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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:24 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]
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An important round here. Then again, aren't they all?

Box 22... £650. Booyeah!

Box 18... £29,750. Would have been nice to keep and amusing to win, but we've got five higher than that...

Box 16... £250! And that is very definitely not one of them! Another positive round...

£7,500.01
£5
£10
£100
£75,750

£10,000
£20,000
£50,000
£100,000
£142,500
£175,000


This is a powerful position. How much power will be reflected in this third offer? Remember, get within 5% and the worst-case scenario on Box 23 will be a 30% decrease...

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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Archstered

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:26 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
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Was going to say £26,000

Then thought of £30,000..

So we'll go in the middle.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£28,000


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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:30 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]
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Neither of those would've been wildly surprising to see on this board...

BANKER'S OFFER

£26,000



...and indeed we see one of them! The first instinct would've been perfection, the second less so, but by splitting the difference you're the third player in a row to get in the 5-10% band at this stage!

BOX 23 OPTIONS
20%
120%
170%
220%
320%
+£5,000
ADD CAR


Future offers will have that setup accounted for with the 23-or-not-23 dilemma, but for now, with 23 optional if you take it... £26,000... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:32 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]

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We'll play on.. NO DEAL!

It's 12, 21 and 4!

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:41 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]
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We go on, awaiting the first double offer after this...

Box 12... £5! Perfect!

Box 21... £100,000! That will hurt, but it's only the third-highest on the board. Anything from £20,000 downwards, and we are still very much in a powerful position...

Box 4... £10! ESPECIALLY IF IT'S THAT!

There's now only one true blue on the board...

£7,500.01
£100
£75,750

£10,000
£20,000
£50,000
£142,500
£175,000


This is a heck of a position...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:42 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]
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It is worryingly safe to play on, from the Banker's perspective at least.

BANKER'S OFFER

£52,000 FIXED



OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£36,000 + 23


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:44 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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Too safe to deal.

NO DEAL!

19, 7 and 15. COME ON HUNDRED QUID! REVEAL YOURSELF!

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:46 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]
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He knows what he wants to see...

Box 19... £20,000. That's the fourth-lowest on this board, my word...

Box 7... £100!! THERE IT IS! THERE IT IS!!

On the precipice of one of the greatest configurations you will ever see on any version...

Box 15... £50,000, which ought to hurt but I'm not sure it does!

£7,500.01
£75,750

£10,000
£142,500
£175,000

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:49 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]
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The weird thing about this board is that the four adjusted amounts on it are actually matching pairs.

If you just had the original board with the two blues and the £150k/£250k top two...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£60,000 FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£42,500 + 23



But because of the power of the Dulux Purpliser...

BANKER'S OFFER

£75,000 FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£55,000 + 23


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:51 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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WOW...

Both of those offers are tempting.. However I'm not walking away from a guaranteed 7.5k

NO DEAL.

3, 14 and 2...

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:55 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]
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Technically, you're guaranteed £1,500 with 23. But let's hope it doesn't come to that.

Let's hope that instead, we're talking about a ridiculously big 2-box finish.

Box 3... £142,500! Well, that's one down. The smaller. We now want to remove its pair.

Box 14... £7,500.01! WE DO! And just like that, we're on the verge of what would have been Jennifer's finish, but is now more even and hence far more powerful from the perspective of drawing the big 2-box offer...

Box 2... £175,000! :(

Well, so much for that. On the other hand, that could have been utterly ugly and anticlimactic, but the power of the Dulux Purpliser means that instead of being the consolation prize, £10,000 is now the kicker, and you still have a shot at £75,750...!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:57 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]
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This final offer selection is disappointing only in comparison. Don't dismiss them. Remember, though, that Box 23 is optional if you have a box win.

BANKER'S OFFER

£52,000 FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£35,000 + 23


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Archstered

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 12:59 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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If I play on, I'll be playing on to open 23 with these offers. I probably should use box 23, but I'd really want to take the 52k or 75k to it.

As I can't take the 52k to it and declining 52k would be morally disgusting, it's a DEAL for..

£52,000

I wouldn't have swapped

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 1:04 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]
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So, whatever happens, you're going away with £52,000!

But... Box 10 had £75,750! :( Box 6 had £10,000. My word, that Dulux Purpliser really did transform your game, and even though you didn't max out the rewards, it's still a huge win you would never have had without it!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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 Profile  

Archstered

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 1:05 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
I would have selected 5 for Box 23...

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 1:11 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]
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Assuming a 2-box Deal for £35,000 and 23, you'd be looking at this...

BOX 23 OPTIONS
20% - £7,000
120% - £42,000
170% - £59,500
220% - £77,000
320% - £112,000
+£5,000 - £40,000
ADD CAR - £35,000 + Nissan Leaf


And you'd have ended up with this...

There were 7 items in your list. Here they are in random order:

170% - £59,500
20% - £7,000
220% - £77,000
+£5,000 - £40,000
320% - £112,000
120% - £42,000
ADD CAR - £35,000 + Nissan Leaf

IP: 86.15.173.210
Timestamp: 2017-01-14 00:10:52 UTC

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Archstered

PostPosted: Sat Jan 14, 2017 1:12 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #4 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
Wow, this was a lucky game! I feel lucky to have won £52,000, though ;)

_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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