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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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JDGA

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:25 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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Yeesh... yeah, that was a bit of a wreck.
I feel a tad higher than that, so how about...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£6,500


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:30 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]
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The Banker has actually been a fair bit more generous than that, but says you have a mountain to climb...

BANKER'S OFFER

£8,848



The height of Everest in metres. And that's a miss of 26.54%, so you get a -£7,000 on the board. At least the others are positive!

BOX 23 OPTIONS
10%
60%
110%
160%
210%
310%
-£7,000


With that bombshell... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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JDGA

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:31 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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Eh, I can live with that. We've still got a strong stack at the top, so let's say NO DEAL!
8, 4, and 15, two evens this time :P

_________________
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You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:37 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]
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We're gradually transitioning, then... maybe our luck will, too?

Box 8... £150, that's a start!

Box 4... £21,000, but I accidentally removed that from the display at the first offer so consider that an omen or something. Bit late, Friday 13th was last weekend ;) Anyway...

Box 15... £950! Well, there we go.

Your guaranteed COMPLETE 11-box board that the Banker is making an offer on...

10p
50p
£1,055
£50
£250
£500

£1,950
£10,000
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000


It's a three-box game. How will the Banker evaluate it?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:43 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]
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I'd go with £13,579. ;)

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:44 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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There, I'm happy with that round.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£10,500


_________________
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Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:47 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]
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Ben was much closer to the mark...

BANKER'S OFFER

£13,500



That takes out the 210%, as it's in the 20-25% error band :(

BOX 23 OPTIONS
10%
60%
110%
160%
310%
-£7,000
ADD CAR


At £13,500... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:11 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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Huh, that's... actually kind of generous, I guess. Makes it honestly pretty difficult to decide one way or the other, but I guess with three mega boxes still up there I dare say this is a NO DEAL!
6, 14, and 1 next.

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You know the wind will always come back.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:12 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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...hah, that line break. In case that wasn't clear, NO DEAL :P

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Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:16 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]
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We play on, and it's emphasised twice for good measure :P

Box 6... £250! That is how we wanted to start the round...

Box 14... 50p! Oh, what a time for an all-blue THIS would be...

Box 1... £100,000! Oh.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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 Profile  

JDGA

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:19 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
Warnings: 0
Sorry for the slow responses btw, RL's keeping me busy.

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:20 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
10p
£1,055
£50
£500

£1,950
£10,000
£75,000
£150,000


The Banker says that was the round he was basically anticipating. He jokes that he's not actually bothered by how the predictions went as you're so obviously going to hit ADD CAR anyway :P

BANKER'S OFFER

£1,000 + CAR FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£15,000 + 23


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

JDGA

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 6:10 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
Warnings: 0
Hmm... honestly, given that the only way to get any sort of real uplift on that is to keep both of the top two (35% chance), I feel this might actually be where I stop. And since the banker's offering a car and my 23 is kind of poor this time around... yeah, I'm going to say DEAL to a car and a grand!
12, 10, 22 for the next round, then 19, 20, and 18 for the rest of the proveout.

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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 Profile  

American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 6:19 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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I definitely wouldn't take the first offer for the sole reason that I'd feel like idiot if I sold either the £75k or £150k for only £1,000 in cash.

That, and I'm completely content with my 2005 Toyota Corolla. :P

_________________
PM me to play a game of my Deal or No Deal series for a shot at $601!

The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 6:21 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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Once again, you're driving away with a new Nissan Leaf! You also get £1,000 to spend on petrol electricity to power it ;)

Now we find out what would've happened if you'd decided to play differently.

Box 12... £75,000! No 36% chance then...
Box 10... £500, leaving us hanging on this...
Box 22... £1,055! Well, your hypothesis is going to be tested here:

10p
£50

£1,950
£10,000
£150,000


BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£2,500 + CAR FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£16,500 + 23



The uplift would've been £1,500. Not a fake uplift, but not a large one, if that's what you meant by "real." This round has no such ambiguity...

Box 19... £50! One away...
Box 20... £10,000, two away but that was the crash mat...
Box 18... 10p! Oof.

On a £1,950 vs £150,000 final pair:

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£31,000 + CAR FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£46,000 + 23



Did you have £150k in Box 21? Either you did, or we have something between £750 and £75,000 on the table for the first time...

...Box 21 had £1,950! Box 2 had the big £150,000, nice choice of boxes to leave well alone there!

Now we need a hypothetical Box 23 pick from 1 to 7.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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 Profile  

JDGA

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 6:30 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
Warnings: 0
Option 4, of course :P

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


Top
 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 6:32 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]
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User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
The setup:

BOX 23 OPTIONS
10%
60%
110%
160%
310%
-£7,000
ADD CAR


The result.

There were 7 items in your list. Here they are in random order:

60%
ADD CAR
110%
10%
160%
-£7,000
310%

IP: 86.15.173.210
Timestamp: 2017-01-22 05:28:13 UTC

Nice escape there. An 8-box Deal with 23 would only have netted you £1,500, but the Deal you actually took has earned you a car worth about 11 times that, as well as £1,000 cash!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

JDGA

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 6:56 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #12 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
Warnings: 0
Heh, I'll take it :)
A bit of a cautious deal, but I guess it worked out in the end. Plus, you know, another car~

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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