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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » Aaron Brock's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:18 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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One of your yellow boxes playing a crucial role now as your second highest value. Hopefully, we'll be throwing away change in these three!


22 - £60,000! Ack... I think I'll just keep schtum from here on in...

20 - £20,000

18 - £50! Playing dangerously here, but the Two Boxes element of this is always gonna help these offers... BT

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:18 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:20 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

The Banker is still feeling smug, the trend of hitting one massive amount each round continues. He says this is a genuine exit fee to consider before this gets ugly...

What do you reckon? Happy enough to make a prediction here?

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:24 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]
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I'm quite tempted to go with £13,579 here, but I think I'd rather see how this next round goes before deciding on which bonus to play for so I'll abstain.

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:25 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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No prediction...


BANKER'S OFFER

£12,501



... and maybe you should've, at just 8.7% out!

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:29 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]
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We'll see if that was a wise move as the game progresses, which it certainly will in live play with a less than a 25% chance of a blue win should I go all the way and 2 £50,000+ amounts still in play.

NO DEAL, and let continue with 16, 14 and 12, please.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:30 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]
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To be fair, that was a tough point to even make a prediction. I think if I'd have done so, it'd have been for the Box 23 boost, with a view to getting an extra multiplier on the board to make 23 stronger at five-figure stakes. After all, when I did that the first time it was immensely successful. ;)

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:32 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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We play on, and that small chance of winning a blue can shrink quickly if you find more of them...


16 - £50,000! One box game now, crikey...

14 - £100 we need more of those...

12 -
1p!! Phew, we made it!!


BT...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:32 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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KP

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:33 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]
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At least there's a 25% chance of winning the £100k by going to the end, and the chances of getting a fiver or less are nowhere near 37.5%...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:34 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

"You're stuck in the curse here Ben. This really is your last chance before it all falls away..."

That fourth round may have given you a better idea of what sort of prediction could benefit you the most. But would you like to predict this offer, Ben?

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:37 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]
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I'm still VERY uncertain as to which bonus to pick, so I will reluctantly abstain.

Would've gone for £14,200.

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:41 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Fourteen two it would have been...


BANKER'S OFFER

£16,666



Just within 15%, but it's a premium on what you were expecting... An interesting situation to be in, and let me remind you that dealing before making the second prediction means that you won't get a chance to make that prediction to gain a bonus. Does that affect this decision any?

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:45 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]
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I'm quite tempted to stop here with a 37.5% of reducing the maximum front game win to £12,500 in the next round, but with so many fallbacks and the twist still play I think this just about worth going for.

NO DEAL, and let's avoid the £100k like the plague with 10, 8 and 6, please.

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:48 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Absolutely vital that we break this pattern we've been stuck in. If not, it's going to be a struggle to get through to the end of this game...


10 - £12,500! Widens the gap, and now it's a full order of magnitude drop if you hit the hundred...


8 -
50p! We need one of the other two blues to guarantee a red win now...



6 -
£100,000!! Arrrrgh!! :smt011 :smt011 This really has been one of the more painful games of Two Boxes we've had...


BT...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:49 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:50 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

The Banker doesn't sympathise with you, he says he gave you plenty of warning!

This is all about getting you ten grand, and whatever else we can get on top of that. However, is 5-box the time to post that all-important prediction?

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:50 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]
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And I was so close to taking the last offer as well. :(

No Prediction, NO DEAL to whatever this offer is, and let's finish this up with 2 and 4.

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:51 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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No prediction, and the offer?


BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£5,555


... but we'll move on and try and get you the full 10! Good luck Ben...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2018 12:53 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Ben plays Aaron's DoND [95]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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2 - 10p! Now we've guaranteed a red win!


4 - £7,500! And out go the last of the yellow boxes...


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2/3 shot at £10k, 1/3 shot at £3k Ben. Finally, I must take a prediction from you here...

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