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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:11 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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Aaron is ready for a second crack, having won a gloriously bizarre £33,798.96 on his first try!

This is the starting board...

1p
10p
50p
£1
£5
£10
£50
£100
£250
£500
£750

£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£20,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000
£250,000


...before we fire up that Dulux Purpliser! There are 11 red boxes here with all the red amounts, 11 blue boxes here with all the blues, and 11 greens with percentages from 0% to 50%. Whatever green you find is the share of the red that gets moved to the blue.

We do that five times in all... you know the drill, one of each colour to start, or maybe all five at once Ben-style if you like!

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:15 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]

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I'll go all five at once I think!

First: 1, 4, 7.
Second: 11, 9, 4.
Third: 3, 3, 6.
Fourth: 4, 10, 11.
Fifth: 8, 8, 1.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:30 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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OK, here we go!

Going snooker loopy with the first one, and it begins with a classic pop producer namecheck, Red 1... £35,000 there, and blue 4... £10, the other half of the first ever 2-box! Will that last? Green 7... goodness no, 50% change! You now have £17,500 and £17,510 boxes!

Second change, then... red 11 brings £50,000 to the plate... blue 9 is 1p, which is just what we wanted!... green 4 could do with at least not being zero, and it is... 35%! You now have £32,500 and £17,500.01 boxes, what a bizarre logjam you have at £17.5k!

Third one might be 10% or 15% off the £20k at this rate... but red 3 is only £3,000 as it happens, while blue 3... is the £5, always nice to bump that up a bit... emphasis on "a bit," green 6 is 5%! So that's £2,850 and £155 boxes on your board.

Fourth one should be a bigger change... red 4 has £20,000, here we go... blue 10 is £750, but how many thousands will be added to that?... green 11, wouldn't you know it, is 10%! Amazing, you now have an £18,000 to pair with those £17.5k triplets, along with a handy £2,750 bottom left!

Finally... red 8 is the £250,000! Here we go... blue 8 is £100... green 1 will dictate the shape of this game... and it's 40%! Oh boy... your top prize is now £150,000 but you have two of those, and the next one down is basically duplicated too as you have £100,100 on the board!

£17,500.01
10p
50p
£1
£155
£17,510
£50
£100,100
£250
£500
£2,750

£1,000
£2,850
£5,000
£10,000
£18,000
£17,500
£32,500
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000
£150,000


You've got Box 9, and five to open in this opening round... this could be a lot of fun!

_________________
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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:35 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]

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What a board! It might make the predictions a bit tough though...

2, 3, 5, 10 and 18 will start me off please!

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:40 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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Will he still like this board when those predictions begin?

Box 2... £17,500.01! Well, it would have been the perfect start, as it is it merely simplifies things!

Box 3... £10,000. Not a problem. Not great, but not a problem.

Box 5... 50p! That, on the other hand, IS great!

Box 10... £50! True blue again!

Box 18... £5,000. You have to take that!

10p
£1
£155
£17,510
£100,100
£250
£500
£2,750

£1,000
£2,850
£18,000
£17,500
£32,500
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000
£150,000


Where do you go here? It's an interesting board...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:43 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Where oh where has he come in on this one...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£13,650


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Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:44 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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Going big...

BANKER'S OFFER

£11,000



...too big. 24% too big. :(

BOX 23 OPTIONS
0%
46%
96%
146%
196%
296%


That is still the offer... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:45 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Gah, was expecting a least a third of the average on such a stable board. NO DEAL

8, 11 and 21 next please.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:49 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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Banker held back...

Box 8... 10p! That'll help him do that a lot less!

Box 11... £17,500, another one of those gone!

Box 21... £150,000! That's the one that started as the £250k though, so you can't complain too much, as the £100k you took from that is still out there!

£1
£155
£17,510
£100,100
£250
£500
£2,750

£1,000
£2,850
£18,000
£32,500
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000


Second offer guess time...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:52 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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I'd go with £8,800.

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:52 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Again, this is a tricky one to call on such an odd but stable board. I think he may have gone down a bit...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£10,450


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:54 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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Turns out he's been loyal to increasing that generosity...

BANKER'S OFFER

£13,650



Oof, that's a 23.4% error!

BOX 23 OPTIONS
0%
46%
96%
146%
196%
296%
-£3,000


The Banker responds by reducing the offer...

BANKER'S OFFER

£10,650



Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:55 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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These predictions aren't going so well, but that's not the worst Box 23 setup. NO DEAL

6, 15, 16 next please.

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:59 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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First time in while I was Davao level bad with an offer prediction. I guess I factored in the top prize going a lot more than the Banker did.

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 2:10 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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Technically it didn't go, it just isn't duplicated anymore. ;)

Box 6... £32,500. That removes one layer of stability...

Box 15... £500! That removes one layer of danger! This is going to be a very interesting box...

Box 16... £18,000. You've been tearing into the middle of this board, but it's still rather stable because there's four big ones out of eleven...

£1
£155
£17,510
£100,100
£250
£750

£1,000
£2,850
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000


Make of THAT what you will, and if you get within 5% you'll take the zero win out of the equation...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 2:18 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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I reckon we've gone northwards in generosity.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£15,225


_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 2:27 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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Quite a way northwards in fact...

BANKER'S OFFER

£19,000



Which is an error margin of 19.8%, so it's the 147% that gets replaced! Oof...

BOX 23 OPTIONS
0%
47%
97%
197%
297%
-£3,000
ADD CAR


No change to the offer... I wonder what the without-23 offers will be like now? At £19,000 with Box 23 optional... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 2:30 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
At least it isn't one of the big two! Better offer than I was expecting yet again, but it's going to be a NO DEAL.

7, 12 and 13 are the next three!

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Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 2:38 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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This is a big round, and there'll be a big decision to make after it...

Box 7... £17,510, so you've cleaned up the entirety of that logjam...

Box 12... £100,000! We need a bounceback box...

Box 13... £1! And do we ever get it!

What a dramatic affair this is turning out to be.

£155
£100,100
£250
£2,750

£1,000
£2,850
£75,000
£150,000

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 16, 2017 2:39 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #6 [Aaron]
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The Banker says he hasn't got a clue what to do so he is quite literally spitting out what his computer is giving him!

BANKER'S OFFER

£24,718 FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£22,370 + 23


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  
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