£20,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£101,250

£405,000

Lovely colour balance means...

BANKER'S OFFER

£9,999 + MIDI PRIZE



...a five-figure offer, sort of! That prize is worth less than £1,000, but possibly not much less... to £9,999 and that prize, Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:38 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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I was sort of hoping the "update" of prizes included a boost in the value of some of the midi-prizes, but as you made clear this wasn't the case I will definitely say NO DEAL.

13, 15 and 17, please.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:42 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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Technically, there's been a small boost even since that update, because the phone that was in the midi prize mix has been replaced by a slightly more expensive new model ;) But it's still the same sort of territory.

Box 13 - £75,000! First hit.

Box 15 - £20,000 and we're heading for an ugly round here...

Box 17 - 50p! Well, that helps things.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:44 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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1p
10p
£1
MINI PRIZE
£10
MIDI PRIZE

£1,000
£3,000
£10,000
MAXI PRIZE
£35,000
£50,000
£101,250

£405,000

Certainly a destabilising round... but is it actually that bad a round?

BANKER'S OFFER

£14,500



Well, that offer suggests the Banker doesn't think so! Is he making a legitimate bid for a second-offer Deal here? Even if he is, it's up to you to decide if it succeeds... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:48 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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If the jackpot was at it's normal amount, I'd call that a genuine attempt at a 2nd offer Deal...................










................with a player like October 2012 Josh playing. :P NO DEAL and let's continue with 21, 22 and 20, please.

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


Last edited by American Coupon Boy on Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:52 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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What a response that is!

Box 21 - £50,000! Stability takes another hit...

Box 22 - MAXI PRIZE... eerily like the last round, and it needs to end that way too...

Box 20 - £35,000! Oh, but it doesn't... what a scary board!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:55 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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Good grief, this is suddenly a VERY scary board! :eyes:

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:00 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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1p
10p
£1
MINI PRIZE
£10
MIDI PRIZE

£1,000
£3,000
£10,000
£101,250

£405,000

The Banker says this is an extremely difficult position for you, but that it's not easy for him either, and that he's got a big range to operate in with this offer...

BANKER'S OFFER

OUTDOOR DINING SET + £10,000 ON NO-LOSE 23



That's a six-seater outdoor dining set courtesy of John Lewis worth £1,549, and you'd then get ten grand on 23 but with the NOTHING being treated as though it were MONEY BACK! A five-figure win for sure, but is that enough to tempt you out of chasing six? It's a long, risky road to go all the way along, but there'll be escape points every three boxes... and one here if you want it, Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:11 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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Not a chance I'm taking £10,000 with the top 2 in play, and while it is a frightening scenario visually I only have a 5% chance of knocking both of the Top 2 out, so NO DEAL

18, 16 and 14

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:14 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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And on we go! It was a scenario where I think everyone needed to take a breath and prepare themselves for this round, so no wonder you took your time over the offer even as you semingly had no intention to take it!

Obvious spoiler box territory here.

Box 18 -
£1! Found the pound!


Box 16 -
£10! What a time for this to happen... we know you've dodged the 5% chance but we do not want the one-box game...


Box 14 -
£10,000 AND WE ARE SAFE! Even more dependent on the top two, but it's not like there was much room for growth in that department to begin with - they're BOTH THERE!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:23 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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What an 8-box we have.

1p
10p
MINI PRIZE
MIDI PRIZE

£1,000
£3,000
£101,250

£405,000

Remember, if you win a prize box, you can't play 23. 1p and 10p might actually be your best blues!

The Banker wonders what you're playing for here.

BANKER'S OFFER

£20,000 ON NO-LOSE 23


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£35,000 ON NO-WIN 23



That no-win 23 would turn all four positive options into MONEY BACK whilst leaving the dreaded NOTHING, the opposite of that no-lose one.

But, of course, you'd be putting a lot more money through it if you took that option.

You may, of course, just play on...

...Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:31 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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I the Banker offered the £28,000 EV of either offer I'd be quite tempted, but the chance selling the jackpot for NOTHING immediately rules out the £35,000 offer. The £20,000 offer definitely is tempting, but this board has potential to produce a mega-money offer if I hit the slightly against the odds (36%) chance of avoiding the Top 2 in the next round.

I think the deciding factor is that I'm facing a sensible Banker, so there is only an 11% chance of total disaster in this next round, which even at this stake level I'm prepared to risk, so NO DEAL.

12, 10 and 8.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:35 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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Wow, the Banker's shenanigans ultimately may have COST him a Deal there! How expensive that could yet turn out to be...

...emphasis on COULD. As you say, the likelihood is we will hit a big one in this round. We know which one we want it to be if it does play out like that.

Four scenarios here in effect. Keeping the jackpot, keeping the backup, keeping both, losing both.

Which will play out?

Box 12 -
1p! Well, that's that one out of the equation.


Box 10 -
£1,000! We can't lose both! This is well and truly on!


Box 8 -
10p!! WHAT A ROUND! WHAT A BOARD!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:38 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #32 [Ben]
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So here we are.

MINI PRIZE
MIDI PRIZE

£3,000
£101,250

£405,000

The Banker says the thing with this game is it's incredibly easy to overthink it.

It's time to be straightforward.

BANKER'S OFFER

£50,000



A chance to tie your own record for the biggest payout ever taken from this Banker! But, of course, there's a 40% chance that you'd be handing the Banker a substantial discount on that box if you did take it...

...bearing in mind that a prize box win cannot be placed on 23...

...Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
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