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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » Aaron Brock's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:06 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Good morning, the bats are out to play tonight as KP takes on the Banker once more!



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1-6 please, will we see Prediction Play for the first time?

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:09 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]
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Technically it wouldn't be the first time we played that way :smt046

Tinchy for me, please!

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:12 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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It wouldn't indeed...



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OH YES! Could this be our first huge Super 6? We shall see, as KP picks 6 numbers 1-22 to find his first Super 6!

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:16 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]
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Original Lou Bega combo + 17, please!

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:21 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Let's see what that board looks like with those new amounts...



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£400k is the second highest sum you can get, but the backups aren't particularly impressive! Do you want to STICK or TWIST?

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:23 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]
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I should be able to get a bunch of six-figure boxes onto the board with a do-over, and the Banker doesn't need reminding how that gives me confidence. So it's a TWIST.

Spinoff Lou Bega combo + 21, this time!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:28 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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I don't think I can blame you for that! What will our board be, then?



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WHAT A BOARD!!! OH I AM EXCITED FOR THIS :D :D :D

Box 6 is on the table. LET'S DO THIS THING!!

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:30 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]
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...!!!

8, 2, 4, 12, 10. My word...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:35 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Let's begin...


8 - 1p!! This will be an incredible game, I can feel it!

2 - £10,000! Who even cares, get rid of it!

4 - £1,000!

12 - £15,000! I was tempted to post these as blues instead :P

10 - £500,000!! Ahh well, a bit annoying but what a game this is!! BT...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:35 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:37 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

The Banker can't believe his bad luck! He knows you have a tendency to take chunky sums of money from him, and tonight you could just top our leaderboard...

How does he value this setup? £250 £500 £750 are about to be replaced by three yellow boxes, and if you're spot on this will be an in-SANE board...

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:46 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]
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Well, I may not get the biggest wins, and in fact have the lowest average of the big three perennials, but nobody has more £50k wins than me, and this looks awfully well set up to produce another.

£1.3m on the board, I'm having to make calculations I've never done in a UK-based game before here :smt046

All-blue opener in the regular game leaves a mean around £34k, and that's with £564k left on the red side. 564/1300 feels like it's just on the high side of a sensible proportion of the mean here, but the board is about to get even better anyway so he might have pre-emptively gone there...

Ugh. I don't know. This is uncharted territory! £45k - 15% = £38,250 and that feels like a reasonable ceiling? So...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£38,250



*shrug*

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:48 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Interesting logic, but how does it compare?


BANKER'S OFFER

£34,444



He went with your pre-BB win from your last game! It's 11.78% out and it means we add one of each, small medium and large! 1-5 for each KP, and we're all looking forward to the new large amount!

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:50 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]
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Key thing was to get inside 15%, did that! Shame I didn't go with £35k but my guesses were all over the place :p

After the success of the Lou Bega system earlier I've got to go with the triple mambo here!

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:53 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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And those are:

5S - £20
5M - £7,500

And the big one...

5L - £200,000!! THERE'S NOW TWO OF THEM!! :shock: :D


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But at £34,444 David, Deal or No Deal?

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:55 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]
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Oh my word. This is ridiculous.

Obviously a NO DEAL. If I can go the entire game without hitting two £200k+ amounts in a round I'll have one at 2-box, that still doesn't make sense but it's true.

18, 14, 16. The system still makes sense at least...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:57 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Uncharted territory. Entirely.


18 - £5!

14 - 50p! Yes...

16 - 10p!!! UNBELIEVABLE ROUND OH MY ACTUAL WHAT IS THIS SORCERY...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:58 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 3:59 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

He's in utter disbelief, and can't believe he's uttering an offer of this magnitude at 14-box for crying out long...

... would you fancy a go at predicting it?

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jul 04, 2017 4:01 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [70]
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Bat games are the best games.

No prediction. I'm not putting myself through that chaos again just yet...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  
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