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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » Aaron Brock's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 10:47 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
The Banker's had a bit of a nightmare in recent games - one or two slip-ups, plus he hasn't given away less than £23k in the last six games! He'll be doing everything he can to end that costly streak, but coming in hot off his last game which set a new record for Aaron's DoND is KP!


    A TALE OF TWO BOXES
    SUPER 6
    TWELVE SHIFT
    SPLIT DECISION
    MY KIND OF DEAL
    BETWEEN THE LINES

I'm sure he's going to wand you to steer clear of Twelve Shift!

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 10:50 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]
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After that last game, I wouldn't blame him. ;)

Number 2!

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 10:53 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
2...



    SPLIT DECISION

... is two-in-a-row for that twist! That board is going to get split, back in a moment!

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 10:55 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
    BLUE BOARD:
    1p
    10p
    50p
    £100
    £250
    £500
    £1,000
    £10,000
    £20,000
    £35,000
    £75,000


    RED BOARD:
    £1
    £5
    £10
    £50
    £750
    £3,000
    £5,000
    £15,000
    £50,000
    £100,000
    £250,000

That's a biiig Red Board you've got going, but plenty of scope for a nice win on Blue!

Box 1 is on the table for this one. Good luck!

_________________
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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 10:57 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]
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Well this could be interesting. And it just feels right for the blue board to be the weaker ;)

8, 2, 4, 6, 10.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:00 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Your two previous attempts at this game have yielded wins of £11,000 and £11,010 - let's see if we can take it higher!


8 - £75,000! Oh... That's truly weakened the blue board even more!

2 - £750 is better!

4 - £500 is a relief...

6 - £20,000! That is not a good start over there... BT

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:04 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
    BLUE BOARD:
    1p
    10p
    50p
    £100
    £250
    £1,000
    £10,000
    £35,000

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:06 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

The Banker welcomes you back, and he's looking for a player spanking especially after you took him for over £200k in the last show. He'd love you to do similar damage to the red board too!

Anyway, just one prediction required in Split Decision, no green boxes come into play. Fancy making that prediction here?

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:07 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]
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Well I'm appreciating the strategic clarity here, but I'm not making a prediction...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:08 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
No prediction...

 BANKER'S OFFER 

£1,101


... a tenth of your best Split Decision win!

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:10 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]
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Quality reference, and a nice dodge too, I'd never have gone quite that low :P NO DEAL, it's safe to say that's the sideshow here at the moment!

10, 16, 14, 12.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:13 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
It really is, but imagine locking in £35k on the blue also!


10 - £10! Another great box on that one!

16 - £250 is a step in the right direction there!

14 - £100,000! Annoyingly some damage going into that first red offer... BT

_________________
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:14 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
    RED BOARD:
    £1
    £5
    £50
    £3,000
    £5,000
    £15,000
    £50,000
    £250,000

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:16 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

The Banker's clearly happy to see the £100k go. He says he's not overly concerned about this game but he says this is a good offer for this board!

What do you make of this? Time for a prediction?

_________________
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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:20 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]
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Warnings: 0
It is an interesting setup, that £100k was a big hit but the two tiddlers before it meant it was kinda the expected round there!

I think the "good offer" here has a chance of being just over £22k to make £19,800 miss by over 10%. But I'm also not sure it'll actually be that high?

And I wouldn't be too upset with a 15%-band miss here if I go with a 23 Boost prediction, which I think tips me both towards making that prediction and towards it being for 23 Boost.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£19,800


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:23 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Covering £18k-£22k in the 10% band...


BANKER'S OFFER

£17,777


... almost! That's just over 11% out meaning we can throw in +£10,000 or you can replace HALF with ADD HALF. What's it to be?

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:25 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]
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I'll add the +£10,000 here, giving me a 1/3 chance of a five-figure win even if both boards crash. Which I think will be a weapon I have against the Banker here!

NO DEAL, 12, 22, 20, 18.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:33 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Box 23 beefed up, and now to pick some small blues and reds...


12 - £250,000!! Brings the ceiling down there by a factor of five, validating the 23 Boost choice potentially?

22 - £50 leaves just two de-facto blues on the red...

20 - £35,000!! Blue has turned out to be quite the disaster!

18 - £100! 60% chance that Blue is going to produce a pence win! BT...

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:34 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
    BLUE BOARD:
    1p
    10p
    50p
    £1,000
    £10,000

_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:36 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [113]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

"It's all starting to fall apart! How wonderful..."

 BANKER'S OFFER 

£1,777.70


_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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