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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » Aaron Brock's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 2:54 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]
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No prediction in this situation.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 2:59 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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No prediction...

BANKER'S OFFER

£4,250



You inspired him with your first prediction!

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:00 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]
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Hah. Makes sense.

NO DEAL. 18, 21, 22.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:03 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Why don't we embark on a blue run now?


18 - £10,000!

21 - £100,000!! This is relentless!! :shock: :shock:

22 - 50p! Well that's something...

** RING **

The Banker is feeling sorry for you, and has decided to use his REPLAY! He said "I want a bit of a challenge at least!" Will he regret that?

When KP returns in the morning/afternoon, we'll be redoing Round 3, join us then!

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:56 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]
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I think he wants an even more satisfying victory ;)

Redo with those same three boxes!

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:59 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Let's try that again, we want three blues now, or that £2!


18 - £100!

21 - £2! Looking good so far!

22 - £10!! Great stuff! :D BT...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:00 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:01 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

The Banker says that after the two massive crashes in the previous two games, he's thoroughly looking forward to the rest of this game!

Offer 3 is in, but do you feel like posting that prediction here?

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:11 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]
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Hmm. A de facto ABR feels like it should be worth about a double here, and the Replay is no longer in the equation, so it might have gone up by more than that.

£9,250 feels like it could easily be the offer here, but it also feels like it might be a bit high at the same time?

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£8,800



That would put £9,250 in the 5% range. This is for the 23 Boost.

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:14 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Been a while since we've had anything but a BB prediction...

BANKER'S OFFER

£9,250



... and you had the right idea! 4.86% out meaning we're adding a fantastic card to 23 - either +£35,000 or TRIPLE, it's up to you!

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:17 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]
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A shame I didn't go straight for the £9,250 but not a huge one - +£35,000 for me here for sure! :)

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:18 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Here's your new and improved Box 23 line-up!

    DOUBLE
    +£35,000
    +£15,000

    MONEY BACK
    HALF
    NOTHING

But at £9,250 David, Deal or No Deal?

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:19 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]
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EV of over £8k even if this falls to bits after all :P

NO DEAL, partly for that reason, even though £9,250 on that configuration would be pretty neat!

13, 15, 19 now...

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:24 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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We could be taking quite a bit more than that to 23 though, but only if we can keep up this good run!


13 - £10,000! Not too bad because of the two yellows!

15 - £40,000! Okay, now we're inflicting some damage...

19 - £5! Glad to see that! BT...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:25 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:25 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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** RING **

He genuinely doesn't know what to do at this stage, so he's basing it heavily off of the FD...

BANKER'S OFFER

£10,550


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:27 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]
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I think the fact it's a three-box game encourages me to push on here. Too far away from the mean to be scary not to with the knowledge that a blue win isn't necessarily the end of the story. NO DEAL.

11, 7, 9.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:30 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
5-box beckons... An ABR right here would be sensational and would transform the game completely!


11 - £3,000! Well that won't happen but that's fine!

7 - 50p!! Yes!!

9 -
£100,000!! We've had so many sting in the tail rounds recently!! :smt011 We're still in this for the long haul, though!


BT...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:31 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
ImageImage
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:33 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [66]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

He knows that to give you a big dilemma here, he needs to come out with two offers. And so he has.

BANKER'S OFFER

£9,001


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£13,750 & NO 23


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