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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:09 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **


Now, David, NOW he's getting scared...

BANKER'S OFFER

£44,444


_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:10 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]
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That even renders not going higher at the opening guess less relevant! What about that?

It's about the average on a regular board, which is probably the territory where Two Boxes offers start getting properly interesting. With the BB locked in and the chance to win a gloriously odd huge sum of money, I'd be lying if I said I wasn't tempted, but the upside is just irresistible here. NO DEAL!

13, 15, and 19...

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:17 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
We're into Power 5 territory now, and another good round is only going to send your 8-box offer flying! Now then...


13 - £10! Yes!

15 - £100,000! A setback... But if this is blue, it doesn't actually carry all that much significance...

19 -
£35,000! Now that's changed things... What a fascinating game! Down but not even close to out!


BT

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:19 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
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_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:20 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

He's glad to have that breathing space back now, and warns you that this is the start of a downward spiral... So, two offers:

BANKER'S OFFER

£34,444


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£39,999 & NO BONUS BOX


_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:26 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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Still a 25% chance of £250k and not much less than that of £75k, but a 20/56 chance of a blue win...

...I don't feel comfortable with that, but leaving a bunch of EV behind isn't appealing either... nor is not taking a chance at 8-box after I did so at 11-box with a higher offer...

...DEAL £34,444. It's the better offer, and it means I'm not taking the safest option. ;)

11, 7, and 9...

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:36 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
It's a DEAL for £34,444! We could double that with the Bonus Box, at least we hope! Your next three would have been:


11 - £75,000! Good start!

7 - 1p! Nope...

9 - £1! Eek, this would have been a good place to be in...

ImageImage
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And your pair of offers would have been:

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£52,522


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£63,633 & NO BONUS BOX



And we'd have needed two more boxes...

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:37 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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So nearly... don't know if I could have taken those last two boxes :P

5 and 3...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:42 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Gotta find it now...


5 - £12,500!

3 - £100! It's still there!! My oh my...


ImageImage
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Your pair of offers NOW would have been...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£111,111


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£137,137 & NO BONUS BOX



HOWEVER...

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:44 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
We've had one of these before...

BANKER'S OFFER

BANKER'S ONE BOX GAMBLE



He says if you hand him back £34,381 (meaning you would still have £63), you can continue in live play, but with only one of your two boxes (you get to decide which).

How about that then, KP? Is it the right time for another gamble, or will you be keeping the money?

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:48 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]
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If the BB requirement was £50k I'd be sorely tempted, and quite likely go for it.

It isn't, so I'm not. NO DEAL. You know what I'd have done hypothetically :)

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:52 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
And the money is still yours! But did one of your two boxes have the biggie?


22 - 50p
17 - £250,000!! The one you chose yourself!! :shock: :shock: Box 1 had the £5 (which would have led to standard offers of £63k/£79k-BB if you were wondering!)

Now then, two bits of business...

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:54 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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That could have been a really brutal result under regular rules! Wow...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:54 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Box 23, I know, we all forgot about it!

    DOUBLE (£68,888 & BB)
    +£15,000 (£49,444 & BB)

    MONEY BACK (£34,444 & BB)
    HALF (£17,222)
    NOTHING

Or was it just because it wasn't on your mind with the current scenario? Would you like to buy Box 23?

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:58 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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NO DEAL, not a difficult call. Hypo 4.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 11:03 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
What a surprise that wasn't :P


    Image

And it would have deprived you of the chance to open the Bonus Box, which we're about to do for the first time! :D


    DOUBLE (£68,888)
    ADD HALF (£51,666)
    +30% (£44,777.20)
    +20% (£41,333.80)
    +10% (£37,888.40)
    MONEY BACK (£34,444)

Some cracking cards there David, so let's have a great result here, 1-6!

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 11:04 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
Some great sums of money, and some wonderfully awkward numbers, too.

Number 3!, please!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 11:07 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Is #6 worthy of the exclamation mark? Here it comes...


    Image

It sure is!! Great result, pushing you up to £51,666! Amazing stuff after a well-fought game! :D

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND - Season 5 coming soon. Currently in the 2019 Crossover Series with KP and Archstered.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jul 02, 2017 11:09 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
Fantastic contest, and to take £51,666 from a game which was essentially always destined to be a big money-saver for the Banker is hard to argue with!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Mon Jul 03, 2017 3:32 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [67]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
Warnings: 0
£51,666 factorial :shock:
Well played!

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