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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:30 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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It's the end of the weekend, and hoping to land a fortune before the start of the next week is KP!



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You know the drill...

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Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
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Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:38 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]
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It's nice and dark for battle here. Let's start with pick 2!

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:41 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Number 2...



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... it's the Unlimited Minutes, sponsored by O2! You're in control of the phone. You need to make at least two calls (though I'm sure you were intending to anyway ;) ) for your predictions, and the rest of the rules are as usual!

Good luck, you've got Box 9 on the table

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:45 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]
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Usual strategy here, open 8 first and sweep up the evens in ascending order, then the call!

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:50 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Off we go with the first eleven boxes!

8 - £15,000

2 - £1!

4 - £1,000... all going well so far!

6 - 50p!

10 - £10 Would've been a brilliant conventional start!

12 - £50

14 - £3,000! Fine!

16 - 10p!! My word!!

18 - £50,000! That's one hit...

20 - £100! Excellent!

22 - £5!! Well how about that for an 11-box! BT...

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:51 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
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_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:52 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

He congratulates you on a great start, but says you won't be so fortunate in the next half and so you should take this first offer and call it quits!

Do you want to do that, though? We're going to lose £5k £10k and £20k now for three yellow boxes, and the better your prediction here, the better they'll be!

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:57 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]
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£496.5k on this board, so the mean is ~£45k and £26k feels like it's a magnet as it's stable enough to be that close to the mean.

I don't think he could go 15% higher than it for £29,901... £28,601 a bit more possible and something he's done before. I'll make sure that's covered here.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£24,700


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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:59 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
24-7...


BANKER'S OFFER

£24,000



... and that's a great time to be within 3%, two large and one medium yellow box! This board is on the verge of becoming amazing... Pick one medium and two large yellow boxes for me please, 1-5!

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:01 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]
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WOAH.

Here comes something ridiculous.

Medium 2 and the big 2-3...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:04 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Here they come...


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Only THE biggest two large yellows!! This could be really special... But at £24,000, Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


Last edited by Aaron Brock on Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:11 am, edited 1 time in total.

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:08 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]
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No Deal, WOAH.

I feel like I can open three, and that 8-box is a good potential prediction point anyway because of the extensive history of Banker moves at that point... So bring on 15, 19, and 21 now!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:10 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Righto! Oh my word I don't even know what to say now, let's see it hrough...

15 - £150,000! Didn't want to stay around!

19 - £7,500! That's great news, but that's the last yellow we want to see for a while...

21 - 1p!! YEEHAWWWWW!! THIS 8-BOX!! BT...

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:12 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
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_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:13 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

The £150k got his hopes up there, but that was very much your round! He's terrified because with everything aligned, this could be his biggest payout ever...

... but what is he offering to stop you from doing that? Is it prediction time?

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:16 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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I'd go with £38,500.

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:19 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]
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£661.5k on that board, good grief.

Well I know what type of prediction I want... Whether this is the time or not I'm not sure, but I think it is, because I don't have to be super accurate in this situation when I'm going for the BB!

I had a £41k offer with this same approach in 60.5, and this board is stronger (!). I'll keep £41k in the 15% band but I have to go higher.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£46,500


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:21 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Is that enough to activate a low-threshold Bonus Box tonight?



BANKER'S OFFER

£51,000



It actually is, at 8.8%! A win of £35,000 or more will activate the Bonus Box! I imagine he would've called with a No-BB counterpart right now if he was in control of the phone, but he isn't...

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:23 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]
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Oh my.

NO DEAL, 11 and 13, then see how he reacts.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:25 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [80]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
To see an insta-NO DEAL of an offer of that magnitude from KP is a very rare sight, which is a testament of how good this board is! Two boxes, then a call...


11 -
£250,000!! Not how we wanted to start...



13 -
£500!! Just two blues remain now!!


BT...

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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