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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:09 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]
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Another £11k prediction...

BANKER'S OFFER

£13,500



...but the Banker takes a step up! However, it is within 20% at least - the 162% is gone, but I think we can handle that given how the first two predictions went!

BOX 23 MONEY MENU
12%
62%
112%
212%
312%
+£10,000
ADD CAR


Of course, your past history suggests that whatever you took out there wouldn't matter if you took a Box 23 offer ;) At £13,500, Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:20 pm    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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Huh, okay.
Well... there's still a lot to play for, with four above. It's perhaps an offer worth considering, but it'll take quite a bit to crash this game and Box 23 provides quite a bit of support, so I think I'm alright to safely say NO DEAL!

Boxes 22, 10, 17 for Round 4.

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Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:23 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]
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Lots of ways to get more money from this game... and I've just realised technically it should now be Box 25 :smt046

Box 22 - £100! Well, that's a good box for sure.

Box 10 - 10p! And that's perfect!! You cannot leave with less than £30 now...

Box 17 - £5,000! What a round!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:24 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]
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Suffice to say this configuration is sending the offer up.

£5,250.01
£20,000.50
£1,010
£250
£5,750

£50,000
£80,000
£150,000


BANKER'S OFFER

£31,000 FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£23,500 + 25


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:30 pm    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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Suffice to say I am quite pleased with this development! Still... there's quite a lot of big ones up there, so it'll take a lot to crash this board. It's not impossible, but it gives me confidence in playing for it. NO DEAL!
Boxes 23, 3, 12 next.

_________________
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Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]
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How much stability will that 5-box have?

Box 23 - £20,000.50... there's the top blue...

Box 3 - £250! That's the last real blue! What a scenario this is turning into...

Box 12 - £80,000! Sting in the tail again, but the top prize is there and the bottom prize is not...!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:37 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]
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This could be a tough call for the Banker now.

£5,250.01
£1,010
£5,750

£50,000
£150,000


You could still win as little as £121.20. Or as much as £468,000.

The geometric mean of those two is £7,531.37. That is also the difference between your fixed and Box 25 offers.

BANKER'S OFFER

£32,500 FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£24,968.63 + 25


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:55 pm    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
Warnings: 0
Well... it's a decent offer? With a 30% disaster chance (but I thankfully can't be left with a blue), I'd need to keep the £150k in play to get any serious uplift. I think I'd get better odds with 23, so how about I say DEAL to the 23 offer and see how it turns out...
13, 18, 14 for the next round, leaving 9 to the end, then Option 4 for 23.

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 2:00 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]
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It's going to be an unusual winning total regardless, as Leah will be taking £24,968.63 to Box 25!

The Banker rings up and says that was a great move because four of the options on your money menu round up an extra penny ;)

Box 13 - £5,750! The median, but we'd have been happy with it...

Box 18 - £1,010! And that would have been incredible...

Box 14 - £150,000! Yet again the damage came with the final box!

£5,250.01 vs £50,000 on your final two...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£30,000 FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£23,000 + 25



Box 1 had... £5,250.01! So the Purpliser had a huge effect for you, surely improving your offers significantly because there wasn't a real 1p out there all the way that couldn't be taken out! Box 9 had £50,000 and it's a main-game spanking... but did you take the right type of offer?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 2:03 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
One of these seven outcomes will be yours, and all are equally likely...

BOX 25 MONEY MENU
12% - £2,996.24
62% - £15,480.55
112% - £27,964.87
212% - £52,933.50
312% - £77,902.13
+£10,000 - £34,968.63
ADD CAR - £24,968.63 + Renault Zoe


What do you have?

There were 7 items in your list. Here they are in random order:

12% - £2,996.24
212% - £52,933.50
62% - £15,480.55
ADD CAR - £24,968.63 + Renault Zoe
112% - £27,964.87
312% - £77,902.13
+£10,000 - £34,968.63

IP: 86.15.173.210
Timestamp: 2017-06-27 13:02:17 UTC

LEAH'S TOTAL WINNINGS: £24,968.63 + Renault Zoe

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Last edited by KP on Tue Jun 27, 2017 2:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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JDGA

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 2:05 pm    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.1 | Game #34 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
Warnings: 0
VROOM VROOM :D
Can't argue with an OPW!

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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