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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2017 10:38 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Hoping to follow up on Davao's insane game earlier is KP.

You know the drill, we need 5 numbers between 1 and 22 then 5 numbers between 1 and 10 to determine your starting board.

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2017 10:39 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Let's take from 1, 2, 3, 4, 5...

...and replace with 6, 7, 8, 9, 10. ;)

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2017 10:52 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Amounts being taken away:

£5
£10
£500
£750

£20,000

:D


Amounts being added:

£20
£200

£25,000
£60,000
£150,000


:D :D

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2017 10:58 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Well... that escalated quickly.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2017 11:00 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Board:

1p
10p
50p
£1
£20
£50
£100
£200
£250
£1,000
£3,000

£5,000
£10,000
£15,000
£25,000
£35,000
£50,000
£60,000
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000
£250,000


You've been assigned Box 4.

Please choose your first 5 boxes.

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2017 11:07 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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8, 2, 6, 12, 10.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2017 11:19 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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8- £60,000

2- 1p

6- £150,000

Both of the added big reds are already gone. :(

12- £200

10- £3,000

Board:


10p
50p
£1
£20
£50
£100
£250
£500
£750
£1,000


£5,000
£10,000
£15,000
£25,000
£35,000
£50,000

£75,000
£100,000

£250,000


** RING **

The Banker has been looking forward to facing an analytical player like you, KP.

He's knows your hungry for a good Deal, and you're not afraid to defy convention in order to get it, making you a huge threat to him.

Prediction or No Prediction?

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2017 11:29 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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I'd normally let the Banker make a generosity statement, but I think this is a fairly straightforward situation, as that opening round happens to have left essentially an awesome standard board.

However, I case the Banker defies convention out of the gates, I'm going to make the prediction I can most afford to whiff badly on first.

For the BOX 23 JACKPOT:

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£12,100


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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2017 11:37 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Let's see if that was a wise move:

BANKER'S OFFER

£13,579



It looks like the Banker was making the subtlest reference to the hunger games possible, knowing you'd snap his hand off if he made himself any more obvious.

That's a 10.89% miss, meaning the Box 23 jackpot is £15,000.


Deal or No Deal?

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2017 11:39 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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That's fair enough, I wasn't even looking for that kind of reference. Note to self: you're 2/2 for doing so at the first offer in this reboot, look for them in future. ;)

Anyway, NO DEAL for now and I think I made a decent move there. 16, 18, and 14 are next on deck.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:11 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Warnings: 0
16- 10p

18- £50,000

14- £1,000

Board:


50p
£1
£20
£50
£100
£250
£500
£750



£5,000
£10,000
£15,000
£25,000
£35,000


£75,000
£100,000

£250,000


** RING **

The Banker says that he wants to give you a genuine decision to make here.

Prediction or No Prediction?

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:45 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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No Prediction.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:48 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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I think you made the right call there, as:

BANKER'S OFFER

£21,000



Over half the average already, but you still have two predictions to make.

Has the Banker gotten you already? Deal or No Deal?

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:54 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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I was wondering if he might go to £20k, but might have backed out of that if forced into a prediction, perhaps to £18k (which would have been a 15%-bracket miss).

NO DEAL still, as there is some solidity in this position. 20, 21, 22.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:06 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Warnings: 0
20- £5,000

21- £20

22- £250

Great round! :D

Board:

50p
£1
£50
£100

£10,000
£15,000
£25,000
£35,000
£75,000
£100,000
£250,000


** RING **

The Banker says this should be an easy offer to predict, but he wants to make it tricky to get into the 1% and 5% bands.

Prediction or No Prediction?

_________________
Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


Last edited by American Coupon Boy on Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:31 am, edited 1 time in total.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:12 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Interesting. £510k on the board so the mean is around £46k. He's hinting that he's gone eccentric whilst being in a predictable area, and that combined with the game stage leads me to an OFFER BUTTON prediction.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£28,250


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:18 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Do we have a live button?

BANKER'S OFFER

£27,500



We do indeed, and it will be interesting to see how you use it as you were 2.72% off and are thus guaranteed an offer of 75% of the average when the button is pressed.


Deal or No Deal?

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:26 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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My stuff is on fire! Somebody better call the fire department.

Aaron Rodgers would insist on buying time to create a bigger and better opportunity, and in his spirit, NO DEAL. :P

15, 19, 21. No intention of using the button this early.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:38 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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15- £25,000

Had you pressed the button there, the Banker would've had to offer at least £36,386.36. Did you make a mistake in not pressing the button while you had the chance?

19-
£250,000

YEP! :(


Box 21 has already been opened, so you must either choose another box or you can press the button now if you wish.

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


Last edited by American Coupon Boy on Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:39 am, edited 1 time in total.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:39 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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So it has, lost track of my own system. It's 13.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
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